Twin-Importance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.00K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$109

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 05-24 15:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 67% +$0

Politics

27% — —

Other

3% — —

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$244	122	122	+0	open	—	05-12 05:17
bitcoin above 64k on april 13	2	$240	120	120	+0	open	—	04-13 01:27
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	2	$240	120	120	+0	open	—	05-19 13:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 24?	2	$240	120	120	+0	open	—	05-23 14:27
military action against iran ends on march 20 2026	2	$219	110	110	+0	open	—	03-22 01:19
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	2	$211	106	106	+0	open	—	03-15 23:47
Iran leadership change by March 13?	2	$208	105	105	+0	open	—	03-14 08:53
Fabric FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$205	103	103	+0	open	—	02-27 23:31
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$205	106	106	+0	open	—	03-01 00:04
will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	4	$200	101	101	+0	open	—	02-25 08:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	1	$122	0	122	-122	Yes	$-0	05-08 00:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	1	$122	122	0	+122	Yes	+$0	05-11 01:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 6?	1	$122	122	0	+122	Yes	+$0	05-05 06:16
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	1	$121	122	0	+122	open	—	04-30 14:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 28?	1	$121	121	0	+121	open	—	04-27 12:48
bitcoin above 70k on april 24	1	$121	121	0	+121	open	—	04-23 15:39
bitcoin above 66k on april 22	1	$121	121	0	+121	open	—	04-21 05:05
bitcoin above 64k on april 20	1	$121	121	0	+121	open	—	04-18 06:31
bitcoin above 66k on april 17	1	$121	121	0	+121	open	—	04-16 04:35
Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$121	121	0	+121	open	—	04-14 04:34
bitcoin above 66k on april 13	1	$120	121	0	+121	open	—	04-13 13:07
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	04-13 05:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	05-24 15:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	05-19 14:39
bitcoin above 62k on april 11	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	04-10 03:20
bitcoin above 60k on april 8	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	04-07 23:32
bitcoin above 56k on april 7	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	04-06 07:42
bitcoin above 62k on april 1	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	04-01 05:07
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$119	120	0	+120	open	—	03-31 04:53
bitcoin above 60k on march 30	1	$119	119	0	+119	open	—	03-30 05:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 15:31:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x2225fe…
05-23 14:27:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 24?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0x3f0e22…
05-23 01:20:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xc45b79…
05-19 14:39:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x76f14c…
05-19 13:48:17	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0xf67a52…
05-19 13:19:55	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xfa2af1…
05-12 05:17:47	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	122	100¢	$122	0xb17f2e…
05-12 04:52:26	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x7d825f…
05-11 01:29:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x6eae26…
05-08 00:55:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	Yes	SELL	122	100¢	$122	0xd67245…
05-05 06:16:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xab055f…
04-30 14:16:20	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$121	0x024d13…
04-27 12:48:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xd1e824…
04-23 15:39:58	bitcoin above 70k on april 24	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xdacd56…
04-21 05:05:24	bitcoin above 66k on april 22	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xd5dab0…
04-18 06:31:24	bitcoin above 64k on april 20	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xffa3de…
04-16 04:35:06	bitcoin above 66k on april 17	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xd75422…
04-14 04:34:57	Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xc25374…
04-13 13:07:51	bitcoin above 66k on april 13	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$120	0x1b1f1c…
04-13 05:01:17	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x02294e…
04-13 01:27:43	bitcoin above 64k on april 13	Yes	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0x71161e…
04-11 23:35:05	bitcoin above 64k on april 13	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x6720c5…
04-10 03:20:11	bitcoin above 62k on april 11	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x716c07…
04-07 23:32:27	bitcoin above 60k on april 8	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x21a720…
04-06 07:42:35	bitcoin above 56k on april 7	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x35af23…
04-01 05:07:05	bitcoin above 62k on april 1	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xc9f04c…
03-31 04:53:11	Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$119	0x447c38…
03-30 05:00:12	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xcda6f8…
03-28 16:08:29	bitcoin above 58k on march 29	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xbb1f69…
03-27 08:05:29	bitcoin above 76k on march 27	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xd75e13…
03-26 13:06:03	bitcoin above 66k on march 26	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xb3ddb4…
03-24 10:59:11	bitcoin above 64k on march 25	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$118	0x82e84c…
03-23 11:10:59	bitcoin above 64k on march 23	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xf16b6a…
03-22 09:06:03	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 22	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xbad000…
03-22 01:24:11	nba cle nop 2026 03 21	Cavaliers	BUY	118	93¢	$110	0x4ebfa0…
03-22 01:19:35	military action against iran ends on march 20 2026	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x1f24e6…
03-20 08:09:09	military action against iran ends on march 20 2026	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xa64c11…
03-20 03:35:17	cbb stlou ga 2026 03 19	Saint Louis Billikens	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x9fe309…
03-19 00:57:15	cbb kentst illst 2026 03 18	Illinois State Redbirds	BUY	110	99¢	$108	0x061dec…
03-18 03:27:17	nhl sj edm 2026 03 17	Oilers	BUY	108	98¢	$106	0x794a7d…
03-16 02:02:35	bitcoin above 62k on march 17	Yes	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xca4441…
03-15 23:47:23	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	No	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0x8c86c5…
03-14 08:57:07	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	No	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0xb699ef…
03-14 08:53:59	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0xa0a6e4…
03-12 14:00:27	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	BUY	105	98¢	$103	0xbb27d5…
03-10 05:25:13	bitcoin above 84k on march 11	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x6b0668…
03-09 05:13:03	ethereum above 1600 on march 9	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xdbe3d6…
03-07 11:56:09	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 7th	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x295be0…
03-06 03:44:55	Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x238be5…
03-04 01:12:41	bitcoin above 58k on march 5	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$102	0xd4eeb8…
03-02 14:07:25	bitcoin above 54k on march 3	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xb8b9a0…
03-02 02:03:59	will bitcoin dip to 60k february 23 march 1	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x5267db…
03-01 00:04:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	106	96¢	$102	0xde2545…
02-28 22:55:07	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	106	97¢	$103	0x2e9d18…
02-28 03:56:57	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x7a9d2c…
02-27 23:31:57	Fabric FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x513d5f…
02-27 10:21:35	Fabric FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$102	0x1798ea…
02-27 04:05:54	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x52224f…
02-26 10:22:50	will the us next strike iran on february 26 2026 et	No	SELL	104	98¢	$102	0x5758d1…
02-25 09:35:48	will the us next strike iran on february 25 2026 et	No	BUY	103	98¢	$101	0x86283f…
02-25 08:46:20	will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x8d64cf…
02-25 08:45:42	will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xef8c62…
02-25 08:44:26	will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x8dfb90…
02-24 04:54:32	will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	No	BUY	101	98¢	$99	0x39d05b…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Bad-Punch 0x06bc…9377	50	$6.58K	61	05-24 15:31
Those-Procedure 0x0d95…0c83	49	$6.70K	60	05-24 15:31
Well-Worn-Bag 0xb4b4…4ac6	49	$6.45K	57	05-24 15:31
Bold-Lox 0x9e10…a8ac	48	$6.37K	57	05-24 15:31
Ornery-Bankbook 0x9b77…91a2	47	$6.39K	57	05-24 15:31
Showy-Dig 0x598c…9f0c	47	$6.20K	56	05-24 15:31
Messy-Globe 0x0638…0965	47	$6.13K	54	05-24 15:31
Awkward-Topsail 0x10b2…3513	47	$5.89K	55	05-24 15:31