(anonymous) 0x8ba885…1e37d0
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Realized P&L
+$52
Unrealized P&L
+$15
Hit rate
70.7%
Resolved
103
Trades
212
lifetime
Volume
$1.45K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$219
16 positions
First seen
2026-09-15
last 10-29 04:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 34 days
Categories
Other
58% 69% +$55
Politics
36% 57% +$6
Tech
6% 50% -$9
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +63 $39 64¢ $40 +$1 10-29 04:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? No +32 $21 76¢ $24 +$3 10-21 13:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? No +27 $20 76¢ $21 +$1 09-21 12:26
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +37 $19 49¢ $18 -$1 10-20 17:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October? No +18 $15 99¢ $18 +$3 10-20 10:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? No +17 $15 98¢ $17 +$2 10-21 13:48
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +25 $16 67¢ $17 +$1 10-17 06:40
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +47 $15 33¢ $16 +$1 10-20 09:06
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? Yes +100 $9 11¢ $11 +$2 09-20 04:04
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +31 $10 32¢ $10 $0 10-17 06:35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +12 $10 79¢ $9 -$1 10-03 05:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +82 $20 12¢ $9 -$11 09-28 13:02
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +8 $5 84¢ $6 +$1 09-20 04:21
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +5 $4 28¢ $1 -$2 09-20 05:39
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? Yes +5 $2 25¢ $1 $0 09-20 11:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? No +0 -$16 99¢ $0 +$16 10-28 14:41