Realized P&L
+$1.43K
Unrealized P&L
+$194
Hit rate
96.5%
Resolved
864
Trades
2,148
lifetime
Volume
$51.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$1.51K
23 positions
First seen
2026-09-21
last 10-26 05:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 38 days
Categories
Other
66% 79% +$188
Politics
16% 83% +$1,028
Sports
14% 94% +$211
Tech
3% 90% -$4
Pop-Culture
0% 92% +$7
Crypto
0% 78% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 290 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +501 $316 99¢ $496 +$180 10-01 16:53
Will Oklahoma Sooners win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +236 $235 99¢ $234 $0 10-03 19:49
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +146 $145 100¢ $145 +$0 09-27 00:11
Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026? No +85 $80 99¢ $85 +$4 09-24 15:38
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? No +66 $63 100¢ $66 +$3 09-24 16:03
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,005 $60 6¢ $65 +$5 10-03 00:59
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? No +62 $62 99¢ $62 $0 09-29 02:20
Will Team Liquid win Worlds 2026? No +62 $62 99¢ $61 $0 10-03 14:00
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +63 $61 96¢ $61 $0 09-27 00:14
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +45 $31 74¢ $33 +$2 09-24 11:47
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +28 $28 100¢ $28 $0 09-30 20:09
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027? No +27 $27 100¢ $27 +$0 09-25 13:20
Will Oregon Ducks win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +26 $25 100¢ $26 +$1 09-26 19:12
Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +22 $22 100¢ $22 +$0 09-27 00:03
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +34 $11 61¢ $21 +$9 09-22 21:48
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026? No +18 $18 99¢ $18 $0 09-23 04:28
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +18 $17 94¢ $17 +$0 10-03 01:00
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +15 $15 99¢ $15 +$0 09-30 20:24
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +13 $13 100¢ $13 $0 09-30 20:12
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 $0 09-25 05:42
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T? No +6 $6 94¢ $6 $0 10-03 09:50
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +7 $6 3¢ $0 -$6 09-29 03:15
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? No +6 $3 2¢ $0 -$3 10-03 22:45