Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-05 House election by 9%-12%?
open
Total volume
$365
$5 in 24h
Trades
66
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$16,161
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-08-20
last 10-26 22:58
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.6¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $163
vs crowd: 5% YES on $360)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 11 | $7 | $289 | $281 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $5 | $5 | +$0 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $4 | $50 | $47 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 9 | $2 | $161 | $160 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $4 | $71 | $68 |
| Median | 3 | $0 | $14 | $14 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $11 | $98 | $87 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +209 | $7 | $7 | 8 | 10-26 22:58 |
| Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | +101 | $3 | $3 | 4 | 10-04 13:53 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +100 | $98 | $98 | 4 | 10-04 21:39 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | +64 | $61 | $61 | 4 | 10-04 13:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | +41 | $39 | $39 | 2 | 08-30 22:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +35 | $35 | $35 | 2 | 10-03 03:55 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | +26 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 09-04 12:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x8bdb…d90f | No | +23 | $23 | $23 | 2 | 09-30 22:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xe40a…e4a2 | No | +23 | $23 | $23 | 2 | 09-05 14:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | Yes | +19 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-04 20:39 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +17 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 08-20 14:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x51ca…364a | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 10-03 03:55 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 08-30 22:06 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 08-30 20:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x4fe7…5ab1 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 09-02 05:25 |
| Sniveling-Yogurt 0x6bdc…6fcd | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-03 03:55 |
| Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-26 12:47 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +1 | $0 | $1 | 3 | 09-20 16:53 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 22:58:03 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 95 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x5ac7a7… |
| 10-26 22:58:03 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 80 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x5ac7a7… |
| 10-26 22:58:03 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5ac7a7… |
| 10-26 22:58:03 | (anonymous) 0x2200…474f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5ac7a7… |
| 10-26 12:47:45 | (anonymous) 0x2200…474f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6bdfa9… |
| 10-26 12:47:45 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x6bdfa9… |
| 10-04 21:39:53 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x60dd75… |
| 10-04 21:39:53 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x60dd75… |
| 10-04 21:39:50 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x33d76f… |
| 10-04 21:39:50 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x33d76f… |
| 10-04 20:39:19 | (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x34fa13… |
| 10-04 20:39:19 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x34fa13… |
| 10-04 20:38:17 | (anonymous) 0x2aeb…357e | Yes | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x30dae9… |
| 10-04 20:38:17 | (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x30dae9… |
| 10-04 20:36:04 | (anonymous) 0x2aeb…357e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x62344b… |
| 10-04 20:36:04 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x62344b… |
| 10-04 20:36:04 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x62344b… |
| 10-04 13:53:16 | Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xe13aff… |
| 10-04 13:53:16 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 18 | 96¢ | $17 | 0x38a18c… |
| 10-04 13:53:16 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 40 | 97¢ | $39 | 0xe13aff… |
| 10-04 13:53:16 | Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x38a18c… |
| 10-03 16:06:39 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x893587… |
| 10-03 16:06:39 | Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x893587… |
| 10-03 03:55:41 | Sniveling-Yogurt 0x6bdc…6fcd | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x847b25… |
| 10-03 03:55:41 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0d1f30… |
| 10-03 03:55:41 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x847b25… |
| 10-03 03:55:41 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x763638… |
| 10-03 03:55:41 | (anonymous) 0x51ca…364a | No | BUY | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0x0d1f30… |
| 10-03 03:55:41 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x763638… |
| 09-30 22:23:54 | (anonymous) 0x8bdb…d90f | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xa6a96f… |
| 09-30 22:23:54 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa6a96f… |
| 09-30 22:23:53 | (anonymous) 0x8bdb…d90f | No | BUY | 18 | 99¢ | $18 | 0xde4da4… |
| 09-30 22:23:53 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xd871a0… |
| 09-30 22:23:53 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xde4da4… |
| 09-30 22:23:53 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd871a0… |
| 09-30 22:23:51 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x205e2e… |
| 09-30 22:23:51 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x205e2e… |
| 09-30 21:11:45 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xe5e26d… |
| 09-30 21:11:45 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe5e26d… |
| 09-29 21:41:15 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x0f115f… |
| 09-29 21:41:15 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0f115f… |
| 09-20 16:53:54 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 19 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x1c02e9… |
| 09-20 16:53:54 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x1c02e9… |
| 09-20 16:53:54 | Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x1c02e9… |
| 09-18 09:11:31 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x849f47… |
| 09-18 09:11:31 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x849f47… |
| 09-05 14:33:00 | (anonymous) 0xe40a…e4a2 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x7b54eb… |
| 09-05 14:33:00 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7b54eb… |
| 09-04 12:41:46 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xadd290… |
| 09-04 12:41:46 | (anonymous) 0xe40a…e4a2 | No | BUY | 17 | 99¢ | $17 | 0xadd290… |
| 09-04 12:41:46 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 11 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xadd290… |
| 09-02 05:25:45 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x665132… |
| 09-02 05:25:45 | (anonymous) 0x4fe7…5ab1 | No | BUY | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x665132… |
| 08-30 22:06:06 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xdb22e2… |
| 08-30 22:06:06 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe9fc7a… |
| 08-30 22:06:06 | (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0xdb22e2… |
| 08-30 22:06:06 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xe9fc7a… |
| 08-30 20:49:46 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x40ca7e… |
| 08-30 20:49:46 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x40ca7e… |
| 08-21 02:22:54 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x46a4fe… |
| 08-21 02:22:54 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x46a4fe… |
| 08-20 14:02:49 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 17 | 88¢ | $15 | 0xc850b2… |
| 08-20 14:02:49 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xc850b2… |
| 08-20 03:26:21 | (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | BUY | 33 | 94¢ | $31 | 0xb4b736… |
| 08-20 03:26:21 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xb4b736… |
| 08-20 03:26:21 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xb4b736… |