Realized P&L (30d)
+$3
Unrealized P&L
+$9
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (30d)
2
Trades (30d)
152
148 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$2.20K
$2.17K lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$1.40K
13 positions
First seen
2026-10-30
last 11-01 12:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
53% — —
Other
40% 100% +$3
Sports
5% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 106 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska and Texas? No +990 $985 100¢ $985 +$1 10-31 09:04
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +162 $148 90¢ $146 -$2 11-01 13:14
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +51 $46 99¢ $50 +$4 10-31 17:38
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Ohio? No +48 $48 100¢ $48 $0 10-30 22:38
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +43 $30 70¢ $30 +$0 10-31 20:24
Will Republicans win Iowa and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? No +30 $30 99¢ $30 $0 10-30 22:38
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +26 $22 100¢ $26 +$4 10-30 10:38
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Michigan? No +22 $22 99¢ $22 $0 10-30 23:08
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +20 $18 96¢ $19 +$1 10-31 23:20
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +18 $16 96¢ $17 +$1 11-01 09:13
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska? No +15 $15 99¢ $15 +$0 10-30 22:09
Will Republicans win Kansas and Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +7 $7 99¢ $7 +$0 10-30 22:11
Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio? No +6 $6 100¢ $6 $0 10-31 00:07