Realized P&L
-$232
Unrealized P&L
+$266
Hit rate
95.9%
Resolved
320
Trades
1,226
lifetime
Volume
$32.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$9.19K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-30
last 11-07 10:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
56% 52% -$272
Politics
38% 58% +$92
Sports
6% 67% -$53
Tech
0% — —
Crypto
0% 100% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 493 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,145 $2,134 99¢ $2.1K -$2 11-06 13:30
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +781 $68 99¢ $775 +$707 11-04 05:39
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +740 $737 99¢ $735 -$2 11-06 13:30
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +741 $734 99¢ $734 $0 11-06 15:42
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-11-06? No +631 $622 99¢ $627 +$5 11-06 14:15
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +491 $488 100¢ $489 +$1 11-03 09:14
Will CD Universidad de Concepción win on 2026-11-05? No +473 $465 99¢ $470 +$5 11-05 16:57
Exact Score: Energetik Mingechevir 0 - 3 Shahdag Qusar FK? No +541 $530 60¢ $325 -$205 11-05 20:46
Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07? No +287 $283 100¢ $286 +$3 11-05 22:06
Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 1 - 4 FK Polissia? No — +463 $420 56¢ $257 -$163 11-04 16:41
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? No +253 $251 100¢ $251 +$1 11-07 08:48
Will 9z Win the PGL Major Singapore 2026? No +229 $227 99¢ $227 $0 11-07 04:56
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +293 $243 76¢ $222 -$21 11-01 23:16
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 3 - 1 Athletic Club? No — +342 $342 60¢ $205 -$137 11-05 11:51
Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 2 - 1 FK Polissia? No +255 $56 55¢ $139 +$83 11-04 21:33
Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in November 2026? No +129 $128 99¢ $129 +$1 11-05 16:40
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +124 $123 98¢ $122 -$1 11-06 23:47
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%? No +109 $100 100¢ $109 +$10 11-04 06:54
Will Stevenage FC win on 2026-11-14? No +108 $101 100¢ $108 +$7 11-06 14:14
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? No +158 $107 65¢ $103 -$5 11-05 03:04
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +91 $89 100¢ $90 +$1 11-04 23:38
Will Borussia Dortmund finish first in UCL league phase? No — +90 $90 100¢ $90 $0 11-05 10:40
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix? No +89 $89 99¢ $88 -$1 11-06 16:11
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? No +87 $87 99¢ $87 +$0 11-06 11:33
Will AZ win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? No +83 $82 99¢ $82 +$0 11-04 00:40
Will Huddersfield Town AFC win on 2026-11-14? No +70 $61 100¢ $70 +$9 11-06 16:07
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? No +433 $95 15¢ $65 -$30 11-07 10:00
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 12% or more? No +63 $56 92¢ $59 +$3 11-03 19:50
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +59 $59 98¢ $58 -$1 11-05 02:00
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on November 7? No +58 $58 100¢ $58 +$0 11-07 06:26