Vengeful-Fluke — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$10.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$425

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 06-11 05:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

63% 0% $-0

Crypto

34% — —

Politics

4% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	2	$3.5K	1,732	1,732	+0	open	—	04-16 03:06
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$3.2K	1,627	1,627	+0	open	—	04-12 03:22
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$3.2K	1,634	1,608	+26	open	—	04-21 03:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$137	161	0	+161	open	—	06-11 05:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	1	$113	138	0	+138	open	—	05-28 07:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$102	111	0	+111	open	—	05-22 06:57
Paradex FDV above $10B one day after launch?	4	$92	46	46	+0	open	—	03-02 08:06
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 40 59	1	$52	52	0	+52	open	—	01-27 07:04
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	$-0	04-03 09:10
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	02-27 13:29
will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	03-19 02:43
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	1	$22	24	0	+24	open	—	06-03 06:53
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	05-10 05:25
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	1	$20	21	0	+21	Yes	+$1	05-10 05:25
will solana reach 160 in march 2026	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	03-02 08:07
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	01-24 10:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 05:26:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	161	85¢	$137	0xa4ff19…
06-03 06:53:53	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	24	93¢	$22	0xb0bd1f…
05-28 07:45:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	138	82¢	$113	0xe62d35…
05-22 06:57:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	111	92¢	$102	0xa437b2…
05-10 05:25:22	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x836d92…
05-10 05:25:01	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xc80526…
04-21 03:43:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xa23fdb…
04-16 03:06:02	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	1,732	100¢	$1,727	0x900949…
04-14 08:01:51	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	1,732	100¢	$1,729	0x3a4367…
04-14 08:01:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,608	99¢	$1,597	0xccfefa…
04-12 03:22:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,608	99¢	$1,598	0x4ec53a…
04-12 03:22:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,627	100¢	$1,621	0x3e258c…
04-10 01:41:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,627	100¢	$1,622	0x2def1d…
04-03 09:10:25	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xd46d71…
03-19 02:43:37	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x6289c2…
03-09 10:13:51	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5f8b2e…
03-02 08:07:15	will solana reach 160 in march 2026	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xdfd85e…
03-02 08:06:05	Paradex FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$19	0x574c8f…
02-27 13:34:11	Paradex FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0xb6d715…
02-27 13:29:35	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xbd4dae…
02-27 13:29:27	Paradex FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$26	0xfd021a…
02-11 09:22:53	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x7e04c7…
02-05 13:11:15	Paradex FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$26	0xd17b98…
01-27 07:04:13	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 40 59	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x01a732…
01-24 10:12:00	Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x81d448…