Ornate-Cork — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

135

lifetime

Volume

$13.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$102

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 07-25 23:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

42% 0% $-0

Sports

41% 0% $-1

Crypto

8% — —

Politics

8% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	6	$750	391	391	+0	No	$-1	04-11 18:18
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$691	366	366	+0	Yes	$-0	03-17 01:39
will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	8	$677	346	346	+0	open	—	03-26 08:17
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	5	$665	343	343	+0	open	—	03-16 02:54
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$659	347	347	+0	open	—	03-30 05:08
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$638	328	328	+0	open	—	03-29 23:00
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$522	362	173	+189	open	—	03-16 20:50
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	4	$448	232	232	+0	open	—	04-12 11:31
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$366	189	189	+0	open	—	03-12 01:14
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	2	$365	193	193	+0	open	—	03-12 11:43
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$346	178	178	+0	open	—	03-13 02:55
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	3	$345	179	179	+0	open	—	03-10 23:58
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$344	179	179	+0	open	—	03-18 10:45
will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$343	181	181	+0	open	—	03-27 20:07
Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$343	175	175	+0	open	—	03-18 16:34
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$342	179	179	+0	open	—	03-26 00:09
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$341	175	175	+0	open	—	03-12 05:29
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$339	177	177	+0	open	—	03-24 22:40
will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	2	$334	172	172	+0	open	—	03-24 05:44
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	2	$331	169	169	+0	open	—	03-28 17:09
will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	5	$331	175	175	-0	open	—	03-20 15:45
will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$330	173	173	+0	open	—	03-29 08:30
Netanyahu out by April 30?	2	$327	169	169	+0	open	—	03-22 00:05
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$326	169	169	+0	open	—	03-22 08:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	2	$323	166	166	+0	open	—	04-25 05:35
Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	2	$319	164	164	+0	open	—	03-24 13:12
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$300	154	154	-0	open	—	03-17 18:54
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	4	$225	123	123	+0	open	—	04-28 02:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$158	58	108	-50	open	—	06-21 22:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	2	$125	67	67	+0	open	—	04-13 12:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 23:10:07	mlb sd mia 2026 07 25 extra innings	No	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x394f0a…
07-25 19:07:37	mlb sd mia 2026 07 25 extra innings	No	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0xf2da7d…
07-25 13:02:52	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x960769…
07-25 09:02:15	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7f2b50…
06-21 22:00:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	58	95¢	$56	0xb99453…
06-21 15:55:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	58	96¢	$56	0xac4c5a…
06-20 23:35:26	Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0x32860e…
06-20 15:29:49	Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x1d1e7b…
06-19 12:13:25	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	60	93¢	$55	0x258fc9…
06-19 06:11:25	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	60	94¢	$56	0x7fadf3…
06-19 00:55:37	will turkiye reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149724	No	SELL	49	92¢	$45	0x7eb5e0…
06-18 17:54:34	will turkiye reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149724	No	BUY	49	97¢	$48	0x8dbfe2…
06-18 09:42:05	Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	51	90¢	$46	0xacda44…
06-18 03:35:44	Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	51	92¢	$47	0x2626d6…
06-16 11:48:24	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	56	96¢	$54	0xd59c3e…
06-16 03:42:40	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	56	97¢	$54	0x8e3a93…
06-16 03:10:51	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xfdef4d…
06-14 13:58:48	will austria reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149746	No	SELL	59	92¢	$55	0x181f8e…
06-14 08:52:30	will austria reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149746	No	BUY	59	96¢	$57	0xde7686…
06-12 02:12:22	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt4t	No	SELL	45	96¢	$43	0xb97ba4…
06-11 20:11:25	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt4t	No	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0xbda9c6…
06-09 17:54:31	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	Yes	SELL	51	93¢	$48	0xea0c49…
06-09 09:49:42	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	Yes	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x282627…
06-05 22:43:51	Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0xc274f5…
06-05 14:39:52	Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x68c74f…
06-04 23:27:25	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	60	95¢	$57	0xc69c84…
06-04 17:25:45	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x3fd050…
06-04 03:45:00	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	No	SELL	53	91¢	$48	0x769384…
06-03 21:38:40	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	No	BUY	53	93¢	$50	0x0d1c4b…
06-03 21:02:03	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	40	93¢	$37	0x5f3d1f…
06-03 15:57:16	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0xdb2492…
06-03 07:47:46	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	46	95¢	$44	0x09a4f4…
06-03 03:40:59	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	46	95¢	$44	0xae2fe0…
05-27 21:46:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0x1843c2…
05-21 21:45:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0xce8d20…
05-21 16:40:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x938a1f…
04-28 02:01:14	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	64	89¢	$57	0xb0ecc8…
04-27 18:16:14	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	64	90¢	$58	0x78902b…
04-25 05:35:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	SELL	166	98¢	$162	0x870792…
04-25 01:35:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	166	97¢	$161	0x6aacc8…
04-16 16:10:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0xb06993…
04-16 09:09:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x76029a…
04-13 12:52:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	SELL	67	94¢	$62	0xa73038…
04-13 06:46:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	67	94¢	$62	0xcd9815…
04-12 11:31:37	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	59	97¢	$57	0xc60060…
04-12 07:09:23	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	59	98¢	$57	0xc34784…
04-12 05:36:13	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	52	96¢	$51	0x7b6fd5…
04-12 01:33:15	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$51	0x78384d…
04-11 18:18:29	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x28fce0…
04-11 10:16:17	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xf3a0c3…
04-09 03:04:37	will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	61	96¢	$58	0x9977f5…
04-08 18:35:07	will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	61	96¢	$59	0x5af86f…
03-31 23:03:41	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	59	94¢	$55	0xb78a0c…
03-31 17:05:19	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	59	94¢	$55	0xcb889f…
03-30 17:11:05	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	61	96¢	$58	0xd98b4d…
03-30 13:06:18	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	61	97¢	$59	0xe2b304…
03-30 05:08:08	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	168	95¢	$160	0x6e4bd4…
03-29 23:50:26	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	168	95¢	$160	0xc3aace…
03-29 23:00:46	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	161	97¢	$156	0xb9a30c…
03-29 17:39:20	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	161	97¢	$157	0xc3f373…
03-29 08:30:50	will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	173	95¢	$164	0x5aaf2a…
03-29 01:04:44	will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	173	96¢	$166	0xffe06b…
03-28 17:09:01	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	169	98¢	$165	0x560b6a…
03-28 12:19:17	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	169	98¢	$166	0x00ce0c…
03-27 20:07:09	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	181	95¢	$171	0xa3f6e9…
03-27 15:32:33	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	133	95¢	$126	0x1afbae…
03-27 15:08:59	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	48	95¢	$46	0xca3b59…
03-27 07:01:37	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	167	97¢	$162	0x2b0b6f…
03-26 22:40:17	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	167	98¢	$163	0x13c966…
03-26 08:17:57	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	172	98¢	$168	0x92cd18…
03-26 00:55:07	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	172	98¢	$169	0xd13b58…
03-26 00:09:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	179	95¢	$171	0x4a283b…
03-25 16:08:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	179	95¢	$171	0x9f9cf6…
03-25 05:56:23	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	168	97¢	$162	0x7c12bc…
03-24 23:14:05	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	168	97¢	$163	0xf85821…
03-24 22:40:07	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	177	96¢	$169	0x21bdf1…
03-24 13:55:43	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	177	96¢	$170	0x31e71c…
03-24 13:12:07	Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	164	97¢	$159	0x818426…
03-24 07:50:31	Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	164	97¢	$160	0x770980…
03-24 05:44:21	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	No	SELL	172	98¢	$168	0xca11c3…
03-23 22:02:49	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	No	BUY	172	97¢	$167	0xadddb6…
03-22 08:37:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	169	96¢	$163	0xe254e2…
03-22 00:35:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	169	96¢	$163	0x06aac3…
03-22 00:05:21	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	169	96¢	$163	0x54e33f…
03-21 15:26:13	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	169	97¢	$164	0x590e00…
03-20 22:21:43	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x6b7934…
03-20 16:41:35	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x054335…
03-20 15:45:29	will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	175	94¢	$165	0x893dd1…
03-20 10:23:25	will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	28	94¢	$26	0xd0e9c1…
03-20 10:06:05	will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x712c66…
03-20 10:02:57	will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0x8e5cb3…
03-20 09:44:21	will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	128	94¢	$121	0xb6c4c7…
03-19 18:42:33	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	173	96¢	$167	0x88e89a…
03-19 12:37:49	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	173	96¢	$167	0xd2bf16…
03-19 10:15:43	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	178	95¢	$169	0x2d7bf7…
03-19 02:55:37	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	178	95¢	$169	0x0ce3e7…
03-19 02:30:53	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	173	97¢	$168	0x9ed59e…
03-18 22:24:15	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	173	96¢	$166	0xae7565…
03-18 16:34:07	Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	175	98¢	$172	0xfe9d17…
03-18 11:17:29	Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	175	98¢	$171	0x9fccd0…