Innocent-Certification — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.8%

Resolved

866

Trades

904

lifetime

Volume

$8.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 11-12 14:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 165 days

Categories

Other

80% 97% -$3

Sports

16% 99% +$1

Crypto

2% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:01
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-13 02:05
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 25?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-25 02:08
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:15
Valorant: Asterisk vs No Salary Peek (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	Asterisk	+$0	05-28 16:31
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-10 10:42
Will knight Win MSI Finals MVP	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-12 14:02
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 16:02
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:37
Will Chris Moneymaker cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:33
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-13 11:32
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:31
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:37
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	3	$20	10	10	+0	Mali	+$0	06-04 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-30 04:47
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:47
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	Under	+$0	05-23 01:59
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	Under	+$0	05-23 23:59
Will PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	09-10 18:44
Will Endrick be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	05-18 22:39
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 4.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	Under	+$0	05-13 12:01
atp trungel hanfman 2026 07 22 set 2 winner Trungelliti vs Hanfmann	1	$10	10	0	+10	Hanfmann	+$0	07-22 12:52
Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	1	$10	10	0	+10	Taylor Fritz	+$0	10-23 16:52
Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 8 and 50 hours without failure?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-16 04:21
wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	1	$10	10	0	+10	Hayu Kinoshita	+$0	06-23 18:25
Fight to Go the Distance?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	05-10 04:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 15:58:24	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbb9c46…
11-12 15:52:58	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0183ac…
11-12 14:54:58	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc23a24…
11-12 14:28:31	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1ba34a…
11-12 07:11:04	Brisbane 3: Carl Overbeck vs Juncheng Shang	Juncheng Shang	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa65b48…
11-10 17:51:34	Orleans: Sebastian Baez vs Daniil Glinka	Sebastian Baez	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2520ea…
11-10 17:41:27	Sopo: Carole Monnet vs Leyre Romero Gormaz	Carole Monnet	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x271eb2…
11-10 03:46:10	Pacers vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd6a975…
11-09 03:28:42	Matsuyama: Masamichi Imamura vs Ryuki Matsuda	Ryuki Matsuda	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb94045…
11-08 18:10:31	Knoxville: Emile Hudd vs Justin Boulais	Emile Hudd	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb1607b…
11-08 04:25:49	Rockets vs. Suns	Suns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x872b43…
11-07 17:13:39	Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Jurij Rodionov	Jurij Rodionov	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xed8c96…
11-07 16:48:19	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3c6e8f…
11-07 16:00:52	Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc8a9b8…
11-05 06:28:12	Heat vs. Clippers	Heat	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5891bd…
11-01 02:36:48	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe748d3…
11-01 01:38:54	Hawks vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xea8a76…
11-01 01:09:45	UFC Fight Night: Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Luana Santos	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x07c002…
11-01 00:43:09	76ers vs. Hornets	76ers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9ef759…
11-01 00:05:40	UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card)	Dakota Hope	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa6c33a…
10-30 16:48:00	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x65789a…
10-29 15:14:19	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb4a44e…
10-27 13:12:08	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x46943c…
10-25 09:31:02	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7dde34…
10-24 13:22:20	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x313840…
10-23 16:52:30	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8a6d5f…
10-23 06:10:02	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdd6211…
10-21 17:04:05	Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw	Corentin Moutet	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcc594f…
10-20 18:47:42	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x77eb80…
10-20 18:39:09	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1299a2…
10-19 18:51:59	Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame	Moise Kouame	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfa5b0c…
10-18 03:35:41	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xddfffa…
10-15 20:32:35	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x46fb2c…
10-15 19:37:38	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbe28d2…
10-14 20:56:48	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x126b90…
10-14 13:12:35	wta krueger tararud 2026 10 14	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc83ce1…
10-14 11:41:26	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1bd578…
10-13 20:58:54	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb43053…
10-13 15:53:25	wta pohanko wan 2026 10 13	Mia Pohankova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9358a6…
10-13 14:15:25	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x76c208…
10-13 01:32:59	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x063693…
10-12 16:35:41	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3817c7…
10-12 09:07:00	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb7ee02…
10-11 10:49:53	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe78c19…
10-11 10:26:12	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xadad61…
10-10 11:08:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x95150e…
10-10 10:21:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x764179…
10-09 02:09:50	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x789a94…
10-07 13:53:46	Samsun: Polina Iatcenko vs Dalma Galfi	Polina Iatcenko	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x60cc07…
10-07 06:29:17	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x872ecd…
10-07 05:49:23	W15 Maanshan: Anna Yang vs Darja Suvirdjonkova	Anna Yang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x868f67…
10-06 20:46:24	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd1c6eb…
10-06 16:07:30	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5f0b59…
10-04 23:23:11	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd3a92e…
10-04 20:17:38	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa719f4…
10-04 07:45:11	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9a0d41…
10-03 14:50:26	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf126c3…
10-03 06:09:57	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdd0b3c…
10-03 02:52:56	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x956eda…
10-02 14:15:32	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x934854…
10-02 14:13:38	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x570e7a…
10-01 20:46:23	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x244b88…
10-01 20:36:05	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x229e6d…
10-01 12:07:32	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6b1e30…
10-01 05:16:09	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x241f35…
09-30 23:55:00	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9bf347…
09-30 01:55:50	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x914fce…
09-29 13:58:50	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd1afd6…
09-29 13:20:15	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x620a61…
09-29 13:18:54	atp giustin sperle 2026 09 29	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x70efe1…
09-28 10:07:54	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0ce2ba…
09-27 20:13:29	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x22e22d…
09-27 14:05:47	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2359d5…
09-27 13:31:17	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0827bc…
09-27 12:29:17	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5f6962…
09-27 00:28:21	Wisconsin vs. Penn State	Wisconsin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x177f5d…
09-26 23:23:50	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa6a0c3…
09-26 20:09:44	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdffe51…
09-26 20:01:35	Columbia vs. Georgetown	Columbia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2c0886…
09-26 12:18:23	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd122f2…
09-25 22:56:39	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3faced…
09-25 10:39:23	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1f030e…
09-24 21:41:18	Will Austria win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcb7d7c…
09-24 20:45:14	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb6f16f…
09-23 22:37:43	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x50589c…
09-23 16:19:31	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x64df62…
09-23 04:45:07	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xce92d9…
09-21 18:44:36	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5a6940…
09-21 16:18:45	Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbf1993…
09-21 02:19:40	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x51391a…
09-20 22:25:43	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x968f1a…
09-20 21:08:25	Will CD Leganés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4041de…
09-20 16:16:45	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on September 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4ce561…
09-20 14:02:09	atp izquier monteir 2026 09 20	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x41a4d6…
09-20 14:00:28	atp izquier monteir 2026 09 20	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5438c6…
09-20 09:13:45	val flfe genggc 2026 09 20 game1	Gen.G GC	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcf7f36…
09-20 02:59:36	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9251fb…
09-19 01:39:46	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1aec2a…
09-17 17:27:48	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1a8136…
09-17 16:02:37	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on September 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd1b82b…