Incompatible-Memo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$62

Unrealized P&L

-$18

Hit rate

64.7%

Resolved

477

Trades

1,625

lifetime

Volume

$100.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$62

Open exposure

$299

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 23:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 150 days

Categories

Other

93% 38% -$463

Politics

4% 50% +$764

Crypto

3% 72% -$193

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$45

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+1,034	$300	28¢	$284	-$16	10-26 23:49
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes		+45	$17	31¢	$14	-$3	10-26 23:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	8	$3.0K	2,378	2,378	+0	Yes	+$16	02-03 15:50
elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 65 89	2	$1.8K	1,148	1,148	+0	Yes	+$404	01-28 16:03
elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 115 139	4	$1.7K	1,001	1,001	+0	Yes	+$58	01-31 15:17
elon musk of tweets january 22 january 24 115 139	5	$1.7K	1,184	1,184	+0	No	+$67	01-24 12:34
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 580plus	9	$1.7K	1,328	1,328	+0	No	-$187	01-13 11:47
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	6	$1.4K	1,015	1,015	+0	Yes	+$505	06-15 15:46
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 560 579	12	$1.3K	1,359	1,359	+0	Yes	+$595	01-09 17:14
cricipl del guj 2026 04 08	11	$1.2K	1,204	1,189	+16	Gujarat Titans	-$203	04-08 18:06
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 380 399	8	$1.1K	958	958	+0	Yes	+$574	01-27 16:48
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 460 479	5	$1.1K	926	926	+0	Yes	+$359	01-23 17:47
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 280 299	8	$1.1K	1,046	1,046	+0	Yes	+$567	02-06 14:02
elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 165 189	8	$1.0K	1,010	1,010	+0	Yes	+$453	01-17 17:16
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 90 114	3	$997	726	726	+0	Yes	+$454	02-04 17:12
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	4	$990	840	840	+0	Yes	+$670	10-24 14:43
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	5	$935	577	577	+0	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	+$218	05-31 18:30
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 btts	4	$929	571	571	+0	Yes	+$213	07-01 21:49
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	7	$872	928	928	+0	Yes	+$102	06-12 16:03
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 360 379	3	$871	1,332	1,332	+0	No	-$191	02-03 11:13
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings	7	$867	682	682	+0	Punjab Kings	+$7	05-23 17:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$852	600	600	+0	Yes	+$252	06-15 01:05
cricipl sun luc 2026 04 05	10	$812	712	703	+9	Lucknow Super Giants	-$31	04-05 13:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	10	$786	2,715	2,715	+0	No	-$460	06-20 21:27
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 65 89	3	$784	785	785	+0	No	-$130	02-03 17:30
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals	7	$760	679	679	+0	Rajasthan Royals	-$14	05-24 14:20
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 200 219	4	$723	501	501	+0	Yes	+$277	03-06 16:54
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?	2	$665	544	544	+0	Yes	+$37	06-21 17:28
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	4	$653	609	609	+0	Yes	+$429	04-03 15:28
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 520 539	7	$653	586	586	+0	Yes	+$519	01-06 17:16
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 540 559	11	$652	1,918	1,918	+0	Yes	+$38	01-13 16:44
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals	7	$638	568	568	+0	Gujarat Titans	-$12	05-29 17:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 23:50:26	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	38¢	$17	0xa5e12e…
10-26 23:49:50	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	542	3¢	$16	0x03584d…
10-26 23:49:36	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0x8e8a3e…
10-26 23:49:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	862	29¢	$250	0xd8b99a…
10-26 16:21:26	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	353	28¢	$99	0x9f400c…
10-26 16:21:05	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	190	26¢	$50	0x862243…
10-26 14:44:51	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,101	17¢	$186	0x335095…
10-26 11:51:38	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	141	18¢	$25	0x3ce3b8…
10-26 10:08:30	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	137	18¢	$25	0xd5f71b…
10-26 02:56:14	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	292	34¢	$99	0x1ac666…
10-25 13:03:12	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	377	27¢	$100	0x68af4f…
10-25 12:59:47	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	154	26¢	$40	0x3834ae…
10-25 10:38:54	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	626	6¢	$38	0xe113b8…
10-24 21:49:51	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	247	40¢	$100	0x7c85aa…
10-24 19:40:38	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	295	34¢	$99	0xa9bc86…
10-24 15:32:54	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	38¢	$32	0x22a00b…
10-24 14:43:06	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	840	99¢	$830	0x1225a2…
10-24 01:48:27	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	255	20¢	$50	0x748664…
10-24 01:48:09	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	257	19¢	$50	0xc8736e…
10-24 01:47:56	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	328	18¢	$60	0x54ce31…
10-24 01:47:33	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	458	79¢	$362	0x8ccc18…
10-23 18:18:47	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	458	54¢	$248	0xe87bb0…
10-23 18:17:17	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	721	2¢	$13	0xa22e2d…
10-23 15:08:59	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	317	74¢	$235	0xf7a8d4…
10-22 21:34:51	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	721	28¢	$200	0x859ae7…
10-22 21:33:44	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	317	32¢	$100	0x324d63…
10-21 14:32:27	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	59¢	$100	0x7b38ab…
10-21 14:22:44	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0xfd6395…
10-21 14:17:50	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	408	44¢	$180	0x0659b5…
10-21 01:48:24	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	124	40¢	$49	0x453f60…
10-20 22:30:53	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	198	50¢	$99	0x2cc442…
10-20 22:30:36	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	51¢	$44	0x5c7225…
10-20 14:53:11	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	194	62¢	$121	0x8bab29…
10-20 14:14:51	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	54¢	$25	0xb8a9cd…
10-20 10:54:59	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0x013706…
10-20 10:48:11	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	28¢	$8	0x5c5fcb…
10-20 10:47:57	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	28¢	$26	0xed6c4d…
10-20 09:52:08	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	68¢	$135	0x39da46…
10-20 01:30:17	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x3fb8a3…
10-20 01:30:06	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xf11d5b…
10-20 00:46:06	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	38¢	$11	0x0d9170…
10-20 00:45:20	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	186	50¢	$94	0xda2628…
10-19 22:01:04	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x3c614e…
10-19 18:06:45	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0x393a4e…
10-19 18:06:24	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	16¢	$14	0xd3c462…
10-19 15:22:54	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	185	74¢	$137	0x48c4c8…
10-19 14:04:39	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	45¢	$49	0xc82fd0…
10-19 12:05:48	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0x1370d7…
10-19 10:42:23	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xab9d37…
10-19 10:41:23	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0x8a7bbe…
10-19 10:41:02	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	38¢	$23	0x68bff0…
10-19 00:36:23	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	11¢	$8	0x4aac2a…
10-19 00:36:03	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	32¢	$25	0x89231b…
10-18 22:38:48	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	15¢	$9	0xf29b41…
10-18 22:33:41	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	11¢	$6	0x33219a…
10-18 22:33:32	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	146	73¢	$107	0x7d636b…
10-17 20:21:08	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	146	41¢	$60	0xf9ff25…
10-17 20:20:56	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x04ac48…
10-17 15:16:50	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	27¢	$11	0xaeab17…
10-17 15:16:11	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	93	74¢	$69	0x5c12ff…
10-17 15:15:36	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x208505…
10-17 12:43:03	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xf307bc…
10-17 12:42:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	39¢	$9	0x6c1fb9…
10-17 12:42:41	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	39¢	$9	0x8f3753…
10-17 12:05:26	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	17¢	$8	0xf89cf1…
10-17 12:03:59	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	107	79¢	$85	0x605de5…
10-17 10:40:08	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x7cd3bb…
10-17 10:39:59	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xccadb4…
10-17 10:39:50	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	42¢	$10	0x942a99…
10-17 03:54:32	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	36¢	$17	0x98193c…
10-17 03:53:53	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	161	62¢	$99	0xc605c9…
10-17 00:59:14	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	161	20¢	$32	0xb90b0f…
07-14 19:08:22	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	Yes	BUY	157	59¢	$93	0x62e0ee…
07-14 19:07:47	crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 14	India	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0x081029…
07-14 15:17:05	crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 14	India	BUY	95	77¢	$73	0xc62b36…
07-09 15:39:04	crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 09	India	BUY	190	51¢	$97	0x615d44…
07-08 03:06:07	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	209	54¢	$113	0xefb8b1…
07-07 23:01:28	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Switzerland	SELL	214	100¢	$214	0x831392…
07-07 22:01:28	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	214	46¢	$98	0xefe344…
07-07 21:52:20	Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?	No	BUY	109	11¢	$12	0xf0905a…
07-07 21:45:32	Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?	No	SELL	441	26¢	$115	0x31efbb…
07-07 21:34:55	Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?	No	BUY	105	42¢	$44	0x5c5d3f…
07-07 21:34:20	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 btts	Yes	SELL	577	8¢	$46	0x180ed9…
07-07 20:55:55	Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?	No	BUY	336	58¢	$195	0x91a80b…
07-07 19:53:29	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 btts	Yes	BUY	577	52¢	$300	0xca98df…
07-07 16:22:50	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0xd99848…
07-07 16:21:43	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 btts	Yes	SELL	422	96¢	$406	0xf9f5f9…
07-07 15:38:55	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 btts	Yes	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0xb6af94…
07-07 14:32:26	crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 07	India	BUY	67	52¢	$35	0xec6524…
07-07 14:27:14	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	281	14¢	$39	0x9c9884…
07-07 10:34:50	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 btts	Yes	BUY	179	42¢	$75	0x71cd60…
07-07 10:32:43	crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 07	India	BUY	300	50¢	$150	0x4fd822…
07-07 06:30:38	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	84	40¢	$33	0xbf06d0…
07-07 06:30:38	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	89	40¢	$36	0x548250…
07-07 06:30:38	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	40¢	$11	0x041664…
07-07 01:00:44	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	481	21¢	$99	0xd2aac3…
07-07 00:53:35	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	United States	BUY	192	24¢	$46	0x1a30ca…
07-07 00:52:29	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	United States	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0x9511a4…
07-06 11:45:14	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	200	23¢	$46	0xd55b8f…
07-06 11:40:10	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 btts	Yes	BUY	424	59¢	$250	0xf74a2e…