Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$199

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

86.2%

Resolved

Trades

159

lifetime

Volume

$6.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

$65

1 position

First seen

2026-02-17

last 07-28 12:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Politics

65% 67% -$181

Other

32% 64% +$28

Crypto

4% 33% -$48

Sports

0% 100% +$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-28).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No		-69	-$63	94¢	$-65	-$2	07-11 11:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	2	$856	901	0	+901	No	+$46	03-30 16:32
will usdai launch a token by march 31	2	$591	300	300	+0	No	+$9	04-01 09:02
Nothing Ever Happens: March	3	$487	400	284	+117	Nothing	+$4	03-30 14:48
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	16	$456	305	305	+0	No	+$27	04-01 11:50
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$428	488	0	+488	No	+$61	03-29 23:46
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	1	$300	310	0	+310	No	+$10	03-30 12:15
will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	1	$300	310	0	+310	Yes	+$10	03-29 23:39
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	2	$269	299	0	+299	No	+$30	04-01 22:26
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	5	$244	270	0	+270	Yes	-$244	04-02 16:45
will uae strike iran by march 31	1	$237	245	0	+245	No	+$8	03-29 23:36
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	1	$178	200	0	+200	No	+$22	04-02 15:10
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	3	$164	210	0	+210	No	+$46	04-05 09:07
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	2	$164	148	148	+0	No	+$64	03-04 18:32
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	5	$156	270	0	+270	Yes	-$156	04-03 22:27
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	2	$132	89	89	+0	No	+$32	03-02 11:56
will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	3	$132	159	0	+159	Yes	+$27	03-30 16:20
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	6	$112	0	200	-200	Yes	+$112	07-28 12:41
will uk strike iran by march 31	2	$110	62	62	+0	No	+$10	03-19 15:02
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	2	$104	140	0	+140	Yes	-$104	04-02 22:08
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$91	100	0	+100	Yes	-$91	03-30 16:39
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	1	$63	0	69	-69	open	—	07-11 11:23
will khamenei tweet again by march 7 216	1	$46	72	0	+72	Yes	-$46	03-06 12:35
usisrael strike yemen by march 31	2	$46	26	26	+0	No	+$6	04-02 14:49
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	2	$42	32	32	+0	No	+$2	03-31 11:13
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	1	$38	40	0	+40	No	+$2	04-01 15:08
will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	2	$38	30	30	+0	No	-$14	04-02 14:17
Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	1	$29	30	0	+30	No	+$1	04-01 10:08
Joe Kent charged by April 30?	1	$28	30	0	+30	No	+$2	04-01 16:07
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	1	$26	30	0	+30	No	+$4	04-01 10:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 18:05 UTC	4	$22	15	15	+0	Down	+$8	04-01 18:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 12:41:32	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x5a950f…
07-28 12:41:32	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	SELL	25	60¢	$15	0x0b3790…
07-28 04:11:33	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x7d87de…
07-27 11:56:46	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	SELL	1	60¢	$0	0x4a8ead…
07-22 20:03:16	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	SELL	106	55¢	$58	0xe4e8d6…
07-22 09:36:12	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	SELL	61	55¢	$34	0x10b7cb…
07-11 11:23:08	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	69	91¢	$63	0x3cbde5…
07-05 17:47:22	will xauusd dip to 3600 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	120	4¢	$5	0x42fd28…
04-05 09:07:13	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xc26836…
04-03 22:27:31	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x4be625…
04-02 22:08:39	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xd11562…
04-02 22:06:59	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	70	60¢	$42	0xf792c3…
04-02 16:45:05	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	90¢	$21	0x3cd4dc…
04-02 15:10:39	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0xe8728b…
04-02 14:49:11	usisrael strike yemen by march 31	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x4a3681…
04-02 14:30:15	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0xf253da…
04-02 14:17:35	will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	No	SELL	30	40¢	$12	0x51fc76…
04-02 14:10:51	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x27f50f…
04-02 11:01:33	will the golden state warriors make the nba playoffs 223	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x4ddfea…
04-02 10:58:03	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	189	57¢	$108	0xad24de…
04-02 10:57:57	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	55	90¢	$49	0x6b5df1…
04-02 02:42:29	US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	No	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xae9a60…
04-01 22:26:21	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	No	BUY	99	86¢	$85	0x4ddf58…
04-01 18:23:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x2e6066…
04-01 18:11:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 18:05 UTC	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xf0cf58…
04-01 18:09:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x221f99…
04-01 18:09:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x088efc…
04-01 18:08:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x779d2d…
04-01 16:48:19	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	96	90¢	$86	0x0a7f47…
04-01 16:07:53	Joe Kent charged by April 30?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x7271f2…
04-01 16:04:07	US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xfa827d…
04-01 15:43:57	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	90¢	$24	0x4cf28b…
04-01 15:08:47	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x69d6a3…
04-01 11:50:15	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	15	79¢	$11	0x51e044…
04-01 11:49:17	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	21	79¢	$16	0xf24b6d…
04-01 11:47:13	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	39	79¢	$31	0xd82756…
04-01 11:44:15	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x34fb8d…
04-01 11:43:37	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xfae4da…
04-01 11:42:39	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x75860a…
04-01 11:42:03	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x281d3d…
04-01 11:41:27	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0xd2b4c8…
04-01 11:20:31	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	30	79¢	$24	0xf85a8c…
04-01 11:18:07	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	15	79¢	$12	0x12bc13…
04-01 10:55:05	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xee9511…
04-01 10:41:47	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0x0460c5…
04-01 10:41:15	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	63	79¢	$50	0x224ff9…
04-01 10:38:21	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	81	79¢	$64	0x66d593…
04-01 10:31:43	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	70	91¢	$64	0x265abc…
04-01 10:16:53	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x986c87…
04-01 10:13:23	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x1ab0e0…
04-01 10:09:23	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0xdf4f42…
04-01 10:08:51	Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x0dcc94…
04-01 10:01:07	will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	No	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x7da7bb…
04-01 09:02:13	will usdai launch a token by march 31	No	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0xbba511…
03-31 12:53:33	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	No	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x4fa9b0…
03-31 11:13:59	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	SELL	32	70¢	$22	0x5f405c…
03-30 17:43:25	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0xb81bb7…
03-30 17:23:09	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0x5d34d9…
03-30 17:15:17	will usdai launch a token by march 31	No	BUY	300	97¢	$291	0xe9e390…
03-30 16:39:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x605dcb…
03-30 16:32:49	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	BUY	800	98¢	$786	0xe50969…
03-30 16:20:45	will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	Yes	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x07fb12…
03-30 16:19:27	will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	Yes	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xacb996…
03-30 14:48:47	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	SELL	131	66¢	$87	0xa7f905…
03-30 14:46:55	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	SELL	152	66¢	$100	0x4dc980…
03-30 13:32:11	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	BUY	400	75¢	$300	0xc58cd3…
03-30 12:15:38	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	310	97¢	$300	0x8970bb…
03-30 11:45:28	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x0410a3…
03-29 23:46:22	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	149	88¢	$131	0xfe98a6…
03-29 23:45:08	will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	Yes	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0xc82bff…
03-29 23:42:38	usisrael strike yemen by march 31	No	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x16ee9e…
03-29 23:39:42	will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	BUY	310	97¢	$300	0x93a341…
03-29 23:36:40	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	245	97¢	$237	0xa08f85…
03-29 23:21:22	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xcc6656…
03-29 23:03:44	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	229	88¢	$200	0x178778…
03-29 22:07:44	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	111	87¢	$97	0xf991f6…
03-29 20:02:16	crude oil all time high by march 31	Yes	SELL	43	1¢	$0	0xd072cb…
03-23 19:12:49	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	105	52¢	$55	0xe01cab…
03-19 15:19:59	will trump say biden or obama 3 times during events with japanese pm	No	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xa94f5f…
03-19 15:19:45	will trump say tanker or ship or boat 5 times during events with japanese pm	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9cac6f…
03-19 15:19:41	will trump say trade or tariff 3 times during events with japanese pm	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa7f0b4…
03-19 15:19:33	will trump say nato or friend or ally 7 times during events with japanese pm	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x4d732f…
03-19 15:13:11	crude oil all time high by march 31	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0xdbe82c…
03-19 15:02:37	will uk strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	62	97¢	$60	0xb53dbc…
03-06 12:35:29	will khamenei tweet again by march 7 216	No	BUY	72	64¢	$46	0x3eb931…
03-06 12:30:51	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	BUY	101	69¢	$70	0xc6c6d4…
03-06 11:34:53	will uk strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0xc73e46…
03-04 18:32:19	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	No	SELL	148	77¢	$114	0x1e2360…
03-02 11:56:43	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	No	SELL	89	92¢	$82	0xea0eec…
02-28 22:22:51	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	No	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0xa1d56f…
02-28 22:21:09	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	No	BUY	148	34¢	$50	0xa1eb99…
02-28 22:12:49	will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by february 28	No	BUY	63	16¢	$10	0x8a9284…
02-28 21:59:37	us forcibly removes khamenei from power by march 31	No	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0xac2fc4…
02-19 03:26:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0xfe1fe5…
02-19 03:19:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	146	14¢	$20	0xd8fc19…
02-19 03:17:36	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x9c5e8f…
02-19 03:17:02	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x7e9e63…
02-19 03:13:36	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	60	7¢	$4	0xae87a9…
02-19 03:12:34	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5491cd…
02-19 03:10:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xf7f03f…