Realized P&L
+$23
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
90.9%
Resolved
119
Trades
151
lifetime
Volume
$14.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$93
Open exposure
$539
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-24 09:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 70 days
Categories
Other
52% 80% +$179
Tech
19% 95% +$249
Crypto
13% 91% -$57
Politics
8% 44% -$318
Sports
8% 54% -$29
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +188 $188 100¢ $188 +$0 10-18 14:27
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +118 $94 91¢ $108 +$14 10-24 09:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? No +61 $58 99¢ $60 +$2 10-05 20:19
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +66 $44 87¢ $57 +$13 10-05 20:20
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +64 $44 88¢ $56 +$12 10-05 20:20
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +56 $44 94¢ $53 +$9 10-05 20:21
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +58 $15 15¢ $8 -$7 09-05 12:48
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +100 $15 4¢ $4 -$11 09-05 12:48
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 Yes +68 $15 4¢ $3 -$12 08-07 09:29
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +40 $20 4¢ $2 -$18 10-05 20:18