Mysterious-Guard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$206.5K

Unrealized P&L

-$59

Hit rate

61.5%

Resolved

724

Trades

6,099

lifetime

Volume

$2.60M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$426

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-07 19:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 223 days

Categories

Other

92% 47% +$214,575

Sports

8% 50% -$8,203

Politics

0% 0% -$35

Crypto

0% 11% +$147

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 86 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will CA Talleres win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	—	+100	$61	2¢	$2	-$59	11-07 19:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France vs. England end in a draw?	132	$107.4K	55,000	55,000	+0	No	+$36	07-18 22:08
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	64	$63.7K	49,000	49,000	+0	Yes	+$0	06-20 20:01
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	18	$62.7K	49,790	49,790	+0	No	$0	06-21 20:09
fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 spread home 2pt5	5	$59.2K	50,400	50,000	+400	France	-$160	06-22 20:21
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	189	$55.3K	30,000	30,000	+0	No	+$100	06-21 16:00
fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	44	$53.4K	60,500	59,574	+926	IR Iran	-$998	06-21 18:58
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	160	$41.0K	48,178	48,178	+0	Yes	-$482	06-20 16:04
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	13	$40.2K	30,050	30,050	+0	No	+$19,774	06-15 21:48
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	68	$33.8K	52,221	50,574	+1,646	Yes	-$2,753	06-26 17:31
nba gsw min 2026 01 24	107	$33.5K	32,869	28,379	+4,490	Warriors	-$2,324	01-25 23:50
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?	33	$30.9K	16,800	14,455	+2,345	No	+$205	06-14 18:48
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-23?	3	$30.0K	25,000	18,750	+6,250	No	+$13,731	08-23 17:14
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	38	$28.5K	17,334	17,333	+0	No	+$170	06-20 23:13
Will AC Monza win on 2026-08-29?	19	$26.1K	22,184	11,092	+11,092	No	+$7,185	08-29 18:40
nba mia min 2026 01 06	5	$25.4K	27,934	13,236	+14,698	Timberwolves	+$5,291	01-06 23:56
fl1 ogc asm 2026 02 08 asm	8	$23.7K	15,548	15,548	+0	No	+$7,382	02-08 19:16
ssc fcb rmc 2026 01 11 fcb	20	$23.6K	25,765	24,500	+1,265	Yes	+$240	01-11 20:59
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-20?	35	$22.9K	33,209	0	+33,209	No	+$10,295	10-20 18:57
epl mac ars 2026 04 19 ars	56	$21.8K	20,000	8,000	+12,000	No	+$2,640	04-19 14:58
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-09-04?	2	$21.7K	26,500	0	+26,500	No	+$4,770	09-04 18:19
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	4	$21.6K	31,959	0	+31,959	Yes	-$21,570	07-19 18:59
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?	9	$20.1K	26,300	0	+26,300	Yes	-$20,138	06-15 21:38
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-08-30?	2	$19.5K	17,750	8,875	+8,875	No	+$7,091	08-30 18:33
cdr atm fcb 2026 02 12 fcb	6	$19.1K	28,937	0	+28,937	No	-$6,639	02-12 21:05
bra cha bah 2026 08 16 total 2pt5	3	$18.1K	18,000	9,500	+8,500	Over	+$9,350	08-16 16:35
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?	12	$18.0K	20,000	5,168	+14,832	No	+$7,193	05-03 18:41
ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 fcb1	2	$17.6K	20,000	200	+19,800	No	+$2,600	04-08 20:46
lal cel rea 2026 03 07 rea	9	$17.3K	45,000	405	+44,595	Yes	+$28,018	03-06 21:56
ucl cfc1 psg1 2026 03 17 psg1	4	$17.3K	27,090	0	+27,090	Yes	-$17,278	03-17 19:59
nba was phi 2026 01 07	20	$17.1K	16,982	2,934	+14,048	76ers	+$1,967	01-07 23:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 19:21:42	Will CA Talleres win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	SELL	306	24¢	$73	0x028bda…
11-07 18:33:43	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-11-07?	No	BUY	700	28¢	$196	0x65f197…
11-07 18:26:33	Will Paris FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	300	47¢	$141	0x7ccfb1…
11-07 18:20:48	Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$5	0xd6e420…
11-07 18:14:16	Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$38	0xacb7c4…
11-07 18:12:48	Will CA Talleres win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0x7f3165…
11-07 18:11:15	Will CA Talleres win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0x7eb391…
11-07 17:52:40	Will CA Talleres win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xbb2d3f…
11-07 17:52:34	Will CA Talleres win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xea1762…
11-07 17:35:52	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	400	52¢	$208	0x8b09bb…
11-07 13:58:27	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	555	98¢	$544	0xd1bf9d…
11-05 19:50:09	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	10,000	45¢	$4,500	0xf2dfca…
11-04 20:17:31	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x6047c0…
11-04 20:16:40	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04?	No	SELL	566	37¢	$209	0x52812a…
11-04 19:53:04	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	6,666	37¢	$2,466	0xf79f79…
11-04 19:52:13	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	400	38¢	$152	0x68b565…
11-03 19:57:13	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-03?	No	BUY	121	53¢	$64	0x3ea261…
11-03 19:57:13	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-03?	No	BUY	279	53¢	$148	0x20bbdf…
11-03 19:16:34	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-03?	No	BUY	4,000	47¢	$1,880	0x44e315…
11-02 23:52:18	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	555	36¢	$200	0x9e0f3f…
11-02 23:45:31	Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)	Thunder	BUY	500	51¢	$255	0x765a55…
11-02 17:29:46	Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	229	43¢	$99	0x009665…
11-02 17:29:36	Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	217	43¢	$93	0x4ea60b…
11-01 21:42:18	Celtics vs. Magic	Celtics	BUY	4,865	79¢	$3,843	0x07cc2e…
11-01 21:42:06	Celtics vs. Magic	Celtics	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x6821a3…
11-01 21:41:51	Celtics vs. Magic	Celtics	BUY	22	79¢	$18	0xf78ecf…
11-01 21:41:21	Celtics vs. Magic	Celtics	BUY	90	79¢	$71	0xb80612…
11-01 21:40:22	Celtics vs. Magic	Celtics	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x944a9e…
11-01 16:53:49	Olympique Lyonnais vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	150	54¢	$81	0x904c5e…
11-01 15:57:33	Olympique Lyonnais vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	300	55¢	$165	0xc0486d…
10-27 19:30:59	Will Benevento Calcio win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0x2aa9bd…
10-27 19:29:57	Will Benevento Calcio win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0x533d98…
10-25 15:39:15	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x157111…
10-25 15:25:35	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0x940348…
10-24 15:56:59	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	6,700	48¢	$3,216	0x631429…
10-24 15:50:45	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0x2a5bbb…
10-23 18:39:56	Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	1,654	37¢	$612	0xe3b8d9…
10-23 18:39:56	Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	6,901	37¢	$2,553	0x9b9e7a…
10-23 18:39:54	Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	2,000	37¢	$740	0x70df6c…
10-23 18:39:54	Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	126	37¢	$47	0x6f5726…
10-23 18:39:54	Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	819	37¢	$303	0x2666d4…
10-22 18:10:47	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	534	43¢	$230	0xf39efd…
10-22 18:10:47	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	842	43¢	$362	0xbee933…
10-22 18:10:47	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	124	43¢	$53	0x03cd56…
10-22 18:09:21	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xe85b7b…
10-22 18:01:30	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xdbb81e…
10-22 18:00:20	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x29e25d…
10-22 17:59:24	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xabddd6…
10-22 17:59:24	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x29e658…
10-22 17:59:23	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd8e330…
10-22 17:59:06	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	6,666	43¢	$2,866	0xcf8588…
10-22 17:59:05	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	86	43¢	$37	0x15915e…
10-22 17:59:00	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	6,488	43¢	$2,790	0x336c12…
10-22 17:04:26	Will FC Lugano win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	27	46¢	$12	0xf1efe0…
10-22 17:04:24	Will FC Lugano win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	73	46¢	$34	0x45b9cd…
10-22 16:59:56	Will FC Lugano win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0x0ab9ee…
10-22 16:31:18	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	9,763	42¢	$4,101	0xbf61fa…
10-22 16:30:30	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x4b959f…
10-22 16:30:29	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	13	42¢	$5	0xd33672…
10-22 16:30:27	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	77	42¢	$32	0xffd2dd…
10-22 16:30:26	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0x51f17c…
10-22 16:30:24	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0xdb1802…
10-22 16:30:24	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	13	42¢	$5	0x1a2d60…
10-22 16:30:23	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xb72cdd…
10-22 16:30:20	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	89	42¢	$37	0xe6a4e5…
10-22 16:29:47	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	500	42¢	$210	0x3109dc…
10-21 19:46:23	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xee4735…
10-21 19:46:23	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	81	25¢	$20	0xd75066…
10-21 19:46:18	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	17	25¢	$4	0x876302…
10-21 19:45:51	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0x2c7a06…
10-21 17:02:51	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x026938…
10-21 16:55:48	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$4	0x1392b2…
10-20 20:40:26	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x44d7bf…
10-20 20:39:36	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x5f8fa3…
10-20 20:37:54	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x8a66ca…
10-20 20:18:51	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	37	64¢	$24	0x271296…
10-20 20:18:47	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xafdab4…
10-20 20:18:47	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x0c5097…
10-20 20:15:02	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xdc526d…
10-20 20:13:44	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	18	78¢	$14	0x8c3cc2…
10-20 20:13:39	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0xa6613a…
10-20 20:11:11	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x407cd7…
10-20 20:00:21	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	48	79¢	$38	0x8e5673…
10-20 20:00:21	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	143	79¢	$113	0x088fa9…
10-20 20:00:17	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	185	79¢	$146	0x1e892c…
10-20 20:00:12	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	24	79¢	$19	0x0fd6f5…
10-20 20:00:11	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xf1b459…
10-20 20:00:03	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	1,854	79¢	$1,465	0xc49178…
10-20 20:00:03	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	42	79¢	$33	0x4067e3…
10-20 18:57:24	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	4	69¢	$2	0x2a307d…
10-20 18:52:57	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	500	69¢	$345	0xf86fce…
10-20 18:51:00	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	65	69¢	$45	0xe02551…
10-20 18:48:54	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xe3f4ef…
10-20 18:48:14	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0x87ca66…
10-20 18:48:00	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	650	69¢	$448	0xda22a3…
10-20 18:47:56	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0x4bf362…
10-20 18:46:26	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0x156965…
10-20 18:45:18	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	81	69¢	$56	0xb48586…
10-20 18:45:08	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	290	69¢	$200	0x49ab9e…
10-20 18:43:20	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x5ef568…