Hasty-Silk-Level — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$87

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.9%

Resolved

339

Trades

821

lifetime

Volume

$980

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-17

last 09-22 08:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 48% -$36

Politics

16% 55% -$16

Other

11% 37% -$30

Sports

3% 33% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$57	37	37	+0	No	+$5	05-30 15:15
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	8	$38	46	46	+0	Yes	-$10	06-15 06:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	6	$20	24	24	+0	Yes	-$14	06-15 06:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	5	$16	12	12	+0	No	+$6	05-25 18:33
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	5	$14	9	9	+0	Yes	+$1	06-22 18:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	10	$12	20	20	+0	Up	+$0	05-17 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	7	$11	12	9	+2	Down	+$3	05-17 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	9	$11	9	9	+0	Down	+$3	05-18 05:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 14:15 UTC	5	$10	9	9	+0	Down	+$0	07-10 14:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	8	$9	39	39	+0	Yes	-$2	06-16 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	8	$8	14	0	+14	Up	+$6	05-17 15:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 15:50 UTC	5	$8	25	25	+0	Down	+$4	07-04 15:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 07:30 UTC	8	$7	62	2	+60	Down	-$4	06-20 07:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	7	$7	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-17 18:39
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-20?	1	$7	39	0	+39	No	-$7	05-20 12:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	7	$7	36	0	+36	Down	-$7	05-17 16:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 10:40 UTC	8	$7	8	7	+1	Down	$0	06-20 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	4	$6	29	29	+0	Up	+$2	05-17 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	5	$6	8	8	+0	Up	+$0	05-17 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	7	$6	7	7	+0	Down	+$0	05-17 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	5	$6	9	6	+2	Up	+$2	05-17 17:09
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?	3	$6	25	25	+0	No	-$2	06-22 18:52
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	2	$6	26	0	+26	No	-$6	07-06 16:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	6	$6	24	0	+24	Up	-$6	05-17 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	4	$6	9	7	+2	Down	+$2	05-17 15:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 11:40 UTC	6	$6	6	6	+0	Up	$0	06-21 11:44
Will Luis Felipe Dias win by KO or TKO?	2	$5	5	5	+0	Yes	+$4	05-30 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	5	$5	25	19	+7	Down	-$1	05-17 16:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 14:20 UTC	2	$5	25	25	+0	Down	+$3	07-10 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	5	$5	5	4	+2	Down	-$1	05-17 18:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-22 08:13:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 08:10 UTC	Down	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0xc76c8d…
09-22 08:11:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5af570…
09-22 08:11:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 08:10 UTC	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x7860ff…
09-22 08:10:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe010f5…
09-22 07:56:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x68921b…
09-20 17:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0x9e8811…
09-20 17:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5956f7…
09-20 17:09:37	Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x769873…
09-19 10:37:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x946a57…
09-19 10:37:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 10:35 UTC	Up	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0xc754d9…
09-19 10:37:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x2881b0…
09-19 10:16:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 10:15 UTC	Up	SELL	3	18¢	$1	0x5c0f47…
09-19 10:15:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x05c629…
09-19 10:07:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 10:05 UTC	Up	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0xf175c0…
09-19 10:06:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa2e25e…
09-18 09:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x2a7179…
09-18 09:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xdbb0b8…
09-18 09:24:18	Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x531dac…
09-18 09:23:48	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x94793a…
09-15 08:47:57	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x73cda3…
09-02 10:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xd29661…
09-02 10:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9bbbc3…
09-02 10:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x9fceff…
09-02 10:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x02810f…
09-02 10:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xfd41b5…
09-02 10:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x0de896…
09-02 10:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xf26d5b…
08-14 22:41:21	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Ian Machado Garry	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc95580…
08-07 09:09:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x87f9a2…
08-07 09:07:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 09:05 UTC	Up	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0xa27a4c…
08-07 09:06:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 09:05 UTC	Down	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x21f351…
08-07 09:06:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf84fce…
08-07 09:05:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5ff573…
08-02 16:10:44	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0x4bd3e9…
07-31 10:12:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x654196…
07-31 10:03:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xf3233f…
07-31 06:04:54	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x47426a…
07-30 10:08:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 10:05 UTC	Down	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x46d8b7…
07-30 10:08:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1cb9a2…
07-30 09:42:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 09:40 UTC	Up	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0xc5380c…
07-30 09:41:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x6ac728…
07-30 09:39:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbac47d…
07-30 08:27:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 08:25 UTC	Down	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0x2d9b8c…
07-30 08:26:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb68bdc…
07-30 08:22:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 08:20 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xfe636d…
07-30 08:19:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 08:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xba1e01…
07-30 08:17:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa9a9e3…
07-30 08:04:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	14	14¢	$2	0x1603ae…
07-30 08:03:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb208c3…
07-30 07:52:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 07:50 UTC	Up	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x9924f4…
07-30 07:52:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 07:50 UTC	Up	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xeeca0a…
07-30 07:52:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x537480…
07-30 06:18:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:15 UTC	Up	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0xb761d5…
07-30 06:18:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x2c9d30…
07-30 06:03:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x787c81…
07-30 06:03:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x537a0f…
07-30 05:15:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x5efd39…
07-27 07:24:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 07:20 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x47f887…
07-27 07:14:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x513c7c…
07-27 07:09:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 07:05 UTC	Up	SELL	33	3¢	$1	0xadae90…
07-27 07:08:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x7e3de0…
07-27 06:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x23d383…
07-27 06:56:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x72a7a8…
07-26 14:14:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x770b78…
07-26 13:59:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 13:55 UTC	Up	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0x38914e…
07-26 13:58:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc2dbb2…
07-26 13:36:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 13:35 UTC	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x796602…
07-26 13:35:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xbc7b1f…
07-26 11:08:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x07358b…
07-26 11:07:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x6ad511…
07-26 11:07:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xe07b37…
07-26 10:53:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 10:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6895fe…
07-26 10:51:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 10:50 UTC	Up	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x2c8f71…
07-26 10:51:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xaf1633…
07-19 21:30:33	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x6ac0c5…
07-19 21:20:21	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8dde81…
07-15 19:22:40	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6da218…
07-15 19:21:46	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals jude bellingham gte1	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf04584…
07-15 19:14:29	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x94d177…
07-15 14:29:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x44a41e…
07-14 19:04:47	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x601ca4…
07-14 19:04:25	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x8f9f35…
07-12 11:19:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 11:15 UTC	Down	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0xd9f327…
07-12 11:18:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xda3672…
07-12 11:14:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 11:10 UTC	Up	SELL	23	0¢	$0	0xe6a865…
07-12 11:12:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x4ae32e…
07-10 16:31:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 16:30 UTC	Up	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0xb50600…
07-10 16:31:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 16:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x2e0aaa…
07-10 16:31:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x3cc723…
07-10 16:29:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 16:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd104d8…
07-10 14:23:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 14:20 UTC	Up	SELL	25	17¢	$4	0xe3099f…
07-10 14:23:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa1be83…
07-10 14:18:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 14:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0xe316f8…
07-10 14:18:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x4937f6…
07-10 14:18:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 14:15 UTC	Up	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x09a725…
07-10 14:17:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xd9b74c…
07-10 14:17:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x67597b…
07-10 14:08:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x365f1e…
07-10 14:04:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe05302…
07-10 10:55:01	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0xc1f73e…