Realized P&L
-$77.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.54K
Hit rate
71.1%
Resolved
237
Trades
1,007
lifetime
Volume
$624.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$621
Open exposure
$11.3K
9 positions
First seen
2026-02-23
last 10-27 02:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 81 days
Categories
Politics
56% 75% -$75,006
Crypto
43% 54% -$2,473
Other
1% 100% +$168
Sports
0% 100% +$152
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +3,584 $2,527 88¢ $3.1K +$616 10-14 19:09
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? No +3,006 $2,040 88¢ $2.6K +$590 10-27 02:28
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +2,571 $1,440 62¢ $1.6K +$141 09-02 20:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? No +1,830 $1,200 55¢ $997 -$203 10-22 07:34
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +1,562 $1,000 56¢ $883 -$117 10-07 14:19
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +926 $500 94¢ $870 +$370 10-14 12:47
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? No +676 $500 96¢ $649 +$149 10-22 07:34
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +801 $512 64¢ $509 -$4 10-27 06:14
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +84 $50 56¢ $47 -$3 10-21 12:26