Major-Deliberation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.8%

Resolved

Trades

131

lifetime

Volume

$485

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 06-02 06:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

44% 33% -$29

Other

22% 50% -$6

Sports

22% 56% -$4

Politics

11% 33% $0

Tech

1% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-02).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	3	$49	39	39	+0	Down	+$29	06-02 02:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	3	$30	1,142	0	+1,142	Up	-$30	06-02 06:04
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	12	$23	39	39	+0	Yes	+$1	04-27 03:07
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	9	$21	42	42	+0	No	$0	04-22 11:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	3	$16	27	9	+18	Down	+$2	06-02 01:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	2	$15	138	0	+138	Up	-$15	06-02 02:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	3	$15	539	0	+539	Down	-$15	06-02 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	3	$15	1,033	0	+1,033	Down	-$15	06-02 02:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	06-02 01:55
Canadiens vs. Lightning	5	$13	12	12	+0	Canadiens	-$2	05-03 23:33
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega	4	$12	11	11	+0	FURIA Esports	$0	05-03 02:05
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-05-02?	4	$11	11	11	+0	No	$0	05-03 03:30
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)	4	$11	10	10	+0	76ers	+$1	04-29 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	2	$10	30	0	+30	Up	-$10	06-02 05:07
Valorant: LOUD vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	2	$10	6	6	+0	LOUD	+$1	05-03 23:36
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-30?	2	$10	8	8	+0	Yes	$0	04-30 19:28
76ers vs. Celtics	2	$10	8	8	+0	76ers	+$2	04-29 01:16
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	2	$10	6	6	+0	Vitality	$0	04-30 19:01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	3	$9	22	22	+0	No	-$1	04-21 16:24
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5	2	$9	8	8	+0	Over	+$0	04-30 20:24
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-03?	2	$8	6	6	+0	No	+$2	05-03 18:45
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-30?	2	$8	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	04-30 20:30
Stars vs. Wild	3	$7	5	5	+0	Wild	+$0	05-01 00:00
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?	2	$7	6	6	+0	Yes	+$1	05-03 20:16
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-03?	3	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	+$1	05-03 16:57
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Dalibor Svrcina	2	$6	15	0	+15	Dalibor Svrcina	-$6	05-04 15:02
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5	2	$6	5	5	+0	Under	+$0	04-30 03:41
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	2	$6	5	5	+0	GamerLegion	+$1	04-30 01:08
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)	3	$6	6	6	+0	Rockets	+$1	04-27 02:22
Utah vs. Golden Knights	2	$6	5	5	+0	Golden Knights	+$0	04-30 04:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 06:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	22	27¢	$6	0xcefc13…
06-02 06:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xb68c7c…
06-02 06:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x907b13…
06-02 06:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xddb30f…
06-02 05:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xbab5a5…
06-02 05:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x3b2974…
06-02 04:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x81e40e…
06-02 04:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xb50ca1…
06-02 03:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xb81bf9…
06-02 03:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x201e84…
06-02 03:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x17dba4…
06-02 03:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x96f3eb…
06-02 02:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xb06ce5…
06-02 02:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xa3ad7e…
06-02 02:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x42d0dc…
06-02 02:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x1578d1…
06-02 02:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xfe6685…
06-02 02:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xea17f9…
06-02 02:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xcad67e…
06-02 02:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x9a1554…
06-02 02:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x16383d…
06-02 02:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0x8f9f60…
06-02 02:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x949f04…
06-02 02:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x4d6728…
06-02 01:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x0f33ac…
06-02 01:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x956170…
06-02 01:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xc1f02f…
06-02 01:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x68939f…
06-02 01:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x32c207…
06-02 01:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x4e5a2a…
06-02 01:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x468941…
05-04 15:02:56	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Dalibor Svrcina	Benjamin Bonzi	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xade592…
05-04 14:38:42	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Dalibor Svrcina	Benjamin Bonzi	BUY	8	58¢	$4	0x1cf420…
05-04 00:28:02	Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)	Raptors	SELL	4	64¢	$3	0xbd61e1…
05-04 00:15:14	Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)	Raptors	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x68a9e3…
05-03 23:36:40	Valorant: LOUD vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	LOUD	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0x0a8873…
05-03 23:34:36	Valorant: LOUD vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	LOUD	BUY	6	81¢	$4	0x2c2d18…
05-03 23:33:22	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Canadiens	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xcf5c42…
05-03 23:33:22	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Canadiens	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x5316a7…
05-03 22:57:52	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Canadiens	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xfbbe58…
05-03 22:42:26	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Lightning	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xcf8b8a…
05-03 22:27:16	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Lightning	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xb35cbe…
05-03 21:06:30	New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xfdd765…
05-03 20:51:46	New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xa40459…
05-03 20:16:58	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0x2cd291…
05-03 19:15:08	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x327c90…
05-03 19:13:56	Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x7ed56e…
05-03 19:13:12	Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x93b2a6…
05-03 18:45:28	Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-03?	No	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x8db7cb…
05-03 17:41:30	Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-03?	No	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xe3d920…
05-03 16:57:26	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0xa79a24…
05-03 16:51:10	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	SELL	1	56¢	$1	0xc59897…
05-03 16:43:54	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xe95a5c…
05-03 03:30:40	Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-05-02?	No	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0xed9fc5…
05-03 03:19:10	Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-05-02?	No	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x763304…
05-03 02:57:56	Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x635ad6…
05-03 02:43:06	Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xd07573…
05-03 02:05:58	Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega	FURIA Esports	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xf31bf6…
05-03 02:03:12	Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega	FURIA Esports	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2c6989…
05-03 01:41:48	Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega	FURIA Esports	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x94b442…
05-03 01:21:56	Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega	FURIA Esports	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x279861…
05-02 14:33:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xdd646a…
05-02 13:28:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x778bf5…
05-02 13:27:00	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-01?	No	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0x409841…
05-02 13:17:40	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-01?	No	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xd87a00…
05-01 01:05:38	Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 212.5	Under	SELL	5	48¢	$3	0xd182ed…
05-01 01:03:56	Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 212.5	Under	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xe098f3…
05-01 00:00:16	Stars vs. Wild	Wild	SELL	5	68¢	$4	0x6fa434…
04-30 23:51:06	Stars vs. Wild	Wild	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xcc9fc1…
04-30 23:51:06	Stars vs. Wild	Wild	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0x7c8e2b…
04-30 20:30:10	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-30?	Yes	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0xf29397…
04-30 20:26:22	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-30?	Yes	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x585134…
04-30 20:24:08	San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5	Over	SELL	8	57¢	$5	0xad334a…
04-30 20:15:38	San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x02339d…
04-30 19:28:18	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-30?	Yes	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x750625…
04-30 19:24:46	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-30?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x2ac507…
04-30 19:01:00	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	Vitality	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x891eb8…
04-30 18:56:28	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	Vitality	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x3bda40…
04-30 04:57:58	Utah vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xb4c597…
04-30 04:44:32	Utah vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x82650d…
04-30 03:41:00	Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5	Under	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x813912…
04-30 03:34:28	Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5	Under	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x0e940d…
04-30 02:25:36	Penguins vs. Flyers	Flyers	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xe9415f…
04-30 02:10:06	Penguins vs. Flyers	Flyers	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5d0ce2…
04-30 02:08:54	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0xb81cdd…
04-30 01:14:12	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	7	37¢	$2	0xb7d6f9…
04-30 01:08:48	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	GamerLegion	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x8351ad…
04-30 01:05:26	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	GamerLegion	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x1632b3…
04-30 00:12:30	Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5	Under	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0xdb22ad…
04-29 23:17:06	Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5	Under	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x244cac…
04-29 01:16:14	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0x81e33a…
04-29 01:11:58	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xd029c1…
04-29 00:43:38	Spread: Celtics (-11.5)	76ers	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x04047b…
04-29 00:37:34	Spread: Celtics (-11.5)	76ers	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb1a052…
04-28 23:55:54	Spread: Celtics (-11.5)	76ers	SELL	8	54¢	$4	0x7c747d…
04-28 23:44:18	Spread: Celtics (-11.5)	76ers	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x5e08f2…
04-27 03:07:48	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	SELL	7	36¢	$2	0x4639db…
04-27 02:51:38	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0xf117b1…
04-27 02:22:16	Spread: Rockets (-4.5)	Rockets	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0x689010…
04-27 02:22:14	Spread: Rockets (-4.5)	Rockets	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0xa119ab…