Coordinated-Deviance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$177

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.5%

Resolved

192

Trades

310

lifetime

Volume

$56.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$182

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 07-17 11:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 107 days

Categories

Other

49% 97% -$182

Crypto

46% 94% +$2

Politics

5% 100% +$3

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	4	$2.0K	999	999	+0	No	+$1	01-27 11:31
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	2	$1.0K	513	513	+0	Yes	+$2	02-28 07:29
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	2	$1.0K	512	512	+0	Yes	+$1	02-28 06:37
bitcoin above 74k on march 4	2	$1.0K	517	517	+0	No	-$24	03-04 09:10
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	7	$1.0K	503	503	+0	No	+$0	02-03 13:40
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	2	$1.0K	502	502	+0	No	-$1	02-06 02:22
will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on february 7	6	$1.0K	501	501	+0	No	+$0	02-07 04:46
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	2	$999	500	500	+0	No	+$1	01-28 15:26
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	2	$998	500	500	+0	No	+$0	01-27 15:09
bitcoin above 78k on march 10	2	$988	494	494	+0	No	+$0	03-10 04:35
will xrp dip to 0pt8 march 2 8	10	$808	405	405	+0	No	+$0	03-07 14:07
will xrp dip to 0pt9 march 2 8	10	$772	494	279	+215	No	+$0	03-08 10:45
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 22 2026 27c	6	$661	336	335	+0	No	+$9	04-22 02:06
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 21 2026 26c	2	$640	324	323	+0	No	+$6	04-21 01:01
highest temperature in hong kong on april 20 2026 26c	2	$635	321	320	+0	No	+$4	04-19 23:53
xrp above 0pt9 on february 20	2	$614	307	307	+0	Yes	+$0	02-19 17:49
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 14 2026 32corhigher	2	$609	308	308	+0	No	+$6	04-14 06:39
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 23°C on May 17?	2	$605	303	303	+0	No	+$0	05-17 09:55
highest temperature in hong kong on april 11 2026 26c	5	$597	300	300	+0	No	+$2	04-10 17:25
highest temperature in hong kong on april 10 2026 27c	2	$582	293	293	+0	No	+$3	04-10 05:20
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 19 2026 28c	2	$580	291	291	+0	No	+$2	04-19 04:17
highest temperature in beijing on april 9 2026 11c	2	$573	288	288	+0	No	+$3	04-08 16:05
highest temperature in hong kong on april 9 2026 28c	5	$573	288	288	+0	Yes	+$2	04-09 09:15
highest temperature in wellington on march 24 2026 17c	2	$562	281	281	+0	No	+$0	03-23 20:33
xrp above 1pt1 on march 18	4	$536	268	268	+0	Yes	+$0	03-17 07:22
xrp above 1 on february 28	1	$513	513	0	+513	Yes	+$1	02-28 11:18
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	1	$512	513	0	+513	Yes	+$1	02-28 07:36
xrp above 1pt9 on february 25	1	$509	509	0	+509	No	+$1	02-24 02:45
xrp above 2 on february 13	1	$501	502	0	+502	No	+$1	02-12 02:40
will the price of xrp be between 1pt90 2pt00 on february 11	1	$501	501	0	+501	No	+$1	02-10 03:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 11:10:00	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or below on July 19?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x86eb3a…
07-17 11:09:27	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on July 19?	No	BUY	159	100¢	$159	0x7373a7…
07-17 11:09:06	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on July 18?	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xacd22d…
07-10 12:45:05	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on July 11?	No	BUY	189	100¢	$189	0x1124fd…
07-10 12:44:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C or below on July 11?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x411b68…
07-07 02:44:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on July 8?	No	BUY	315	100¢	$315	0x6275e7…
07-05 07:09:35	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C or below on July 6?	No	BUY	315	100¢	$315	0x191080…
07-03 01:59:07	Will the lowest temperature in London be 23°C or higher on July 4?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xfea0de…
07-03 01:55:31	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C or below on July 4?	No	BUY	198	100¢	$197	0x741ba4…
07-01 02:53:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 1?	No	BUY	314	100¢	$314	0xcf7134…
06-30 03:43:17	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 30?	No	BUY	314	100¢	$314	0xee0546…
06-29 02:26:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 29?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x498cc6…
06-29 02:25:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 29?	No	BUY	294	100¢	$293	0x39ae40…
06-28 10:27:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	259	100¢	$258	0x71cc2b…
06-27 04:20:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C or below on June 28?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x9253f0…
06-25 12:31:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on June 26?	No	BUY	313	100¢	$312	0xabf7f6…
06-21 03:18:41	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 21?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xd30dba…
06-21 03:18:28	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 76°F or higher on June 21?	No	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0x0bf60c…
06-21 03:17:35	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 21?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xfd9408…
06-20 03:24:29	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 20?	No	BUY	312	100¢	$312	0xa4d947…
06-19 03:12:11	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 19?	No	BUY	312	100¢	$312	0x41d095…
06-16 03:52:55	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on June 17?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x609230…
06-16 03:52:19	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 17?	No	BUY	242	100¢	$242	0x02859a…
06-15 03:45:00	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on June 15?	No	BUY	311	100¢	$311	0xf2e2ee…
06-12 06:31:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on June 12?	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x217512…
06-12 06:30:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 12?	No	BUY	228	100¢	$228	0xa47787…
06-11 12:25:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	303	100¢	$302	0x16cc59…
06-09 07:06:18	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on June 10?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x9a07b0…
06-09 07:05:18	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or higher on June 9?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8fe75a…
06-09 07:04:51	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 10?	No	BUY	274	100¢	$274	0xd85e88…
06-08 09:09:45	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 8?	No	BUY	309	100¢	$309	0x3135da…
06-07 06:10:13	Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on June 7?	No	BUY	309	100¢	$309	0x303f8c…
06-05 08:23:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on June 5?	No	BUY	309	100¢	$309	0xa3c007…
06-03 08:16:17	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 3?	No	BUY	308	100¢	$308	0x0137b9…
06-02 08:29:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 2?	No	BUY	308	100¢	$308	0xa078a2…
06-01 08:31:39	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 1?	No	BUY	244	100¢	$244	0xd7b685…
06-01 08:31:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 1?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x974caf…
05-31 02:54:47	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 31?	No	BUY	307	100¢	$307	0x3f553c…
05-29 09:21:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 29?	No	BUY	307	100¢	$307	0xe0f55a…
05-28 02:22:34	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 28?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x405b45…
05-27 04:32:56	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 28?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xdebf33…
05-27 04:32:15	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on May 28?	No	BUY	192	100¢	$191	0x1dd6b2…
05-27 04:25:42	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 27?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xfd8e49…
05-25 06:22:26	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C or below on May 27?	No	BUY	306	100¢	$306	0xe2d6b6…
05-24 03:13:46	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on May 24?	No	BUY	306	100¢	$306	0x9ce553…
05-23 03:09:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 24?	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0x894513…
05-23 03:09:05	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or below on May 24?	No	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0x146c72…
05-22 08:08:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc18a32…
05-22 08:06:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 23?	No	BUY	290	100¢	$289	0xb8bbe3…
05-19 06:26:41	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.90 on May 21?	No	BUY	304	100¢	$303	0x417955…
05-17 09:55:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on May 17?	No	BUY	304	100¢	$304	0x5cae81…
05-17 09:55:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 23°C on May 17?	No	SELL	303	100¢	$303	0x15af7e…
05-16 03:04:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 23°C on May 17?	No	BUY	303	100¢	$302	0x957e54…
05-15 03:01:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 21°C on May 16?	No	BUY	303	100¢	$303	0xacf6ae…
05-14 02:37:08	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 22°C on May 15?	No	BUY	303	100¢	$303	0x598c97…
05-13 02:03:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on May 14?	No	BUY	302	100¢	$301	0x8e8ef1…
05-13 02:02:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 13?	No	SELL	242	100¢	$242	0xd6f92c…
05-12 06:32:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 13?	No	BUY	242	100¢	$242	0x7c3d1b…
05-11 11:25:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on May 12?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xbeca6e…
05-11 06:42:11	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on May 12?	No	BUY	225	100¢	$225	0x8772f5…
05-10 05:14:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C or higher on May 10?	No	BUY	241	100¢	$240	0x6edc42…
05-09 08:23:53	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 22°C on May 10?	No	BUY	241	100¢	$241	0x690372…
05-08 16:08:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 9?	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x12f15b…
05-08 16:08:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 9?	No	SELL	189	100¢	$189	0x055508…
05-08 09:22:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 9?	No	BUY	237	98¢	$233	0xe75844…
05-07 10:42:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 8?	No	BUY	236	100¢	$236	0xdfc487…
05-06 06:45:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 6?	No	BUY	236	100¢	$236	0x4c7f40…
05-05 06:03:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C or below on May 6?	No	BUY	188	100¢	$188	0xd5b75a…
05-05 06:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on May 6?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3249bb…
05-05 06:03:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on May 6?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xcbc820…
05-01 10:56:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on May 2?	No	BUY	117	99¢	$116	0xa7126b…
05-01 10:56:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 2?	No	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0x0c38ff…
05-01 10:55:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 2?	No	BUY	117	99¢	$116	0x6e64be…
04-29 09:24:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 29?	No	BUY	292	100¢	$291	0x104a37…
04-28 10:42:44	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	292	100¢	$292	0x8240d7…
04-26 09:29:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	143	100¢	$142	0xfea9fd…
04-26 08:57:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0x549d42…
04-26 08:40:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 26?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x7f9440…
04-26 08:05:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 26?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xdd6209…
04-26 08:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	143	98¢	$140	0xff9654…
04-26 08:05:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	115	99¢	$114	0xa6b4f6…
04-23 16:00:06	highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 22c	No	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0x812ec5…
04-23 15:57:16	highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 22c	No	SELL	92	100¢	$91	0x0591c6…
04-23 15:53:34	highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 22c	No	BUY	115	99¢	$113	0xfb347f…
04-23 15:53:22	highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 22c	No	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0x91df53…
04-23 15:47:00	highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 22c	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x62a580…
04-23 15:46:38	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 24 2026 21c	No	BUY	55	89¢	$49	0x74f8a3…
04-22 02:06:48	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 22 2026 27c	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x79dec0…
04-22 02:06:16	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 22 2026 27c	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb839db…
04-22 02:06:14	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 22 2026 27c	No	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0x78e350…
04-22 01:56:48	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 22 2026 27c	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x935d50…
04-22 01:54:12	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 22 2026 27c	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xefce5a…
04-21 08:50:42	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 22 2026 27c	No	BUY	336	97¢	$326	0x9bffd7…
04-21 01:01:24	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 21 2026 26c	No	SELL	323	100¢	$323	0x44bb0f…
04-20 13:44:38	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 21 2026 26c	No	BUY	324	98¢	$317	0xc69933…
04-19 23:53:46	highest temperature in hong kong on april 20 2026 26c	No	SELL	320	100¢	$320	0xe2caee…
04-19 14:43:42	highest temperature in hong kong on april 20 2026 26c	No	BUY	321	98¢	$316	0x0a43a1…
04-19 04:17:42	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 19 2026 28c	No	SELL	291	100¢	$291	0xf05da0…
04-18 10:03:30	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 19 2026 28c	No	BUY	291	99¢	$289	0x89c642…
04-18 10:02:48	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 19 2026 25c	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4ec309…