Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$470.9K

Unrealized P&L

+$382

Hit rate

57.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,767

lifetime

Volume

$1.32M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$747

Open exposure

$8.81K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-22 21:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Politics

87% 62% -$503,661

Other

13% 100% +$32,713

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes		+6,481	$5,703	92¢	$6.0K	+$292	10-22 21:50
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No		+3,000	$2,730	94¢	$2.8K	+$90	08-23 17:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	268	$252.9K	167,947	109,299	+58,648	No	+$21,567	03-29 13:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	393	$206.4K	362,133	0	+362,133	Yes	-$206,433	02-19 08:53
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	5	$115.4K	119,095	0	+119,095	No	+$3,682	01-15 08:26
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	238	$110.7K	189,912	0	+189,912	Yes	-$110,732	04-07 21:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	247	$88.1K	100,037	0	+100,037	No	+$11,948	04-07 09:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	107	$80.1K	108,784	0	+108,784	Yes	-$80,125	02-11 16:16
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	23	$72.1K	42,063	42,063	+0	Yes	+$1,882	02-02 07:37
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	17	$71.1K	90,000	0	+90,000	No	+$18,900	08-11 19:44
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	80	$70.0K	129,845	0	+129,845	Yes	-$69,990	04-07 09:31
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	6	$57.4K	30,000	30,000	+0	No	+$2,206	02-19 01:48
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	177	$49.4K	61,983	0	+61,983	Yes	-$49,436	04-02 08:15
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	73	$42.3K	93,741	0	+93,741	Yes	-$42,348	04-05 04:43
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	26	$35.6K	40,000	0	+40,000	No	+$4,400	03-06 15:46
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	32	$29.6K	37,639	0	+37,639	No	+$8,010	03-23 09:28
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	41	$16.3K	27,047	0	+27,047	Yes	+$10,703	02-19 10:11
will hamas agree to disarm by march 31 966	10	$7.2K	9,027	0	+9,027	No	+$1,865	01-09 13:18
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	8	$5.7K	6,481	0	+6,481	open	—	10-22 21:50
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	5	$5.1K	6,000	0	+6,000	No	+$900	02-22 09:30
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	9	$2.7K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	08-23 17:39
ukraine officially agrees to a us backed ceasefire framework by march 31 214	1	$1.9K	3,492	0	+3,492	No	+$1,606	01-09 11:10
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$543	987	0	+987	Yes	+$444	02-22 10:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 21:50:59	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	329	88¢	$289	0xa9624f…
10-22 21:45:56	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	223	88¢	$197	0x21d2fb…
08-26 22:45:52	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	929	88¢	$817	0x59bf57…
08-23 17:39:37	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	2,163	91¢	$1,968	0xfbf9fb…
08-18 18:11:30	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x32808d…
08-15 20:09:54	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	217	91¢	$198	0x475372…
08-15 18:52:45	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x161ba1…
08-15 18:46:40	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0xdfa945…
08-15 18:38:55	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x15b535…
08-15 10:54:39	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	7	91¢	$7	0x07ff3b…
08-15 09:57:28	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	7	91¢	$7	0x3f3cd7…
08-15 08:24:33	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	587	91¢	$534	0x995055…
08-11 19:44:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	30,000	83¢	$24,900	0xd5596f…
07-28 17:44:49	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x94c68b…
07-28 17:05:25	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	850	88¢	$748	0xb0e061…
07-27 04:34:19	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	860	88¢	$757	0x891763…
07-27 01:45:48	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,686	88¢	$1,483	0xbd4653…
07-26 22:24:12	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,595	88¢	$1,404	0xa62af9…
07-25 13:41:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	46,424	77¢	$35,747	0x93a5ea…
07-25 13:37:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xb43cb0…
07-25 11:53:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	43	77¢	$33	0x547922…
07-25 10:44:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x8ee3d3…
07-25 10:28:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0xc5958f…
07-25 09:51:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0x2a96b9…
07-25 07:48:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	27	77¢	$21	0xbebca8…
07-25 07:31:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	160	77¢	$123	0xa82409…
07-25 05:18:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0xdda367…
07-25 04:21:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	109	77¢	$84	0x37d8a7…
07-22 22:34:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	476	77¢	$366	0x1753ec…
07-22 21:57:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	43	77¢	$33	0x1466b2…
07-22 17:04:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x037e15…
07-22 16:21:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0xcde32f…
07-22 16:21:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	12,480	77¢	$9,610	0xf96019…
07-22 16:21:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x878e03…
04-07 21:48:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	3,358	37¢	$1,242	0x3607bf…
04-07 21:47:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0x69acf8…
04-07 21:47:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	1,587	37¢	$587	0x9f48bf…
04-07 21:47:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x40a5ef…
04-07 21:47:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	3,000	37¢	$1,110	0x13c48c…
04-07 21:47:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	314	37¢	$116	0x177dcb…
04-07 21:03:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	17	37¢	$6	0x3365ca…
04-07 21:03:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	2,445	37¢	$905	0xd8acd9…
04-07 21:03:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	3,459	38¢	$1,314	0x095737…
04-07 21:03:15	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	4,000	38¢	$1,520	0x2702df…
04-07 21:03:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xdcd628…
04-07 21:02:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0xcc7653…
04-07 21:02:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	2,520	38¢	$958	0x258b85…
04-07 09:31:33	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	26	51¢	$13	0x373428…
04-07 09:24:03	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x3b3290…
04-07 09:15:07	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x6b348e…
04-07 09:14:33	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	42	51¢	$21	0x859e06…
04-07 09:06:23	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x6cae89…
04-07 09:06:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	11,347	85¢	$9,645	0xc64bbe…
04-07 09:03:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x7a3f61…
04-07 09:03:41	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	48	51¢	$25	0x3bdaa8…
04-07 09:02:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x05a947…
04-07 09:01:39	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xad905c…
04-07 09:01:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	400	85¢	$340	0x0c5922…
04-07 09:00:33	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	26	51¢	$13	0xbf5e2e…
04-07 09:00:17	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	983	51¢	$501	0x9da704…
04-07 08:59:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0x7d34bd…
04-07 08:59:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	65	85¢	$55	0x2059a9…
04-07 08:57:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x698777…
04-07 08:56:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	133	85¢	$113	0x8e63da…
04-07 08:52:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	600	85¢	$510	0x15beb2…
04-07 08:48:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	19	85¢	$16	0x90570e…
04-07 08:48:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	120	85¢	$102	0xe5afce…
04-07 08:47:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x5622b1…
04-07 08:47:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	39	85¢	$33	0x931287…
04-07 08:47:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x3ac6d3…
04-07 08:43:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x13ada3…
04-07 08:40:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	93	85¢	$79	0x7b61ee…
04-07 08:37:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	33	85¢	$28	0xd9bda0…
04-07 08:37:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0xff889d…
04-07 08:37:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x37568f…
04-07 08:34:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x0fb646…
04-07 08:33:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	7,004	85¢	$5,953	0x4eb009…
04-05 04:43:43	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xae2be7…
04-05 04:33:57	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0xc2754d…
04-05 04:22:31	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x8acb32…
04-05 04:17:11	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x701e1a…
04-05 04:15:57	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	338	54¢	$182	0xa10833…
04-05 04:09:31	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	588	54¢	$318	0x802a88…
04-05 03:36:37	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	300	54¢	$162	0xc5e956…
04-05 03:24:07	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x6cfde5…
04-05 02:51:37	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	270	54¢	$146	0x51cf03…
04-05 02:41:11	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	105	54¢	$57	0xfe87ef…
04-05 02:38:35	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	627	54¢	$339	0x55aff9…
04-05 02:29:19	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x418dee…
04-05 02:06:11	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0xbec22f…
04-05 02:06:05	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0x005469…
04-05 01:56:31	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc83f6e…
04-05 01:56:31	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa136d4…
04-05 01:46:27	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	54	54¢	$29	0x5c7bed…
04-05 01:44:51	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	435	54¢	$235	0x77d409…
04-05 01:23:55	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xc98cb0…
04-05 00:55:59	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	109	54¢	$59	0x445f00…
04-05 00:54:01	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x1412de…
04-05 00:50:23	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xbc3fa0…
04-05 00:30:17	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xa98181…