Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$286.6K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,733

lifetime

Volume

$1.24M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$716

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 04-07 21:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

92% 0% $-286,558

Other

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 207 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	268	$252.9K	167,947	109,299	+58,648	open	—	03-29 13:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	393	$206.4K	362,133	0	+362,133	Yes	$-206,433	02-19 08:53
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	5	$115.4K	119,095	0	+119,095	open	—	01-15 08:26
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	238	$110.7K	189,912	0	+189,912	open	—	04-07 21:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	247	$88.1K	100,037	0	+100,037	open	—	04-07 09:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	107	$80.1K	108,784	0	+108,784	Yes	$-80,125	02-11 16:16
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	23	$72.1K	42,063	42,063	+0	open	—	02-02 07:37
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	80	$70.0K	129,845	0	+129,845	open	—	04-07 09:31
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	6	$57.4K	30,000	30,000	+0	open	—	02-19 01:48
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	177	$49.4K	61,983	0	+61,983	open	—	04-02 08:15
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	73	$42.3K	93,741	0	+93,741	open	—	04-05 04:43
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	26	$35.6K	40,000	0	+40,000	open	—	03-06 15:46
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	32	$29.6K	37,639	0	+37,639	open	—	03-23 09:28
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	41	$16.3K	27,047	0	+27,047	open	—	02-19 10:11
will hamas agree to disarm by march 31 966	10	$7.2K	9,027	0	+9,027	open	—	01-09 13:18
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	5	$5.1K	6,000	0	+6,000	open	—	02-22 09:30
ukraine officially agrees to a us backed ceasefire framework by march 31 214	1	$1.9K	3,492	0	+3,492	open	—	01-09 11:10
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$543	987	0	+987	open	—	02-22 10:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-07 21:48:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	3,358	37¢	$1,242	0x3607bf…
04-07 21:47:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0x69acf8…
04-07 21:47:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	1,587	37¢	$587	0x9f48bf…
04-07 21:47:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x40a5ef…
04-07 21:47:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	3,000	37¢	$1,110	0x13c48c…
04-07 21:47:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	314	37¢	$116	0x177dcb…
04-07 21:03:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	17	37¢	$6	0x3365ca…
04-07 21:03:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	2,445	37¢	$905	0xd8acd9…
04-07 21:03:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	3,459	38¢	$1,314	0x095737…
04-07 21:03:15	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	4,000	38¢	$1,520	0x2702df…
04-07 21:03:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xdcd628…
04-07 21:02:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0xcc7653…
04-07 21:02:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	2,520	38¢	$958	0x258b85…
04-07 09:31:33	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	26	51¢	$13	0x373428…
04-07 09:24:03	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x3b3290…
04-07 09:15:07	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x6b348e…
04-07 09:14:33	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	42	51¢	$21	0x859e06…
04-07 09:06:23	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x6cae89…
04-07 09:06:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	11,347	85¢	$9,645	0xc64bbe…
04-07 09:03:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x7a3f61…
04-07 09:03:41	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	48	51¢	$25	0x3bdaa8…
04-07 09:02:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x05a947…
04-07 09:01:39	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xad905c…
04-07 09:01:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	400	85¢	$340	0x0c5922…
04-07 09:00:33	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	26	51¢	$13	0xbf5e2e…
04-07 09:00:17	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	983	51¢	$501	0x9da704…
04-07 08:59:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0x7d34bd…
04-07 08:59:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	65	85¢	$55	0x2059a9…
04-07 08:57:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x698777…
04-07 08:56:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	133	85¢	$113	0x8e63da…
04-07 08:52:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	600	85¢	$510	0x15beb2…
04-07 08:48:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	19	85¢	$16	0x90570e…
04-07 08:48:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	120	85¢	$102	0xe5afce…
04-07 08:47:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x5622b1…
04-07 08:47:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	39	85¢	$33	0x931287…
04-07 08:47:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x3ac6d3…
04-07 08:43:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x13ada3…
04-07 08:40:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	93	85¢	$79	0x7b61ee…
04-07 08:37:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	33	85¢	$28	0xd9bda0…
04-07 08:37:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0xff889d…
04-07 08:37:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x37568f…
04-07 08:34:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x0fb646…
04-07 08:33:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	7,004	85¢	$5,953	0x4eb009…
04-05 04:43:43	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xae2be7…
04-05 04:33:57	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0xc2754d…
04-05 04:22:31	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x8acb32…
04-05 04:17:11	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x701e1a…
04-05 04:15:57	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	338	54¢	$182	0xa10833…
04-05 04:09:31	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	588	54¢	$318	0x802a88…
04-05 03:36:37	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	300	54¢	$162	0xc5e956…
04-05 03:24:07	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x6cfde5…
04-05 02:51:37	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	270	54¢	$146	0x51cf03…
04-05 02:41:11	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	105	54¢	$57	0xfe87ef…
04-05 02:38:35	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	627	54¢	$339	0x55aff9…
04-05 02:29:19	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x418dee…
04-05 02:06:11	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0xbec22f…
04-05 02:06:05	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0x005469…
04-05 01:56:31	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc83f6e…
04-05 01:56:31	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa136d4…
04-05 01:46:27	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	54	54¢	$29	0x5c7bed…
04-05 01:44:51	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	435	54¢	$235	0x77d409…
04-05 01:23:55	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xc98cb0…
04-05 00:55:59	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	109	54¢	$59	0x445f00…
04-05 00:54:01	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x1412de…
04-05 00:50:23	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xbc3fa0…
04-05 00:30:17	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xa98181…
04-05 00:29:01	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x887708…
04-05 00:20:45	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x7fe521…
04-05 00:15:33	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	33	54¢	$18	0xcd33f1…
04-05 00:11:57	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x044ae5…
04-05 00:09:47	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	36	54¢	$19	0x8f983d…
04-05 00:09:45	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	15,000	54¢	$8,100	0xaa363f…
04-05 00:09:45	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	36	54¢	$20	0x646c18…
04-04 23:52:51	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x7908c1…
04-04 23:45:29	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x3636da…
04-04 23:45:23	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x9931da…
04-04 23:40:25	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x4f8491…
04-04 23:40:01	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2a0366…
04-04 23:39:53	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0x6e4520…
04-04 23:15:51	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x8f9e87…
04-04 23:13:19	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe27556…
04-04 22:57:51	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	786	54¢	$424	0x1b5660…
04-04 22:57:33	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	35	54¢	$19	0xbc3a91…
04-04 22:55:31	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xfd1dda…
04-04 22:52:39	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x2be044…
04-04 22:26:17	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xa7f706…
04-04 21:58:13	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	217	54¢	$117	0x0dd3d2…
04-04 21:57:35	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	14	54¢	$7	0x13ab97…
04-04 21:56:07	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	217	54¢	$117	0xb6f091…
04-04 21:54:55	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x286fc2…
04-04 21:40:01	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	1,087	54¢	$587	0xf6f479…
04-04 21:31:13	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x621c88…
04-04 21:22:01	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe12ee4…
04-04 21:22:01	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	5,606	54¢	$3,027	0x5feb6f…
04-04 18:11:03	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	10,644	63¢	$6,706	0x1d1a53…
04-04 15:47:33	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	3,733	53¢	$1,978	0xe7a4c2…
04-04 15:42:07	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0x8c3589…
04-04 15:41:01	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0x70fe20…
04-04 15:39:07	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x052253…
04-04 15:34:25	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x9e0cfe…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	18	$7.31M	13,372	05-09 12:49
Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35	18	$2.73M	8,550	05-08 19:22
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	18	$386.6K	6,077	05-08 17:02
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	18	$79.2K	6,113	04-29 17:28
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	18	$58.3K	577	05-12 05:42
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	18	$31.3K	2,804	03-28 06:07
Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8	17	$537.0K	1,945	05-08 19:19
Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b	17	$408.9K	934	05-07 07:46