Rural-Winter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 07-02 03:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 100% +$0

Politics

29% — —

Other

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	10	$137	4,394	4,300	+94	open	—	02-13 03:52
us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	1	$95	95	0	+95	open	—	02-16 23:42
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	1	$90	90	0	+90	open	—	02-16 02:58
bitcoin above 74k on april 12	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	04-12 13:03
bitcoin above 76k on april 11	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	04-11 12:07
bitcoin above 76k on april 10	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	04-10 13:28
bitcoin above 74k on april 9	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	04-09 09:10
bitcoin above 72k on april 7	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	04-07 12:44
ethereum above 2300 on april 6	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	04-05 21:19
ethereum above 2200 on april 4	1	$28	29	0	+29	open	—	04-04 07:26
ethereum above 1900 on april 3	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	04-03 13:10
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on april 1	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	04-01 13:11
ethereum above 2200 on march 31	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	03-31 14:21
ethereum above 2300 on march 30	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	03-30 08:26
ethereum above 2200 on march 29	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	03-29 08:57
ethereum above 1800 on march 27	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	03-27 14:07
ethereum above 1900 on march 26	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	03-26 00:52
bitcoin above 76k on march 25	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	03-25 06:40
ethereum above 1800 on march 23	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	03-23 12:30
ethereum above 1900 on march 22	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	03-22 13:38
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 21	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	03-21 14:41
will bitcoin reach 78k on march 20	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	03-20 14:18
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 19	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	03-19 14:27
bitcoin above 68k on march 16	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	03-16 09:42
us forces enter iran by march 3 882 999	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	03-03 08:50
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	02-23 04:34
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	02-22 03:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	05-30 08:03
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	3	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	02-28 18:56
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	02-21 03:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 03:06:23	bitcoin above 66k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x51f230…
06-28 15:01:29	ethereum above 1700 on june 28 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x891900…
06-25 09:03:53	bitcoin above 66k on june 25 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x541040…
06-14 09:54:45	bitcoin above 68k on june 14 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x5f69f9…
06-12 10:24:04	ethereum above 1800 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0x929db6…
06-11 05:53:45	bitcoin above 66k on june 11 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0xe98ff2…
06-07 08:33:51	ethereum above 1800 on june 7 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd40fa5…
06-04 15:03:28	ethereum above 1900 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x809b32…
06-02 10:22:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x07bd37…
05-30 08:03:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x039236…
05-27 14:36:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7964f9…
05-22 13:40:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x31f4f2…
05-21 10:28:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xc53a00…
05-20 14:53:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdc44a1…
05-15 13:11:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8b1ee2…
05-14 10:05:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5bec78…
05-13 11:55:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x7b6bcf…
05-11 12:54:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6563bb…
05-10 13:57:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x2d1476…
05-07 14:00:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x78d684…
05-05 14:32:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xf8c19b…
05-04 12:52:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x921a5c…
05-02 14:37:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x47691c…
04-27 14:11:52	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a2e29…
04-27 13:41:18	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x696039…
04-23 11:38:04	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb5d31b…
04-22 13:15:46	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x5ff2da…
04-21 15:26:20	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on april 21	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x59b2e4…
04-21 14:57:50	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on april 21	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x51f20d…
04-21 14:44:48	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on april 21	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x71e874…
04-20 14:16:28	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 90 114	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x3d184d…
04-19 14:21:56	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xeb335c…
04-17 15:10:36	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8efb66…
04-16 15:14:30	bitcoin above 76k on april 16	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe61885…
04-15 08:10:28	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3c6c0d…
04-14 10:56:49	ethereum above 2100 on april 14	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3c73ef…
04-13 12:35:57	bitcoin above 74k on april 13	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x77eeab…
04-12 13:03:33	bitcoin above 74k on april 12	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xe85ec8…
04-11 12:07:37	bitcoin above 76k on april 11	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x4d7c8f…
04-10 13:28:59	bitcoin above 76k on april 10	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x926f1d…
04-09 09:10:21	bitcoin above 74k on april 9	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xee2be0…
04-07 12:44:39	bitcoin above 72k on april 7	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x278981…
04-05 21:19:41	ethereum above 2300 on april 6	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x400e09…
04-04 07:26:49	ethereum above 2200 on april 4	No	BUY	29	100¢	$28	0xdde7b4…
04-03 13:10:25	ethereum above 1900 on april 3	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa78ffc…
04-01 13:11:09	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on april 1	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x7fe52b…
03-31 14:21:29	ethereum above 2200 on march 31	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa10d4e…
03-30 08:26:18	ethereum above 2300 on march 30	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x5071c4…
03-29 08:57:34	ethereum above 2200 on march 29	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x926565…
03-27 14:07:01	ethereum above 1800 on march 27	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x1aec88…
03-26 00:52:59	ethereum above 1900 on march 26	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x07b085…
03-25 06:40:17	bitcoin above 76k on march 25	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x40ac96…
03-23 12:30:41	ethereum above 1800 on march 23	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x31233d…
03-22 13:38:15	ethereum above 1900 on march 22	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x9f45c5…
03-21 14:41:41	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 21	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x4dba98…
03-20 14:18:17	will bitcoin reach 78k on march 20	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x4ffebc…
03-19 14:27:15	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 19	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xedc735…
03-18 02:50:53	bitcoin above 80k on march 18	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xaacbc1…
03-17 10:14:55	bitcoin above 80k on march 17	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa00b51…
03-16 09:42:51	bitcoin above 68k on march 16	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa372d2…
03-13 00:11:51	bitcoin above 60k on march 13	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x5c3a09…
03-11 09:54:15	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x9e3930…
03-03 08:50:05	us forces enter iran by march 3 882 999	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x1471b5…
03-01 16:03:37	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x41018b…
02-28 18:56:51	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x02c3ec…
02-28 17:28:43	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x608801…
02-28 17:28:17	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x3a3e81…
02-23 04:34:52	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x143d25…
02-22 03:25:22	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xe35c15…
02-21 03:40:00	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x96996b…
02-16 23:42:57	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x2ad6bf…
02-16 02:58:57	us strikes iran by february 15 2026	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x2b9aa0…
02-13 05:22:45	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	2,009	0¢	$6	0xe79bfd…
02-13 03:52:39	us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xceddf8…
02-12 16:00:33	us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	Yes	SELL	1,300	0¢	$6	0x31bba0…
02-12 15:35:49	us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	Yes	BUY	1,300	0¢	$6	0x8ae216…
02-12 15:24:07	us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$5	0xbf1838…
02-12 15:22:37	us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	Yes	BUY	498	0¢	$2	0xc1b1af…
02-12 15:22:29	us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	Yes	BUY	411	0¢	$2	0x0c11e9…
02-12 15:22:09	us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	Yes	BUY	91	0¢	$0	0xb46bbc…
02-12 15:14:47	us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$10	0x7bcc74…
02-12 15:13:55	us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	Yes	BUY	1,091	0¢	$5	0xbdde35…
02-12 15:13:29	us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	Yes	BUY	909	0¢	$5	0x5b6260…
02-12 13:12:47	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	2,009	0¢	$6	0xb81fe1…