Wrong-Appropriation — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$626

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.2%

Resolved (90d)

175

Trades (90d)

671

6,460 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$7.63K

$57.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-27 22:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 227 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 62% -$1,568

Other

10% 34% -$521

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 13?	34	$583	640	640	+0	Yes	+$15	07-13 15:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 2?	26	$542	371	371	+0	Yes	+$193	07-02 15:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 14?	8	$478	506	253	+253	No	+$23	07-14 15:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 1?	3	$378	350	350	+0	Yes	+$315	07-01 15:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 6?	36	$332	320	160	+160	Yes	-$15	07-06 15:43
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$328	1,002	1,002	+0	open	—	05-28 04:41
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	6	$318	410	410	+0	No	-$160	06-12 14:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 8?	20	$285	300	150	+150	No	+$12	07-08 15:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?	2	$282	220	220	+0	No	-$4	05-29 05:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 25?	6	$270	210	210	+0	Yes	+$140	06-25 15:55
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	5	$269	190	190	+0	Yes	+$77	09-30 15:27
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on May 23?	3	$258	268	0	+268	Yes	-$258	05-23 06:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 9?	4	$249	300	100	+200	No	-$133	06-09 03:40
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 12?	11	$246	260	260	+0	No	+$12	07-12 15:37
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	4	$232	1,158	1,158	+0	No	-$189	05-23 21:08
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	9	$231	149	149	+0	Yes	+$64	09-28 15:53
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	7	$229	180	180	+0	Yes	+$37	09-07 14:51
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 20?	13	$227	202	202	+0	No	-$23	07-20 15:28
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	13	$218	9,932	9,932	+0	No	-$159	05-23 20:30
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$208	200	200	+0	open	—	05-28 04:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 24?	6	$203	187	187	+0	Yes	+$80	06-24 15:59
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	5	$201	149	149	+0	Yes	+$97	10-10 15:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 15?	9	$199	202	150	+52	No	+$10	06-15 14:46
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 16?	4	$193	204	102	+102	Yes	+$9	07-16 15:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 10?	15	$191	160	160	+0	Yes	+$126	07-10 16:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 7?	7	$189	200	100	+100	Yes	+$9	07-07 16:00
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 9?	9	$189	200	100	+100	Yes	+$9	07-09 15:02
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	7	$183	110	110	+0	Yes	+$37	09-26 15:23
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	5	$181	240	130	+110	No	-$72	09-13 09:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	9	$181	883	883	+0	No	-$31	05-27 22:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 22:59:41	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	58¢	$64	0xeefb8a…
10-27 18:59:23	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	24¢	$18	0xdb2cae…
10-27 18:59:00	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x11ff18…
10-27 17:14:02	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	66¢	$15	0x838ec4…
10-27 17:12:08	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	65¢	$16	0x3be8a8…
10-27 17:08:23	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x1c11ea…
10-27 17:08:15	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xaf52e4…
10-27 17:07:33	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	101	22¢	$22	0xe4c934…
10-27 17:07:32	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x65a08d…
10-27 16:11:21	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x912d66…
10-27 15:33:26	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x059fcd…
10-26 16:35:42	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0xbe37dd…
10-26 16:30:09	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	42¢	$14	0x7f46ce…
10-26 16:27:54	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0xb7c026…
10-26 16:27:42	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0xc36dd0…
10-26 16:27:23	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x7402e2…
10-26 16:27:05	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x4311f5…
10-26 15:37:47	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	99¢	$109	0x1d0cd2…
10-26 02:33:00	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xc89a1f…
10-26 02:31:45	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb29eee…
10-26 02:30:39	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$1	0xc7d9c1…
10-26 02:30:15	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xde70fc…
10-26 02:29:00	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x8427e8…
10-26 02:27:15	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x5a7917…
10-26 02:21:21	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0x14a329…
10-26 01:58:54	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x84e42f…
10-26 01:52:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x205d15…
10-26 01:48:47	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	60¢	$4	0x43cd12…
10-25 22:15:53	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	30¢	$19	0xfba3bb…
10-25 22:15:53	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x810947…
10-25 15:25:41	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	51¢	$46	0x545319…
10-25 15:25:14	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	49¢	$8	0x09503f…
10-24 21:42:11	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	14¢	$15	0x1b6c3f…
10-24 19:53:17	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	30¢	$5	0x5db78a…
10-24 17:15:24	elon musk of tweets october 26 october 28 2026 65 89	Yes	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x5e7d89…
10-24 17:14:44	elon musk of tweets october 26 october 28 2026 90 114	Yes	BUY	13	13¢	$2	0xcea338…
10-24 17:14:44	elon musk of tweets october 26 october 28 2026 90 114	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xb727a6…
10-24 17:14:44	elon musk of tweets october 26 october 28 2026 90 114	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x28efa8…
10-24 17:14:44	elon musk of tweets october 26 october 28 2026 65 89	Yes	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x1a208e…
10-24 17:12:54	elon musk of tweets october 26 october 28 2026 65 89	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x1ced35…
10-24 16:21:57	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	30¢	$30	0x5b80ef…
10-24 16:12:51	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x814b6d…
10-24 14:38:59	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	99¢	$27	0xe515ea…
10-24 06:38:50	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	23¢	$3	0x03645d…
10-23 15:55:47	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0x16f685…
10-22 19:01:56	elon musk of tweets october 24 october 26 2026 65 89	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xfd5288…
10-21 15:58:48	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	38¢	$10	0x9408dc…
10-20 18:08:27	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	34¢	$22	0x45aec9…
10-20 17:58:06	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	25¢	$11	0x374fbc…
10-20 11:39:08	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	33¢	$9	0x008b5d…
10-19 15:40:12	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	9¢	$7	0x2283de…
10-19 15:19:45	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	21¢	$16	0xe1efab…
10-19 15:16:35	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	21¢	$32	0xcb66f0…
10-19 15:09:56	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	31¢	$3	0x5de16d…
10-19 15:09:53	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	31¢	$41	0x92b0c8…
10-19 15:09:41	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x085250…
10-18 22:14:11	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	6¢	$4	0x9729e3…
10-18 15:49:48	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	8¢	$3	0xeda97d…
10-18 15:49:48	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x4e0549…
10-18 15:35:15	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	30¢	$9	0x352072…
10-18 15:17:54	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	33¢	$31	0x7c012d…
10-18 10:38:11	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	28¢	$22	0x353318…
10-18 10:37:02	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x6db844…
10-18 07:56:24	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$1	0xa35ed1…
10-17 15:22:12	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	8¢	$10	0x85981e…
10-17 15:04:14	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xd4c126…
10-17 08:03:26	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	33¢	$50	0x901060…
10-17 07:45:35	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	160	34¢	$54	0x136f0d…
10-17 05:00:50	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	35¢	$16	0x47dfde…
10-17 04:35:10	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	34¢	$9	0x9fbb47…
10-16 17:30:14	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	20¢	$15	0x7e7fa9…
10-16 16:37:06	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	17¢	$8	0x7677dd…
10-16 16:37:00	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	16¢	$5	0x265477…
10-16 12:13:49	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	37¢	$29	0x98efb6…
10-16 08:38:25	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0xaec90a…
10-16 08:29:24	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xccfd52…
10-16 08:27:15	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x5f4894…
10-16 08:26:12	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0x72c949…
10-16 08:26:03	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0x491323…
10-16 08:08:49	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	29¢	$8	0x097709…
10-16 07:00:13	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	29¢	$20	0x0c27e4…
10-16 06:05:43	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xa63d01…
10-16 06:05:42	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	29¢	$3	0x96b6da…
10-16 04:05:45	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x34dd25…
10-15 17:41:28	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x20264e…
10-15 17:41:02	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	41¢	$61	0xdc04bc…
10-14 15:13:24	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0x41378e…
10-14 04:47:44	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	44¢	$7	0x64abd5…
10-14 04:47:44	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x4d8bf0…
10-14 02:57:13	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x5a8168…
10-14 02:56:59	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x1aa120…
10-14 02:56:52	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd3f477…
10-14 02:56:44	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xbb07cd…
10-14 02:56:35	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xebae1e…
10-14 02:56:28	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0x24dedd…
10-14 02:54:22	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xe070ae…
10-14 02:54:02	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0xdd17d4…
10-14 02:53:49	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	44¢	$7	0xa05d3b…
10-14 02:53:37	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	44¢	$9	0xd0a5a1…
10-13 18:06:21	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe10dc8…