Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

28.6%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

1,328 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$15.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-07-13

last 09-25 01:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 86 days

Categories

Other

74% 55% +$69

Politics

14% 48% -$48

Tech

5% 57% -$14

Crypto

5% 60% +$46

Sports

1% 50% +$4

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will alibaba be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230551	No		+4	$3	83¢	$3	$0	08-07 12:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	12	$232	201	201	+0	Yes	+$25	08-18 14:20
Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?	8	$183	193	193	+0	Yes	+$23	08-29 22:31
Will Grüne win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes?	5	$155	170	170	+0	Yes	+$15	09-02 22:37
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T?	2	$153	127	127	+0	open	—	09-03 15:32
will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	5	$148	140	140	+0	Yes	-$5	08-15 14:14
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	2	$146	134	134	+0	Yes	+$12	09-03 13:56
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?	7	$145	138	138	+0	Yes	+$2	08-19 08:14
Will Jack Grealish join Everton?	2	$144	157	157	+0	Yes	+$3	08-07 16:16
Will Srđan Amidžić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	3	$142	76	76	+0	open	—	09-07 12:41
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	2	$137	100	100	+0	No	-$3	09-03 19:40
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September 2026?	6	$131	118	118	+0	No	-$18	09-03 13:46
Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 1 and September 14, 2026?	2	$129	107	107	+0	No	+$16	08-28 14:38
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	13	$126	117	117	+0	Yes	+$12	09-03 13:56
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?	7	$122	107	107	+0	Yes	+$5	09-19 16:54
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	2	$122	110	110	+0	No	+$8	08-02 18:48
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	10	$122	92	92	+0	Yes	+$9	08-02 12:00
will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	3	$117	115	115	+0	No	-$18	08-07 13:53
will solana reach 80 in august 2026	4	$117	133	133	+0	Yes	+$14	08-14 07:06
Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?	2	$112	122	122	+0	Yes	+$0	08-06 04:35
us announces end of iranian blockade by september 21 2026	2	$112	90	90	+0	No	+$13	08-25 22:19
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?	3	$111	65	65	+0	No	-$6	09-02 20:29
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	4	$109	126	126	+0	open	—	09-01 12:58
Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft?	4	$107	124	124	+0	open	—	09-02 17:17
will ethereum hit 3k by september 30 2026	2	$107	74	74	+0	No	+$7	08-23 04:48
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	6	$105	108	108	+0	No	+$6	08-12 08:19
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	5	$102	87	87	+0	No	+$10	08-28 19:44
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?	3	$101	56	56	+0	open	—	08-30 12:17
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?	2	$100	89	89	+0	open	—	09-01 11:11
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?	8	$100	77	75	+2	Yes	+$1	09-09 10:04
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 1, 2026?	3	$98	78	78	+0	Yes	+$18	08-20 00:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-25 01:42:14	Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x209ca7…
09-21 02:22:13	Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x44c73d…
09-20 17:14:07	Will CF América win on 2026-09-05?	No	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0x4a8f82…
09-20 13:22:33	Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?	No	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0x8d3f49…
09-20 13:22:31	Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?	No	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x9ef06a…
09-20 01:14:48	Will CF América win on 2026-09-05?	No	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0x607447…
09-19 16:54:39	Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0xe42e69…
09-19 11:30:45	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x85b1c2…
09-19 10:03:50	Will Málaga be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?	No	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0x39d546…
09-19 10:03:47	Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31?	No	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0x80e4b1…
09-19 10:03:43	Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	12	35¢	$4	0x4800fc…
09-17 15:54:57	Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k?	No	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0x7b6222…
09-16 19:30:39	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in August?	No	SELL	7	63¢	$4	0x81dae9…
09-15 15:02:33	Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0xd32a26…
09-13 00:45:16	Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0xc91fa2…
09-12 21:56:12	Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years?	No	SELL	14	44¢	$6	0x92db7c…
09-12 21:32:13	Will Trump praise Byron Donalds in September?	No	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x75fd23…
09-12 19:21:34	Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	12	18¢	$2	0xeda114…
09-12 19:21:34	Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0x7de8df…
09-12 17:54:01	Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0xf3dcdf…
09-12 17:54:00	Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	9	28¢	$2	0x72ec77…
09-12 16:56:00	Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	9	36¢	$3	0x18df14…
09-12 16:15:13	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	23	9¢	$2	0x3e30c7…
09-12 15:29:22	Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x55ef0b…
09-12 13:43:30	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	No	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0xec5fba…
09-12 12:51:25	Will Seoul have less than 75mm of precipitation in September?	No	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0xec47af…
09-12 11:52:01	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?	No	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0xdf84f1…
09-12 11:36:21	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0xea2034…
09-12 09:31:37	Will OpenAI be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0x93c568…
09-12 09:19:49	Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2028?	No	SELL	6	57¢	$3	0x4b27a9…
09-12 09:06:30	Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x16abda…
09-11 19:17:24	Will the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30?	No	SELL	9	63¢	$6	0x62a598…
09-11 14:03:48	Will Ethereum hit $4k by September 30, 2027?	No	SELL	1	61¢	$1	0x373a71…
09-11 05:57:58	Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?	No	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x9e3e82…
09-10 19:23:49	Will Trump praise Zohran Mamdani in September?	No	SELL	15	46¢	$7	0xdb0ae5…
09-10 14:25:28	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	SELL	21	17¢	$4	0xf305d4…
09-10 14:13:00	Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?	No	SELL	14	53¢	$7	0x1a1f8c…
09-10 06:22:43	Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x8cb61e…
09-10 01:31:33	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.55 and $0.60 on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x81a552…
09-10 01:31:33	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.55 and $0.60 on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x2235a7…
09-10 00:44:00	Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?	No	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0xf8f17c…
09-10 00:07:21	Will Pluralis launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x69cd8f…
09-09 23:35:34	Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?	No	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x79ab1a…
09-09 23:05:45	Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?	No	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x751809…
09-09 21:03:37	Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0xf16319…
09-09 16:23:10	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	26	5¢	$1	0x3d4997…
09-09 15:36:37	Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	No	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0x5fbfe1…
09-09 10:04:07	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	0	26¢	$0	0xed528d…
09-09 08:30:01	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0x2bdf0e…
09-09 06:41:48	Will Ethereum hit $4k by September 30, 2027?	No	SELL	6	61¢	$3	0x2f6f50…
09-09 05:55:01	Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?	No	SELL	4	66¢	$2	0xe846ad…
09-09 05:54:30	Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?	No	SELL	7	66¢	$5	0x822074…
09-09 00:15:49	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x1e38e2…
09-08 17:55:51	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?	No	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x6bda6f…
09-08 17:09:06	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	65	34¢	$22	0x3c4b0f…
09-08 16:09:01	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	No	SELL	9	60¢	$5	0x72830f…
09-08 12:51:33	Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0xb67ea0…
09-08 11:09:36	Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	No	SELL	9	45¢	$4	0x8f0f8a…
09-08 08:54:25	Will Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0xcdfb76…
09-08 08:16:12	Will Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x90417c…
09-08 07:46:46	Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xe7ed36…
09-08 07:29:15	Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x2b16f3…
09-08 07:17:18	Will Málaga be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x75af19…
09-08 06:52:54	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0x1df776…
09-08 04:57:39	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	No	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0xa9007e…
09-08 03:31:51	Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	11	55¢	$6	0xb85e77…
09-08 03:14:58	Will the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30?	No	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xd26471…
09-08 03:09:07	laptop airdrop by september 30	No	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x541b5d…
09-08 01:53:36	Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x981de3…
09-08 01:18:30	Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x871bcf…
09-07 22:21:31	Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $530,000 and $536,000 on September 30?	No	SELL	8	71¢	$6	0xfd208d…
09-07 22:14:34	Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?	No	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0xb26316…
09-07 21:52:21	Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x2d6de9…
09-07 20:13:00	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	SELL	17	45¢	$8	0xfdcf28…
09-07 18:29:49	Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?	No	SELL	19	92¢	$17	0x613bd5…
09-07 17:37:13	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?	No	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x10f6e7…
09-07 17:00:45	Will CF América win on 2026-09-05?	No	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0xc506a9…
09-07 16:13:40	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xcdff45…
09-07 14:45:42	Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xca60a1…
09-07 14:45:42	Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0xa126e2…
09-07 14:09:49	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	50¢	$6	0xb3a7d4…
09-07 13:52:24	Will Hong Kong have less than 275mm of precipitation in September?	No	SELL	8	70¢	$6	0x602b11…
09-07 12:53:54	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?	No	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0x5ef8e5…
09-07 12:48:25	Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xa1200d…
09-07 12:41:46	Will Srđan Amidžić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	No	SELL	76	96¢	$73	0xf4788f…
09-07 12:00:48	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	21	37¢	$8	0x7bbc9f…
09-07 10:56:13	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?	No	SELL	9	60¢	$5	0xbca087…
09-07 10:33:22	Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0xcc7619…
09-07 08:59:21	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	No	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xd6a889…
09-07 08:58:06	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x1c3cd3…
09-07 08:04:28	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xb86222…
09-07 05:10:37	Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,200?	No	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0x67675a…
09-07 04:58:52	Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?	No	SELL	15	44¢	$7	0xeba747…
09-07 04:24:06	Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $530,000 and $536,000 on September 30?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xc781bf…
09-07 03:07:28	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x629ca5…
09-06 23:29:39	Will Trump praise Zohran Mamdani in September?	No	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xe4a065…
09-06 23:06:31	Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31?	No	SELL	28	71¢	$20	0x24ef9f…
09-06 23:05:57	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0xb3fd13…
09-06 23:00:03	Will OpenAI be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x879403…
09-06 19:50:48	Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	No	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x582096…