Rotten-Gingerbread — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$500

Unrealized P&L

-$45

Hit rate

61.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.96K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$86

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-10

last 06-16 19:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

96% 47% -$350

Politics

4% 0% -$150

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-16).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes		+3,168	$50	0¢	$5	-$45	04-30 18:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-17?	2	$392	833	833	+0	Yes	+$192	05-17 19:41
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-22?	2	$377	227	227	+0	Yes	+$77	05-22 23:08
wta chwalin andreev 2026 06 06	4	$373	488	488	+0	Mirra Andreeva	-$27	06-06 14:52
Will OGC Nice vs. FC Metz end in a draw?	2	$300	200	200	+0	Yes	+$100	05-17 20:59
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$241	196	196	+0	No	+$41	05-16 22:14
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)	2	$238	138	138	+0	FC Lorient	+$38	05-02 19:07
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	2	$210	110	110	+0	Yes	+$10	06-14 18:11
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 24?	2	$203	103	103	+0	No	+$3	05-24 15:44
Roland Garros ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alexander Zverev	2	$202	102	102	+0	Alexander Zverev	+$2	05-24 15:44
fl1 lyo asm 2026 03 22 total 4pt5	2	$200	105	105	+0	Under	+$9	03-22 17:31
fl1 ogc psg 2026 03 21 total 4pt5	2	$185	107	107	+0	Under	+$5	03-21 21:33
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 30?	3	$185	151	107	+45	No	-$55	05-30 13:55
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?	2	$168	455	455	+0	No	-$32	06-13 23:28
fl1 aja sbr 2026 03 21 total 1pt5	2	$164	90	90	+0	Over	+$16	03-21 19:23
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	3	$138	233	233	+0	Joao Fonseca	-$62	05-31 22:09
fl1 tou lor 2026 03 21 total 1pt5	2	$127	74	74	+0	Under	+$21	03-21 18:41
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 24?	3	$112	198	198	+0	Yes	-$108	05-24 15:43
fl1 nan str 2026 03 22 total 4pt5	1	$105	119	0	+119	Over	-$105	03-22 19:43
fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 total 2pt5	1	$100	185	0	+185	Over	-$100	06-14 20:01
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	1	$100	278	0	+278	Yes	+$178	04-28 19:27
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-02?	1	$100	164	0	+164	No	-$100	05-02 19:09
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1	$100	455	0	+455	No	-$100	01-10 20:57
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	1	$100	227	0	+227	Jakub Mensik	-$100	06-02 20:15
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	1	$100	667	0	+667	No	-$100	05-30 17:21
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 3pt5	1	$95	142	0	+142	Over	-$95	06-16 19:05
Will Lille finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?	4	$76	38	48	-10	Yes	+$10	03-14 00:37
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$50	3,168	0	+3,168	open	—	04-30 18:30
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?	1	$50	167	0	+167	No	-$50	04-29 19:41
will the rachida dati list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election	1	$50	292	0	+292	No	-$50	03-21 16:59
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?	1	$50	152	0	+152	No	-$50	05-07 19:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 19:05:11	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	142	67¢	$95	0x7f307d…
06-14 20:01:27	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x53d311…
06-14 18:11:49	Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x87e01c…
06-14 17:25:21	Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	110	90¢	$100	0x44023f…
06-13 23:28:28	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	SELL	455	15¢	$68	0x09effd…
06-13 22:11:19	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0x67d9f2…
06-06 14:52:04	wta chwalin andreev 2026 06 06	Mirra Andreeva	SELL	118	100¢	$118	0xb65ee2…
06-06 14:02:48	wta chwalin andreev 2026 06 06	Mirra Andreeva	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xe984eb…
06-06 14:02:12	wta chwalin andreev 2026 06 06	Maja Chwalinska	SELL	370	15¢	$56	0x01a5ca…
06-06 13:56:00	wta chwalin andreev 2026 06 06	Maja Chwalinska	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0x2ab039…
06-02 20:15:21	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x460c1c…
05-31 22:09:51	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Casper Ruud	SELL	133	16¢	$21	0x071026…
05-31 22:08:25	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Casper Ruud	SELL	100	17¢	$17	0x1bb7f9…
05-31 19:56:58	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Casper Ruud	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x449cc3…
05-30 17:21:12	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	667	15¢	$100	0x0c5516…
05-30 13:55:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0x3c3860…
05-30 13:43:37	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 30?	No	SELL	107	61¢	$65	0x101e5d…
05-30 11:30:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 30?	No	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0xb540f8…
05-24 15:44:20	Roland Garros ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0xea7d8d…
05-24 15:44:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 24?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0xb0ac39…
05-24 15:43:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 24?	No	SELL	198	1¢	$2	0x084355…
05-24 14:48:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 24?	No	BUY	80	12¢	$10	0xe640b6…
05-24 12:45:42	Roland Garros ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x41f701…
05-24 10:55:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 24?	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xeed649…
05-24 10:15:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 24?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xfd16e5…
05-22 23:08:54	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-22?	Yes	SELL	227	100¢	$227	0x65fd1e…
05-22 19:01:28	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-22?	Yes	BUY	227	66¢	$150	0xfaf9c6…
05-17 20:59:08	Will OGC Nice vs. FC Metz end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x31a7c3…
05-17 20:37:33	Will OGC Nice vs. FC Metz end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x78f952…
05-17 19:41:58	Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	833	35¢	$292	0x6b08ce…
05-17 19:27:05	Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	833	12¢	$100	0x3b2689…
05-16 22:56:24	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	10¢	$10	0x3b05c3…
05-16 22:36:53	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	625	2¢	$10	0x62ac63…
05-16 22:14:59	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	196	72¢	$141	0x3574ed…
05-16 22:04:08	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x8253d6…
05-07 19:36:09	Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?	Yes	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0xf99adc…
05-02 19:09:22	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x85f6d8…
05-02 19:07:28	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)	FC Lorient	SELL	138	100¢	$138	0x67bd2e…
05-02 12:43:28	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)	FC Lorient	BUY	138	72¢	$100	0xbb841b…
04-30 18:30:40	Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3,168	2¢	$50	0xa0a0cd…
04-30 18:29:24	Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-30?	Yes	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0x1f7ad4…
04-29 19:41:14	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?	Yes	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0x378a15…
04-28 19:27:32	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0x9414e9…
03-22 19:43:35	fl1 nan str 2026 03 22 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	119	88¢	$105	0x2b6fd9…
03-22 17:31:11	fl1 lyo asm 2026 03 22 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x3dab9f…
03-22 14:19:49	fl1 lyo asm 2026 03 22 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	105	91¢	$95	0x070b26…
03-21 21:33:19	fl1 ogc psg 2026 03 21 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	107	89¢	$95	0x58d7f5…
03-21 20:15:33	fl1 ogc psg 2026 03 21 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	107	84¢	$90	0x60c0a0…
03-21 19:23:11	fl1 aja sbr 2026 03 21 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xf58a27…
03-21 18:42:07	fl1 aja sbr 2026 03 21 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	90	82¢	$74	0x9c492c…
03-21 18:41:07	fl1 tou lor 2026 03 21 total 1pt5	Under	SELL	74	100¢	$74	0x529276…
03-21 17:16:51	fl1 tou lor 2026 03 21 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	74	72¢	$53	0x1999ab…
03-21 16:59:19	will the rachida dati list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	BUY	292	17¢	$50	0x75c772…
03-14 00:37:37	Will Lille finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?	No	BUY	38	87¢	$33	0x707e40…
03-13 11:38:39	Will Lille finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0x320d1f…
03-09 04:41:05	Will Lille finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	32	90¢	$29	0xfed004…
02-19 18:52:02	Will Lille finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0xf351d4…
01-10 20:57:50	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0x97eccf…