Realized P&L
-$1.48K
Unrealized P&L
+$30
Hit rate
77.8%
Resolved
116
Trades
509
lifetime
Volume
$49.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$96
Open exposure
$103
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-07 11:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 45 days
Categories
Politics
56% 66% -$1,481
Other
41% 73% -$63
Sports
2% 100% +$60
Tech
1% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31? No +47 $15 96¢ $45 +$30 11-07 11:12
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? No +25 $18 72¢ $18 +$0 11-04 04:17
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $7 99¢ $10 +$3 11-04 07:18
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $8 98¢ $10 +$1 11-04 08:44
Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31? Yes +10 $9 93¢ $9 +$1 11-04 10:17
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +10 $9 79¢ $8 -$1 11-04 12:56
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +13 $8 26¢ $3 -$4 11-04 16:14