(anonymous) 0x8d3d96…05bb53 Create alert
2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$32
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (7d)
1
Trades (7d)
6
514 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$54
$49.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$96
Open exposure
$105
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-11 15:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 46 days
Categories
Politics
56% 66% -$1,481
Other
41% 73% -$31
Sports
2% 100% +$60
Tech
1% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? No +25 $18 95¢ $24 +$6 11-04 04:17
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +17 $14 82¢ $14 $0 11-11 07:51
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +12 $11 88¢ $11 $0 11-11 02:03
Anthropic IPO: Closing Price above IPO Price on First Day? Yes +12 $9 88¢ $10 +$1 11-11 03:12
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $7 100¢ $10 +$3 11-04 07:18
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $8 99¢ $10 +$1 11-04 08:44
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$1 11-04 12:56
Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31? Yes +10 $9 93¢ $9 +$1 11-04 10:17
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.5T? Yes +12 $5 44¢ $5 +$0 11-11 15:20
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +13 $8 18¢ $2 -$5 11-04 16:14