Naive-Text — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.18K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.4%

Resolved

8,723

Trades

34,370

lifetime

Volume

$146.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-29

last 10-27 10:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 148 days

Categories

Other

85% 44% +$1,460

Politics

15% 22% -$276

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 403 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	33	$7.3K	6,800	6,800	+0	Yes	-$22	06-04 20:17
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	32	$5.6K	5,895	5,895	+0	No	-$217	05-31 23:46
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	50	$4.6K	4,615	4,615	+0	No	-$12	06-02 06:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	28	$4.0K	5,096	5,096	+0	No	-$101	06-03 23:05
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	23	$2.2K	3,200	3,200	+0	Yes	-$32	06-04 16:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	24	$1.8K	2,851	1,851	+1,000	No	+$48	06-03 10:02
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	21	$994	1,000	1,000	+0	Down	-$86	06-03 09:58
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	2	$323	200	200	+0	Yes	+$1	06-06 08:59
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 1?	10	$260	186	186	+0	Up	+$4	06-01 08:58
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 2?	8	$230	149	149	+0	Up	-$4	06-02 18:41
spy closes above 750 on june 5 2026	6	$211	220	220	+0	No	-$9	06-05 15:27
wti up or down on june 5 2026	5	$208	177	177	+0	Down	+$4	06-05 09:34
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	2	$207	715	715	+0	No	-$21	06-01 01:44
will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	4	$194	250	250	+0	No	-$41	06-06 07:47
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 2?	4	$179	200	200	+0	Up	+$3	06-02 14:20
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 16?	2	$176	100	100	+0	No	-$1	06-15 23:36
spy up or down on june 4 2026	2	$146	171	171	+0	Up	-$12	06-04 14:25
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 30?	11	$121	138	138	+0	No	-$10	05-30 12:58
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	2	$117	170	0	+170	Yes	+$53	06-16 20:59
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 2?	10	$110	140	0	+140	No	+$30	09-01 20:11
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on September 7?	9	$107	149	80	+69	No	-$13	09-06 15:05
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?	1	$100	118	0	+118	No	+$18	06-15 11:57
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 16?	12	$95	114	70	+44	No	+$10	08-16 04:29
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 19?	11	$90	139	79	+60	Yes	-$40	09-19 05:01
spy up or down on june 5 2026	5	$89	53	53	+0	Down	+$2	06-05 13:28
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on September 22?	5	$87	49	48	+1	No	+$9	09-21 23:56
will xagusd dip to 64 in june 2026	2	$87	100	100	+0	Yes	-$15	06-05 23:00
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 24?	15	$86	120	59	+61	No	-$44	10-24 13:55
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 25?	15	$85	100	51	+49	No	-$24	10-25 13:59
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 17?	16	$84	114	68	+46	Yes	+$23	09-16 03:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 11:49:26	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	19	66¢	$12	0x748c9d…
10-27 11:47:45	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	66¢	$1	0x76f28b…
10-27 11:12:09	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc1b33d…
10-27 11:12:09	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xaaef4d…
10-27 11:12:09	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8723d2…
10-27 11:12:09	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x28dbb2…
10-27 11:12:08	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0xb7999f…
10-27 11:09:11	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0x607ca6…
10-27 11:05:27	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xf3ef36…
10-27 11:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 27?	No	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x823fda…
10-27 11:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 27?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xe595c9…
10-27 11:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 27?	No	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0xdfa936…
10-27 10:54:00	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x4ca44c…
10-27 10:40:33	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 27?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xce321f…
10-27 10:03:44	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x350c79…
10-27 09:56:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	3	17¢	$1	0x985c01…
10-27 09:56:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	3	17¢	$1	0x721c81…
10-27 09:56:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x6718ab…
10-27 09:41:21	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0x615ed5…
10-27 09:34:06	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x86aefd…
10-27 09:17:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x6c1c87…
10-27 09:11:32	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x6553b6…
10-27 09:11:32	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0x623892…
10-27 09:11:26	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xdd2df9…
10-27 09:11:26	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa5fec3…
10-27 09:11:26	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2da6c1…
10-27 09:11:26	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x2876f8…
10-27 09:11:20	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0xd54220…
10-27 09:11:20	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x5c2939…
10-27 09:11:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x812123…
10-27 09:04:26	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 28?	No	BUY	17	84¢	$15	0x2617ac…
10-27 09:02:29	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xdea37b…
10-27 09:00:05	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x33e900…
10-27 08:59:15	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xc47013…
10-27 08:49:51	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x4f01e8…
10-27 08:49:48	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x74725c…
10-27 08:36:35	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x7c615b…
10-27 08:36:32	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x0b092b…
10-27 08:26:05	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 27?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xecfa33…
10-27 08:25:59	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 27?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x892192…
10-27 08:21:44	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	BUY	40	69¢	$28	0x9c697c…
10-27 08:14:45	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x4697df…
10-27 08:13:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xbe34f6…
10-27 08:12:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x6a5c88…
10-27 08:12:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x57f5a3…
10-27 08:12:38	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x64a906…
10-27 08:12:21	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x0726ff…
10-27 08:12:09	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xea9e4b…
10-27 08:12:09	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x7913a0…
10-27 08:12:08	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xc661d5…
10-27 08:12:08	highest temperature in amsterdam on october 29 2026 17c	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x0b1181…
10-27 08:11:02	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x4d4efd…
10-27 08:10:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xe1f040…
10-27 08:10:53	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x605205…
10-27 08:10:53	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x09760c…
10-27 08:05:47	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x714327…
10-27 08:05:45	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xdb9925…
10-27 08:05:45	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x8330ed…
10-27 07:57:09	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x71320e…
10-27 07:54:53	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	12	61¢	$8	0xca755b…
10-27 07:52:50	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	7	61¢	$5	0xe1a8ba…
10-27 07:51:38	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	61¢	$0	0x99752a…
10-27 07:45:47	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x463d09…
10-27 07:42:24	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	80	48¢	$38	0xc93f7a…
10-27 07:42:24	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 27?	No	BUY	38	68¢	$26	0x9fd674…
10-27 07:42:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	80	39¢	$31	0x569dde…
10-27 05:11:32	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xde62f0…
10-27 05:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 27?	No	BUY	3	80¢	$3	0xf9e349…
10-27 04:42:27	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xf793c6…
10-27 04:37:09	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0x5b4833…
10-27 04:04:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 27?	No	BUY	13	43¢	$6	0x5b0795…
10-27 04:04:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 27?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x2aedbc…
10-27 04:04:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 27?	No	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x111dad…
10-27 04:00:44	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 27?	No	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0xa0a155…
10-27 03:59:33	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 27?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x15c636…
10-27 03:42:38	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 27?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xc31e00…
10-27 03:34:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xbb3028…
10-27 03:29:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x8c477a…
10-27 03:27:26	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x353f59…
10-27 03:16:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x9b5ce4…
10-27 03:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x80fe7f…
10-27 03:10:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0x54f226…
10-27 02:11:23	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 27?	No	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0xbcd2d6…
10-27 01:56:54	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xefe592…
10-27 01:47:33	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 27?	No	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0x0e2c9b…
10-27 01:43:18	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xf66e8b…
10-27 01:38:44	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x8e2b00…
10-27 01:35:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x7f2d7b…
10-27 01:35:17	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x5cc846…
10-27 01:07:06	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x379fd1…
10-27 01:06:23	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x64e02f…
10-26 23:40:21	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x1e3fe9…
10-26 23:04:08	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x610a0a…
10-26 23:01:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x77a0d2…
10-26 22:40:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x4a8a8d…
10-26 22:37:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x7f2907…
10-26 22:26:56	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x282f93…
10-26 22:19:36	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xc71bd9…
10-26 22:19:36	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x1b14c5…
10-26 22:12:08	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xc9c265…