Private-Domain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

125

lifetime

Volume

$2.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 07-11 15:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

40% — —

Other

33% — —

Tech

9% — —

Politics

9% 100% +$1

Sports

8% 100% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1775020800	2	$229	346	328	+19	open	—	04-01 05:22
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$109	56	56	+0	open	—	04-14 15:27
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	3	$84	42	42	+0	open	—	03-31 08:41
btc updown 5m 1774512300	2	$81	53	53	+1	open	—	03-26 08:09
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	3	$76	38	38	+0	open	—	04-04 00:46
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	2	$76	38	38	+0	open	—	04-05 07:52
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	5	$73	37	37	+0	open	—	04-25 12:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$61	32	32	+0	open	—	05-19 00:02
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$59	58	58	+0	open	—	04-28 08:08
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 20?	2	$58	29	29	+0	open	—	05-20 15:31
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	2	$58	30	30	+0	open	—	07-04 11:41
will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	2	$53	27	27	+0	open	—	03-08 12:27
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	2	$53	27	27	+0	open	—	03-10 03:04
GTA VI released before June 2026?	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	04-08 04:49
will the next dutch government be vvd cda d66	2	$49	25	25	+0	open	—	02-22 14:16
will the us next strike iran on february 25 2026 et	2	$48	25	25	+0	open	—	02-22 14:17
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	4	$44	31	31	+0	Yes	+$0	03-06 06:25
btc updown 5m 1774314900	2	$42	28	28	+0	open	—	03-24 01:17
will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	03-17 00:34
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	03-19 00:20
will gold gc hit high 5800 by end of march	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	03-24 01:15
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$41	24	24	+0	open	—	03-23 00:38
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$41	23	23	+0	open	—	03-20 13:00
spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	06-10 00:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	05-28 01:38
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-14 15:27
btc updown 5m 1774512000	2	$38	39	39	+1	open	—	03-26 08:01
trump out as president by march 31	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	03-26 07:24
btc updown 15m 1768368600	2	$32	23	23	+0	open	—	01-14 05:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	05-18 04:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-11 15:21:58	over 2m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325641	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe61118…
07-11 15:20:56	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	15	97¢	$14	0x538f2e…
07-07 10:32:43	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xa5863f…
07-04 11:42:11	will claude sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260630195126942	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xec6041…
07-04 11:41:38	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0xf5948b…
07-02 11:25:38	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x3d469c…
07-02 11:25:17	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	16	93¢	$15	0x1f9b26…
07-01 13:17:19	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xcdda38…
06-24 02:12:53	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x84dc8d…
06-10 00:52:04	spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x57319d…
05-28 01:39:07	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x076d4c…
05-28 01:38:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xc44b08…
05-28 01:38:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xb4ab7a…
05-24 05:19:25	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x499afa…
05-24 05:19:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x687972…
05-20 15:31:05	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 20?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x876165…
05-20 10:12:44	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 20?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x80b00c…
05-19 00:02:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0x3af5d5…
05-18 04:38:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	16	98¢	$15	0xf334a4…
05-18 02:13:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$15	0x41cd43…
05-18 02:13:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0xfaeba3…
05-18 02:13:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	32	96¢	$30	0xce0af3…
05-18 02:12:00	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x04ab09…
05-16 09:40:58	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe1ee25…
05-15 15:00:33	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0xb463cf…
05-14 01:48:49	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0xff5600…
05-14 01:48:14	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x1aa8b2…
05-08 07:35:31	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x09169d…
05-08 07:35:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xfa1544…
05-05 09:36:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb660b0…
04-28 13:54:52	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x1b6082…
04-28 13:53:32	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x081155…
04-28 08:08:58	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	58	51¢	$29	0x8f8ae0…
04-28 08:08:50	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x6d260b…
04-28 08:08:44	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xa13e7e…
04-25 12:01:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x04196a…
04-22 10:44:24	nba nyk atl 2026 04 23	Knicks	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7b0fc7…
04-22 10:44:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x144f43…
04-19 00:47:36	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x1e811d…
04-17 02:23:38	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x793d71…
04-17 02:23:14	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x93cfe4…
04-14 15:27:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0xf85ac0…
04-14 15:27:43	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xc8b183…
04-12 12:23:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	17	97¢	$17	0xd8f262…
04-12 12:22:57	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x3aa1a3…
04-08 05:04:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	39	98¢	$38	0xf5f421…
04-08 04:49:47	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0xdf64d2…
04-08 04:49:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x442d9e…
04-08 04:49:21	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0xd4970e…
04-05 07:52:39	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x4dc1d9…
04-05 07:52:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4a65e7…
04-05 07:52:11	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x0522d2…
04-04 00:46:45	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xc1a51a…
04-04 00:46:11	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0xd5ffc5…
04-02 02:43:45	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x334fb3…
04-02 02:43:35	nba ind chi 2026 04 01	Pacers	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3eebcc…
04-01 22:53:31	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x4489d5…
04-01 22:52:33	nba ind chi 2026 04 01	Pacers	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc51528…
04-01 22:51:33	btc updown 5m 1775083800	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x1bd65b…
04-01 22:51:07	btc updown 5m 1775083800	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x5d4934…
04-01 05:22:45	btc updown 5m 1775020800	Up	SELL	328	44¢	$143	0x108807…
04-01 05:21:49	btc updown 5m 1775020800	Up	BUY	346	25¢	$87	0xb8e10c…
03-31 08:41:33	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0xd3c899…
03-30 11:37:04	btc updown 5m 1774870500	Down	SELL	11	17¢	$2	0x0f0b86…
03-30 11:36:30	btc updown 5m 1774870500	Down	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x7c25ac…
03-30 11:33:54	btc updown 5m 1774870200	Up	SELL	21	2¢	$0	0x3bd1fa…
03-30 11:33:32	btc updown 5m 1774870200	Up	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x8428b3…
03-30 10:48:04	btc updown 5m 1774867500	Down	SELL	12	56¢	$7	0x5ace3f…
03-30 10:47:42	btc updown 5m 1774867500	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x2c2bb0…
03-30 10:47:22	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x611972…
03-30 10:47:06	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x718220…
03-26 08:17:13	btc updown 5m 1774512900	Down	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0x9063f9…
03-26 08:15:19	btc updown 5m 1774512900	Down	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x3616e2…
03-26 08:09:49	btc updown 5m 1774512300	Down	SELL	53	84¢	$44	0xe31904…
03-26 08:05:33	btc updown 5m 1774512300	Down	BUY	53	69¢	$37	0xd87555…
03-26 08:01:45	btc updown 5m 1774512000	Up	SELL	39	60¢	$23	0x570ae6…
03-26 08:00:31	btc updown 5m 1774512000	Up	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0xf4048c…
03-26 07:25:57	btc updown 5m 1774509900	Up	BUY	41	44¢	$18	0x5b2b49…
03-26 07:24:49	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x1d6b5d…
03-24 01:22:17	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x60c9ea…
03-24 01:22:01	btc updown 5m 1774315200	Down	SELL	18	9¢	$2	0xc81b84…
03-24 01:20:43	btc updown 5m 1774315200	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xbcbb10…
03-24 01:17:49	btc updown 5m 1774314900	Down	SELL	28	76¢	$21	0x1f7122…
03-24 01:16:59	btc updown 5m 1774314900	Down	BUY	28	73¢	$21	0xff50ba…
03-24 01:15:45	will gold gc hit high 5800 by end of march	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xb4ce94…
03-23 00:38:23	will gold gc hit high 5800 by end of march	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x8b3053…
03-23 00:38:05	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	24	86¢	$21	0xe0fa51…
03-20 13:01:11	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	24	85¢	$21	0x8d62d7…
03-20 13:00:47	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	23	91¢	$21	0xdb4915…
03-19 00:20:51	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	23	92¢	$21	0x248b63…
03-19 00:20:03	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x2adafe…
03-17 00:35:15	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x711ff4…
03-17 00:34:37	will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x29779b…
03-15 10:56:35	will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xafc659…
03-10 03:04:21	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	SELL	27	99¢	$26	0x85420b…
03-08 12:27:27	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xfaae52…
03-08 12:27:13	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x1eb826…
03-06 06:26:07	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x2bab29…
03-06 06:25:19	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0xab9c10…
02-28 13:18:03	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	No	SELL	26	80¢	$20	0xec3b49…