Expensive-Deep — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

144

lifetime

Volume

$16.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$113

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 07-07 03:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

62% — —

Politics

26% — —

Crypto

12% 0% $-9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	25	$3.7K	2,002	2,002	+0	open	—	03-24 10:43
us forces enter iran by march 7	12	$1.4K	720	720	+0	open	—	03-08 07:16
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	7	$1.2K	639	639	+0	open	—	04-17 14:42
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	12	$1.2K	619	619	+0	open	—	04-01 12:08
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	5	$841	428	428	+0	open	—	05-20 08:43
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	4	$829	420	420	+0	open	—	04-05 00:19
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	10	$780	402	402	+0	open	—	03-19 00:35
will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	1	$490	500	0	+500	open	—	07-07 03:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3?	3	$435	220	220	+0	open	—	06-03 13:16
bitcoin above 66k on june 4 2026	3	$432	220	220	+0	open	—	06-04 15:30
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$418	210	210	+0	open	—	04-22 08:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$417	210	210	+0	open	—	06-01 05:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	3	$415	210	210	+0	open	—	04-14 14:47
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$407	208	208	+0	open	—	03-31 14:18
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$399	210	210	+0	open	—	04-01 16:39
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	3	$397	200	200	+0	open	—	03-18 16:10
bitcoin above 62k on july 5 2026	2	$390	200	200	+0	open	—	07-05 15:19
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	2	$382	210	210	+0	open	—	03-09 22:32
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	3	$375	300	300	+0	open	—	06-15 16:51
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	16	$302	100	210	-110	open	—	05-31 10:36
bitcoin above 62k on june 5 2026	3	$223	240	0	+240	open	—	06-05 14:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	5	$210	0	210	-210	open	—	06-01 12:55
bitcoin above 62k on june 6 2026 188	2	$197	100	100	+0	open	—	06-06 15:23
fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	2	$152	100	100	+0	open	—	06-24 23:57
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$137	69	69	+0	open	—	03-06 11:38
fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 spread away 1pt5	1	$64	100	0	+100	open	—	06-25 13:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	4	$5	215	400	-185	No	$-4	05-10 15:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?	5	$5	200	200	+0	No	$-4	05-08 14:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 03:04:56	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x12fa52…
07-05 15:19:23	bitcoin above 62k on july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0x16e028…
07-05 08:04:22	bitcoin above 62k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	200	96¢	$191	0x062c6e…
06-25 13:18:38	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 spread away 1pt5	Ecuador	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0xfa68cb…
06-24 23:57:13	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0xc8ef08…
06-24 15:52:50	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0xd1186a…
06-15 16:51:45	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	150	34¢	$51	0xb17493…
06-15 03:54:18	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	150	72¢	$108	0x506f80…
06-15 03:28:16	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	300	72¢	$216	0x75033b…
06-06 15:23:12	bitcoin above 62k on june 6 2026 188	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x105e61…
06-06 14:05:00	bitcoin above 62k on june 6 2026 188	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x591a3d…
06-05 14:34:46	bitcoin above 62k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	211	93¢	$197	0x7c1f6f…
06-05 14:33:40	bitcoin above 62k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xf2bef6…
06-05 14:32:10	bitcoin above 62k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x3a7dc2…
06-04 15:30:49	bitcoin above 66k on june 4 2026	No	SELL	220	100¢	$220	0x6f515d…
06-04 12:38:51	bitcoin above 66k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	182	96¢	$175	0x422412…
06-04 12:38:13	bitcoin above 66k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	38	96¢	$37	0x2f2bd5…
06-03 13:16:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3?	No	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0x94ec53…
06-03 13:16:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3?	No	SELL	129	100¢	$129	0xc2fb8b…
06-03 10:32:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	220	98¢	$216	0xd2a64a…
06-01 12:55:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x0fb7ac…
06-01 12:55:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xfcda2f…
06-01 12:54:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x7b2c78…
06-01 12:54:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x4474f5…
06-01 12:54:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	No	SELL	144	100¢	$144	0x8066c8…
06-01 05:34:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	210	100¢	$210	0xd96fab…
05-31 16:01:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	210	99¢	$207	0xe8fe0f…
05-31 10:36:05	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	210	98¢	$205	0x1b24ed…
05-28 07:27:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xbd5ba1…
05-28 07:27:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$8	0x231500…
05-28 07:27:08	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$8	0x65279a…
05-28 07:27:01	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x57dde5…
05-28 07:26:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0f08b7…
05-28 07:24:35	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x064372…
05-28 07:22:05	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x371319…
05-28 07:20:01	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9b9856…
05-28 07:18:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x988617…
05-28 07:17:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x32de64…
05-28 07:17:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x94d072…
05-28 07:16:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x78e2fb…
05-28 07:15:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5c816e…
05-28 07:14:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x01fcf8…
05-28 07:12:29	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x0cff2d…
05-20 08:43:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	208	99¢	$206	0xfee4e8…
05-18 09:33:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	58	99¢	$57	0x270434…
05-14 11:38:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	150	99¢	$148	0x8db1c8…
05-10 15:47:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	400	0¢	$0	0x62912a…
05-10 06:15:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x747676…
05-10 06:12:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x3d5cda…
05-10 06:12:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc6f8ff…
05-08 14:58:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x37cb23…
05-08 12:12:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	151	2¢	$3	0x5d37f4…
05-08 12:12:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x4db323…
05-08 11:05:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x511285…
05-08 11:05:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	26	2¢	$1	0x44a491…
05-07 10:26:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	220	98¢	$215	0xd8ae20…
05-02 15:02:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	220	98¢	$215	0xc24093…
04-22 08:47:12	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	210	100¢	$209	0xbc8d73…
04-18 08:55:24	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	210	99¢	$209	0x71b872…
04-17 14:42:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	210	99¢	$208	0x730351…
04-14 18:36:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	210	98¢	$206	0x52d2cc…
04-14 14:47:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	210	99¢	$208	0x155b3d…
04-12 02:09:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x30641f…
04-12 02:08:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	197	99¢	$194	0x59a006…
04-11 06:51:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	219	98¢	$214	0x1c5c3b…
04-05 01:15:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	183	96¢	$176	0xf2aedc…
04-05 01:10:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	36	96¢	$34	0xdb2263…
04-05 00:19:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	210	99¢	$208	0xd98617…
04-04 14:51:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	210	99¢	$207	0x466b5d…
04-03 15:27:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	210	99¢	$207	0xa1060b…
04-03 09:29:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	210	98¢	$207	0x21afdd…
04-02 09:35:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	210	97¢	$203	0xd2b83f…
04-02 08:12:47	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	210	96¢	$202	0x7b3df1…
04-01 16:39:41	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	210	96¢	$201	0xdaec41…
04-01 14:29:55	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	210	94¢	$198	0x7a32d5…
04-01 12:08:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	205	99¢	$204	0x5c63d1…
03-31 15:46:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	205	99¢	$203	0xcd149b…
03-31 14:18:21	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	208	98¢	$204	0xd62f33…
03-31 06:43:15	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xf624f9…
03-31 06:42:57	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	190	97¢	$185	0xcc733b…
03-27 15:46:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	17	98¢	$16	0x60f4e6…
03-27 15:46:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	85	98¢	$83	0x456545…
03-27 15:44:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	104	98¢	$102	0x27827e…
03-27 11:49:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x04c317…
03-27 11:48:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x50bc38…
03-27 11:48:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x4d484e…
03-27 11:48:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x24e450…
03-24 10:43:13	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	205	99¢	$202	0x543993…
03-23 12:31:13	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	140	98¢	$137	0xbaf4f1…
03-23 12:30:59	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x57107e…
03-23 12:29:21	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x81e9c2…
03-23 12:15:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0xcd46ad…
03-23 12:04:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	184	97¢	$179	0x405fc8…
03-21 09:27:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	208	97¢	$202	0x7abe0d…
03-19 00:35:43	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	28	98¢	$28	0xa0eaf3…
03-19 00:26:17	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0x5ce7cf…
03-19 00:26:17	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x02f2bc…
03-19 00:26:15	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xd757e3…
03-19 00:26:15	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x04df90…
03-18 16:25:57	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x7c2e3d…