Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$246

Unrealized P&L

+$33

Hit rate

52.5%

Resolved

315

Trades

489

lifetime

Volume

$2.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$115

12 positions

First seen

2026-10-06

last 10-27 21:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Crypto

47% 49% -$259

Other

36% 60% -$18

Politics

11% 52% +$11

Sports

5% 64% +$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions (12) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+49	$15	96¢	$47	+$32	10-26 06:03
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+17	$10	84¢	$14	+$4	10-26 09:31
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	+36	$5	29¢	$10	+$5	10-22 18:36
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	No	+8	$5	100¢	$8	+$3	10-21 20:02
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)	Knicks	+16	$9	52¢	$8	$0	10-27 12:18
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+18	$15	38¢	$7	-$8	10-25 07:03
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	+6	$5	98¢	$6	+$1	10-23 19:03
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	+7	$5	72¢	$5	$0	10-27 18:01
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	+6	$5	72¢	$4	-$1	10-22 18:36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+500	$2	0¢	$2	+$0	10-12 04:05
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026	Yes	+91	$2	2¢	$2	+$0	10-06 20:48
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+7	$5	4¢	$0	-$5	10-24 20:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	9	$104	218	104	+114	Up	-$60	10-12 11:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	3	$60	564	0	+564	Down	-$60	10-12 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	3	$55	295	45	+250	Up	+$35	10-06 15:34
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?	2	$31	108	108	+0	No	+$1	10-07 07:58
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 6?	1	$30	33	0	+33	Yes	+$3	10-06 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	5	$28	70	15	+56	Up	-$2	10-06 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	5	$27	517	17	+500	Down	-$3	10-06 15:53
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 20?	3	$24	14	14	+0	No	+$4	10-21 17:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	5	$23	95	28	+67	Down	-$1	10-06 18:33
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on October 20?	2	$21	17	17	+0	Yes	+$11	10-21 17:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	3	$21	214	14	+200	Up	+$7	10-06 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	4	$17	216	6	+210	Down	-$7	10-06 16:34
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 43 and 44 million views on day 4?	3	$16	26	13	+13	Yes	-$4	10-13 22:41
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	3	$15	11	6	+6	open	—	10-22 18:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	3	$15	65	0	+65	Down	-$15	10-12 11:46
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	3	$15	49	0	+49	open	—	10-26 06:03
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	3	$15	18	0	+18	open	—	10-25 07:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	10-06 15:57
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	2	$14	10	10	+0	No	+$4	10-21 17:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	10-06 15:15
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 21?	2	$14	9	9	+0	No	+$4	10-21 17:08
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 20?	2	$13	8	8	+0	No	+$3	10-21 17:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	3	$13	36	8	+28	Down	-$7	10-06 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	3	$12	38	5	+33	Up	-$2	10-10 19:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	3	$12	17	0	+17	Down	-$12	10-12 11:57
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 20?	2	$12	7	7	+0	No	+$2	10-21 17:08
Will Trump say "Coal" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	2	$12	12	12	+0	No	+$2	10-12 04:02
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 22?	2	$12	10	10	+0	Yes	+$2	10-21 17:08
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on October 20?	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	10-21 17:09
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 20?	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	10-21 17:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 21:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 29?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x14775c…
10-27 20:33:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xdeb0ca…
10-27 18:01:59	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x439469…
10-27 17:33:47	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x5e4080…
10-27 17:05:11	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x87d88e…
10-27 13:33:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xd6eaf1…
10-27 12:18:15	Spread: Knicks (-3.5)	Knicks	BUY	16	54¢	$9	0xda615b…
10-27 11:33:41	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 29?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7d98a2…
10-27 11:33:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x02a457…
10-27 10:32:14	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 29?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x745d0f…
10-27 10:32:11	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x2b0593…
10-27 10:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x77ae8a…
10-27 10:02:17	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xf3e710…
10-27 09:34:08	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xb3b252…
10-27 09:34:06	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on October 29?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x86aefd…
10-27 09:05:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x66272c…
10-27 08:34:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0x3ca8a3…
10-27 08:32:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x8a98d6…
10-27 08:32:29	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x6e09fd…
10-27 08:03:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 28?	No	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xae8cf6…
10-27 07:31:57	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xe86307…
10-27 07:31:56	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xbadfcf…
10-27 05:35:32	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on October 29?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x96f42c…
10-27 05:35:30	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xa12e08…
10-27 05:35:29	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 16°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xc47fcd…
10-27 05:01:38	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xb3e6ec…
10-27 00:18:59	Hawks vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0x7dabf9…
10-27 00:08:08	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xc0c1ca…
10-26 13:32:56	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 28?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xe38b50…
10-26 12:35:33	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x40ac8c…
10-26 11:32:47	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 27?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xd6635c…
10-26 11:32:47	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x4502bd…
10-26 11:32:45	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 6°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xd3eca0…
10-26 10:34:44	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xb9a554…
10-26 10:03:36	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x8767e2…
10-26 09:31:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xbb8c08…
10-26 09:31:48	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	36	12¢	$4	0x71f28e…
10-26 09:31:48	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x4c8fc4…
10-26 09:31:47	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xcf5690…
10-26 08:35:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x1b7feb…
10-26 08:35:47	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x7273d3…
10-26 08:35:47	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x2ee2d0…
10-26 08:35:45	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x7caed0…
10-26 08:35:45	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	14	17¢	$2	0x54a408…
10-26 08:35:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x8b853c…
10-26 08:35:42	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on October 28?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xc9906f…
10-26 08:02:47	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xf2b49c…
10-26 06:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x2b89be…
10-26 06:03:05	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xb53413…
10-26 05:34:44	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	19¢	$0	0x4c46d3…
10-26 05:34:41	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x371aeb…
10-26 05:34:41	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x0054fd…
10-26 05:04:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xdb3fe7…
10-26 04:04:14	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xe663d2…
10-26 01:35:44	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x3c9939…
10-26 00:14:24	Grizzlies vs. Kings	Grizzlies	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x2d6cd7…
10-26 00:02:33	Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)	Chiefs	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0x350214…
10-25 08:04:02	Will Kristian Horvath win the next Sorell mayoral election?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x6ce812…
10-25 07:03:15	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x94db81…
10-25 06:01:30	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xf8896f…
10-25 05:33:05	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xeebf50…
10-25 05:32:57	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 8°C on October 27?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x763a97…
10-25 05:32:57	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 2°C on October 27?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x66c282…
10-25 05:32:56	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 6°C on October 26?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6ad611…
10-25 05:32:54	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x7a4bab…
10-25 05:32:54	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x414268…
10-25 01:56:06	Warriors vs. Suns	Suns	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x86a9cd…
10-24 22:19:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	0	29¢	$0	0x5bcdd5…
10-24 22:17:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0xef17fb…
10-24 22:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x780ede…
10-24 21:33:00	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x971ad1…
10-24 21:33:00	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x269c2b…
10-24 21:03:29	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xa4468c…
10-24 20:35:09	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x8e68d6…
10-24 20:35:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 26?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$5	0xaafbb1…
10-24 20:35:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 26?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x8fbcd3…
10-24 19:32:27	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xfbc9fd…
10-24 11:50:15	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xb1a826…
10-24 06:33:51	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x723b33…
10-24 06:33:45	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xd4e4d0…
10-24 05:31:14	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on October 25?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xe73854…
10-24 04:04:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x8aa32b…
10-24 00:04:11	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x86df97…
10-24 00:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xf0096f…
10-23 23:03:33	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xd6e5d6…
10-23 23:03:33	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x5e24bc…
10-23 23:03:32	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x429899…
10-23 23:03:30	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x4dffe3…
10-23 22:36:35	Spread: Hawks (-5.5)	Hornets	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0xa18bb1…
10-23 22:03:21	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x8a2e9c…
10-23 21:35:18	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x005428…
10-23 21:35:15	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xd305b7…
10-23 20:32:20	Will US win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x3a0616…
10-23 19:54:15	Spread: Bucks (-4.5)	Bucks	BUY	19	42¢	$8	0x50863f…
10-23 19:33:00	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xc5b7b3…
10-23 19:19:29	Spread: Bucks (-3.5)	Bucks	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0x82d8c2…
10-23 19:18:56	Spread: Bucks (-1.5)	Bucks	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x5c75ce…
10-23 19:03:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xc38e01…
10-23 15:05:48	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x6d9566…
10-23 05:34:29	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xfe6326…