Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.77K

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

43.4%

Resolved

Trades

168

lifetime

Volume

$17.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$101

Open exposure

$24

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 05-08 02:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Politics

85% 46% -$1,407

Other

14% 29% -$259

Sports

1% 0% -$100

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-08).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No		-20	-$18	98¢	$-20	-$1	05-08 02:38
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No		-31	-$10	14¢	$-4	+$6	05-08 02:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iraq by march 7	17	$2.0K	1,615	1,615	+0	Yes	-$157	03-08 08:16
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	5	$1.9K	4,953	4,953	+0	Yes	-$486	02-25 00:42
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	3	$1.4K	1,439	533	+906	Yes	+$259	02-25 11:24
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	3	$1.4K	1,074	1,074	+0	Yes	+$107	02-25 00:58
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	5	$1.4K	752	752	+0	Yes	+$150	03-01 05:41
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	31	$1.3K	2,010	2,010	+0	Yes	-$99	03-07 02:05
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	5	$1.1K	1,454	1,454	+0	No	-$733	03-06 14:58
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	11	$817	517	517	+0	Yes	-$48	03-08 21:19
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	4	$598	439	439	+0	No	-$2	03-03 04:37
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	4	$542	661	661	+0	No	-$417	03-06 14:58
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	7	$435	440	440	+0	No	+$9	03-03 22:58
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	2	$423	257	257	+0	No	+$2	03-02 14:09
will trump say hockey during the 2026 state of the union address	1	$401	441	0	+441	Yes	+$40	02-25 01:00
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	2	$268	146	146	+0	Yes	+$14	03-07 00:45
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	3	$208	196	146	+50	No	-$13	03-08 21:51
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	2	$207	125	125	+0	No	+$7	03-01 16:29
will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	2	$205	107	107	+0	Yes	+$1	03-02 01:15
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	2	$205	128	128	+0	No	+$5	03-01 17:03
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	2	$205	123	123	+0	No	+$5	03-01 16:55
will us or israel strike iran on march 6 2026	2	$204	112	112	+0	Yes	+$4	03-02 19:54
us forces enter iran by march 7	2	$202	111	111	+0	No	+$2	03-01 18:37
will us or israel strike iran on march 8 2026	2	$198	112	112	+0	Yes	-$2	03-03 05:09
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	2	$196	105	105	+0	No	-$4	02-28 20:34
will us or israel strike iran on march 7 2026	3	$185	103	103	+0	Yes	+$2	03-03 04:46
will the state of the union be 100 minutes or longer	1	$179	239	0	+239	Yes	+$59	02-25 01:12
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	3	$177	2,357	2,357	+0	No	-$45	02-04 20:13
us strikes iraq by february 28	2	$148	381	381	+0	Yes	-$95	03-02 01:56
will trump say ufc during the 2026 state of the union address	1	$100	284	0	+284	No	-$100	02-25 01:08
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	2	$83	55	55	+0	Yes	-$1	03-03 05:09
peter attia out by february 15	1	$66	104	0	+104	No	-$66	02-04 23:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 02:38:59	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	31	32¢	$10	0x5fb7dd…
05-08 02:38:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	304	4¢	$12	0x6fe4bd…
05-08 02:38:31	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x4ae600…
05-08 02:38:25	Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x40f5ad…
03-11 20:12:23	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	9	81¢	$8	0xaf8ee9…
03-11 03:23:13	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0x53f8e4…
03-10 04:15:21	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x2ef4e9…
03-10 00:54:59	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	BUY	27	34¢	$9	0xb683d1…
03-10 00:48:49	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0x547dec…
03-10 00:48:49	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x4edbbc…
03-10 00:48:21	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	70	14¢	$10	0x8cf727…
03-08 23:17:35	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	14	41¢	$6	0x466c20…
03-08 23:17:29	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x445c32…
03-08 23:08:33	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	No	BUY	10,040	0¢	$10	0x9e0cf9…
03-08 22:56:21	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x2e7d42…
03-08 22:44:11	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	Yes	BUY	165	0¢	$0	0x550b29…
03-08 22:42:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	39	53¢	$21	0x0e8076…
03-08 22:20:15	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0x0aef99…
03-08 22:18:57	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xb17176…
03-08 22:07:45	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xbc6d47…
03-08 22:06:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	1	53¢	$0	0x1cb2fb…
03-08 21:53:23	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x4afe60…
03-08 21:53:21	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0x037780…
03-08 21:51:37	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0xf90ddd…
03-08 21:47:01	will qatar strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0x069e5a…
03-08 21:36:05	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	40	32¢	$13	0xa6206d…
03-08 21:19:39	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 12 278	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x80f513…
03-08 21:19:11	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xb793f3…
03-08 19:57:47	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	71	78¢	$55	0x646238…
03-08 19:57:45	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	29	78¢	$23	0x5fc617…
03-08 08:16:01	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x0f504a…
03-07 19:46:41	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0xe569f4…
03-07 19:30:41	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 12 278	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x9153f1…
03-07 19:13:39	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xb17ee6…
03-07 19:08:57	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x79bb6d…
03-07 19:04:45	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xcd2890…
03-07 19:04:35	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x0f6034…
03-07 19:03:53	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x0f4cff…
03-07 19:03:45	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x63fa71…
03-07 18:48:25	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	16	43¢	$7	0xf118ee…
03-07 11:33:05	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x36909b…
03-07 10:15:31	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf82974…
03-07 10:07:33	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0xc29d03…
03-07 10:06:49	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	SELL	368	56¢	$206	0xae8e74…
03-07 10:05:13	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	SELL	710	56¢	$397	0xced861…
03-07 10:03:59	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x41900c…
03-07 10:00:21	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	SELL	35	57¢	$20	0xa81c6f…
03-07 09:56:47	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	SELL	386	57¢	$220	0x4f6175…
03-07 09:55:25	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	SELL	87	57¢	$49	0xab0b83…
03-07 09:51:43	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x9027ba…
03-07 02:05:31	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	400	4¢	$14	0x07ef5e…
03-07 01:24:05	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0xe7f1e9…
03-07 01:23:43	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	92	3¢	$3	0x9f7497…
03-07 01:23:43	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x9715cc…
03-07 01:23:35	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xe37dd1…
03-07 01:23:31	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x58bc17…
03-07 01:23:31	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x0f99f2…
03-07 01:23:25	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x15a84f…
03-07 01:23:21	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x2ef50d…
03-07 01:23:19	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	152	3¢	$5	0xe1c75f…
03-07 01:23:17	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x561d0c…
03-07 01:23:15	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xfd467e…
03-07 01:23:15	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xcc9e45…
03-07 01:23:05	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x29d91a…
03-07 01:23:03	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x74670e…
03-07 01:22:59	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	72	3¢	$2	0x6b1b1a…
03-07 00:45:11	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	SELL	146	96¢	$141	0xc47ea2…
03-06 21:16:25	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	37	63¢	$23	0xf283f4…
03-06 21:11:01	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x2f54c8…
03-06 21:10:57	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x60d3d9…
03-06 21:10:57	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	40	43¢	$17	0x60a8f0…
03-06 21:08:11	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	142	33¢	$46	0xc70671…
03-06 18:38:37	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	1,242	66¢	$820	0x3d9006…
03-06 18:18:15	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	BUY	146	87¢	$127	0xd47bc6…
03-06 14:58:11	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	Yes	SELL	661	9¢	$62	0x98ea77…
03-06 14:58:07	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	Yes	SELL	1,291	5¢	$65	0xa83e54…
03-04 03:22:25	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	Yes	BUY	1,139	62¢	$701	0x73f454…
03-04 03:01:07	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 3 345	Yes	SELL	205	6¢	$12	0x0b4c3e…
03-04 01:24:27	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 3 345	Yes	BUY	205	5¢	$10	0x2c4bcc…
03-04 01:24:19	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	Yes	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x709ca1…
03-04 01:13:15	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	129	78¢	$100	0xa6258f…
03-04 01:12:05	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xfd67d8…
03-03 23:00:41	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	Yes	BUY	388	72¢	$279	0x5b38e9…
03-03 22:59:37	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	Yes	BUY	140	72¢	$100	0x71fc32…
03-03 22:59:23	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	142	71¢	$100	0x4ff3c5…
03-03 22:58:45	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	47	6¢	$3	0xe5e7f7…
03-03 06:37:59	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	1,403	34¢	$477	0xf1a862…
03-03 05:09:47	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	98	42¢	$41	0x6d74f4…
03-03 05:09:37	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	Yes	SELL	55	75¢	$41	0x02c504…
03-03 05:09:15	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	233	42¢	$98	0xc51862…
03-03 05:09:05	will us or israel strike iran on march 8 2026	Yes	SELL	112	87¢	$98	0xa7a383…
03-03 05:08:53	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	541	42¢	$227	0x803995…
03-03 05:08:21	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	249	91¢	$227	0xeeb5dd…
03-03 04:46:47	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	228	41¢	$93	0xb7c52b…
03-03 04:46:31	will us or israel strike iran on march 7 2026	Yes	SELL	103	91¢	$93	0x1c801c…
03-03 04:37:47	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	254	41¢	$104	0xc76682…
03-03 04:37:31	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	No	SELL	128	81¢	$104	0x55d2c5…
03-03 00:05:47	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	Yes	BUY	55	77¢	$42	0xcbf3e9…
03-03 00:00:53	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xfb886a…
03-02 23:52:07	will us or israel strike iran on march 8 2026	Yes	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xd58bd1…