Crafty-Mountain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$574

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.8%

Resolved

2,251

Trades

3,946

lifetime

Volume

$27.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 09-28 02:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 95 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 63% -$541

Other

5% 69% -$34

Sports

1% 61% +$1

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	6	$548	505	505	+0	Up	+$48	05-02 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	4	$527	389	389	+0	Up	+$107	05-01 19:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	3	$402	365	365	+0	Up	+$42	05-01 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	3	$385	341	341	+0	Up	+$25	05-01 19:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	4	$266	233	233	+0	Up	+$26	05-01 17:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$264	202	195	+7	Up	+$72	04-27 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	6	$248	182	182	+0	Down	+$38	05-06 19:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	4	$243	259	104	+155	Up	-$97	04-29 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	8	$237	316	316	+0	Up	-$83	04-29 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	7	$237	182	182	+0	Up	+$37	04-28 23:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	3	$236	378	378	+0	Down	-$164	05-02 11:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	14	$227	261	147	+115	Up	-$23	04-29 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	4	$226	216	216	+0	Down	-$74	04-29 00:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	4	$211	189	189	+0	Up	+$11	05-03 15:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	3	$208	216	189	+27	Down	-$11	04-27 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	3	$204	163	157	+6	Down	+$44	04-27 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	6	$192	273	273	+0	Up	+$12	05-04 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	3	$180	148	148	+0	Up	+$30	05-02 14:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	3	$178	144	144	+0	Down	+$58	05-01 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	13	$164	338	290	+48	Up	-$136	05-06 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	6	$148	139	139	+0	Up	+$18	05-04 23:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$144	128	128	+0	Down	+$24	05-01 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	8	$143	137	133	+5	Down	+$3	04-25 06:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	4	$142	121	121	+0	Down	+$22	05-04 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	3	$142	123	123	+0	Down	+$22	05-02 18:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$142	128	128	+0	Up	+$22	05-01 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	4	$142	185	179	+6	Down	-$58	04-25 07:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	3	$133	131	131	+0	Up	+$13	05-01 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	3	$133	117	117	+0	Up	+$13	05-04 07:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$131	115	115	+0	Up	+$11	05-01 16:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-28 02:17:50	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0xacb9a4…
09-28 02:11:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xe55038…
09-28 02:06:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x7a2071…
09-28 01:57:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 01:55 UTC	Down	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x51b1cf…
09-28 01:50:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 01:50 UTC	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xd7b107…
09-28 01:07:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 01:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x53a32b…
09-28 01:05:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$2	0x0000c2…
09-28 00:53:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0x46ddd5…
09-28 00:52:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x5c0831…
09-27 23:47:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x09e34f…
09-27 21:17:47	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x6e512f…
09-27 15:37:50	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x085821…
09-27 15:08:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x510dfc…
09-27 10:39:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x0653ea…
09-27 10:12:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x5a0e0c…
09-27 09:12:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0x7fcb4f…
09-27 08:18:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa70ce3…
09-27 01:57:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 01:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xce1b67…
09-26 21:37:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x1cce60…
09-26 20:47:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x70ebef…
09-26 18:48:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x05ba18…
09-26 15:50:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x2e331d…
09-26 13:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x04a3d7…
09-26 13:23:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x3fcab9…
09-26 07:02:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x8ad83e…
09-26 06:07:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x138e29…
09-26 02:49:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x2b2b57…
09-25 23:34:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$4	0xa0f363…
09-25 20:03:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x07cf0a…
09-25 19:37:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xa31e4b…
09-25 19:32:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x515e7a…
09-25 19:28:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf4992d…
09-25 19:12:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe49c89…
09-25 17:22:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x98c253…
09-25 17:11:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 17:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0xe8c752…
09-25 16:35:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x3bb57b…
09-25 15:21:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa0419e…
09-25 15:03:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xdf18af…
09-25 14:27:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x21eb54…
09-25 13:56:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x6145e6…
09-25 13:48:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb16e4a…
09-25 13:42:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0x02e28a…
09-25 13:28:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x44e528…
09-25 13:07:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x61cff3…
09-25 12:08:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 12:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf6abb2…
09-25 10:33:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	41¢	$3	0x9e16b5…
09-25 09:47:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xaa9dea…
09-25 09:22:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xac7364…
09-25 08:32:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x0d8fdd…
09-25 08:28:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd626f1…
09-25 07:05:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x72b9f5…
09-25 06:34:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x32387f…
09-25 05:33:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x47b72d…
09-25 05:18:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x7c664a…
09-25 04:48:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x8e14bc…
09-25 04:03:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x620821…
09-25 02:24:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x40ccb3…
09-25 01:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xe9dd48…
09-25 01:46:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xb843b4…
09-25 01:46:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0x17f978…
09-25 01:40:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x7512ab…
09-25 01:37:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x09ee43…
09-25 01:37:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	0	73¢	$0	0x07a41c…
09-25 01:27:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x7662b3…
09-25 01:26:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 01:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x4e3389…
09-25 01:19:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x3a1968…
09-25 01:17:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xcc88b7…
09-24 21:51:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	73¢	$5	0x112f29…
09-24 18:54:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xe46c89…
09-24 00:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x4d149f…
09-24 00:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x62639e…
09-23 17:12:50	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0xb24ced…
09-23 17:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb0da17…
09-23 16:52:48	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x58d291…
09-23 15:07:46	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xf8f497…
09-23 14:27:43	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa8ca57…
09-23 13:52:47	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xd33efd…
09-23 11:42:43	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$3	0x771f86…
09-23 11:07:46	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xc0df64…
09-23 10:27:47	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x6d629e…
09-23 09:50:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-23 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xcb50d8…
09-23 09:50:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-23 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x506844…
09-23 09:42:47	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x5a5c91…
09-23 09:27:46	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x2f6842…
09-23 09:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xed2faa…
09-23 08:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x32693f…
09-23 07:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x5a0e4a…
09-23 06:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x6c7e8d…
09-23 06:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5ff3f8…
09-23 05:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0x908f3f…
09-23 05:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x324001…
09-23 05:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x189184…
09-23 05:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x944c31…
09-23 04:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xf60077…
09-23 04:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x21d6f8…
09-23 04:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x2628d3…
09-23 04:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb51847…
09-23 04:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x40a005…
09-23 04:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2a9caf…
09-23 03:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x1b12aa…