Crafty-Mountain — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.6%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

34 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$262

$262 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 13:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% $-24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$40	74	0	+74	Down	$-40	05-04 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$26	0	41	-41	Up	+$26	05-04 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	2	$23	20	20	+0	Up	+$3	05-05 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$15	0	22	-22	Up	$-7	05-05 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	2	$11	9	9	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 02:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 01:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	Up	+$9	05-05 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$10	24	0	+24	Up	$-10	05-05 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$10	22	0	+22	Up	+$12	05-05 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	05-05 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$10	10	10	+0	Down	$-0	05-05 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	1	$7	0	26	-26	Down	$-20	05-05 04:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$6	0	10	-10	Down	$-4	05-05 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	1	$6	0	15	-15	Up	+$6	05-05 05:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	1	$6	0	10	-10	Up	+$6	05-05 02:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$6	0	11	-11	Up	$-5	05-05 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$5	0	9	-9	Down	$-4	05-05 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	$-5	05-04 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	+$4	05-04 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Up	+$6	05-05 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	$-5	05-05 01:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-05 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-05 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Up	+$7	05-05 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	05-05 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	05-04 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	$-5	05-05 02:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	$-0	05-04 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-04 21:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 13:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x43cdae…
05-05 05:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	15	38¢	$6	0xcc8f0d…
05-05 04:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	26	25¢	$7	0x8aef0b…
05-05 04:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x8aed1a…
05-05 03:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0xb001c7…
05-05 03:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x6aeac0…
05-05 03:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xff6d38…
05-05 03:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	22	67¢	$15	0xb416f0…
05-05 03:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xe6d261…
05-05 03:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x16fde1…
05-05 03:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x154c25…
05-05 03:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x1fd334…
05-05 03:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xeaa1df…
05-05 02:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x42a1d0…
05-05 02:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0xf07da3…
05-05 02:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	9	63¢	$6	0x071332…
05-05 02:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xd44925…
05-05 02:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x8be55d…
05-05 01:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0x630430…
05-05 01:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0xd8b303…
05-05 01:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x171bef…
05-05 01:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0x0a411b…
05-05 01:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x294acb…
05-05 01:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x3bbb19…
05-05 00:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa9b0a0…
05-05 00:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x1eca8a…
05-04 23:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xf46fa7…
05-04 23:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0xec8b48…
05-04 23:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	41	63¢	$26	0xcfe75d…
05-04 23:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x8dc472…
05-04 22:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x25bc27…
05-04 21:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb0a50a…
05-04 20:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0xbba184…
05-04 20:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc004fd…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	27	$3.87K	129	05-05 13:45
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	22	$3.92K	118	05-05 13:42
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	19	$840	76	05-05 13:40
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	18	$1.07K	90	05-05 13:40
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	18	$1.03K	82	05-05 13:40
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	18	$809	77	05-05 13:40
Questionable-Miter 0x7b55…8f95	17	$574	91	05-05 04:00
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	15	$701	31	05-05 13:40