Honest-Solicitation 0x8dcf7e…215668
hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.67K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.31K
Hit rate
72.2%
Resolved
220
Trades
2,013
lifetime
Volume
$78.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$39
Open exposure
$14.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-26
last 10-28 20:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 86 days
Categories
Other
59% 51% +$3,625
Politics
29% 48% -$1,211
Sports
12% 51% -$753
Tech
0% 100% +$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +2,700 $2,196 86¢ $2.3K +$139 10-27 03:04
No one announced as next James Bond? No +2,800 $2,149 79¢ $2.2K +$66 10-28 18:20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,700 $2,026 82¢ $2.2K +$174 10-28 17:36
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +1,493 $736 93¢ $1.4K +$653 10-26 16:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,000 $776 88¢ $885 +$109 09-24 13:25
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No +6,432 $4,393 10¢ $675 -$3,718 10-28 15:43
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +900 $586 66¢ $598 +$12 10-28 20:25
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +550 $256 81¢ $448 +$191 09-20 02:08
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +484 $200 92¢ $447 +$247 07-25 22:12
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +600 $415 70¢ $423 +$8 10-24 18:42
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31 No +441 $49 94¢ $417 +$368 10-20 18:44
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +500 $344 71¢ $355 +$11 10-27 16:21
Weed rescheduled by December 31? No +350 $260 92¢ $323 +$63 10-26 16:12
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +286 $212 94¢ $270 +$59 10-23 15:46
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -313 -$156 84¢ $-261 -$105 05-17 00:32
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +252 $208 92¢ $234 +$25 10-11 17:10
tyler robinson convicted of homicide No +218 $133 88¢ $191 +$58 09-03 16:17
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -428 -$171 44¢ $-190 -$19 05-17 00:32
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +159 $130 94¢ $150 +$20 07-07 02:38
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? Yes +400 $113 32¢ $129 +$16 10-19 17:37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +118 $89 97¢ $114 +$24 06-25 20:45
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 Yes +117 -$194 96¢ $113 +$308 10-28 19:20
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +100 $53 92¢ $92 +$40 10-10 02:24
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Yes +86 $68 95¢ $82 +$13 10-18 21:49
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +75 $49 98¢ $74 +$25 10-26 14:42
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +1,000 $73 7¢ $74 +$0 10-10 23:25
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31 No +63 $50 92¢ $58 +$8 07-30 22:31
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +62 $50 91¢ $56 +$6 07-07 04:36
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +100 $176 56¢ $56 -$120 10-27 21:17
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? Yes +100 $52 54¢ $54 +$2 10-27 22:43