Dull-Marketing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$44

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.9%

Resolved

362

Trades

588

lifetime

Volume

$5.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 07-08 00:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 109 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 97% -$6

Sports

22% 41% -$33

Other

14% 75% -$3

Politics

7% 50% -$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-08).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	29	$204	108	108	+0	No	$0	03-19 20:47
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	25	$189	123	123	+0	No	-$1	03-20 03:07
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	25	$148	99	99	+0	Yes	-$2	03-20 03:07
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	14	$94	49	49	+0	No	$0	03-19 00:34
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	13	$80	41	41	+0	No	$0	03-18 15:25
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	10	$78	49	49	+0	Yes	+$0	02-05 10:57
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	13	$72	37	37	+0	No	$0	03-14 00:07
lal rea ray 2026 02 01 ray	8	$63	41	41	+0	No	+$0	02-01 13:59
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	8	$60	38	38	+0	No	$0	03-04 17:37
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$46	24	24	+0	No	$0	03-19 23:49
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	4	$40	31	31	+0	Yes	+$0	02-15 18:23
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	6	$40	22	22	+0	No	$0	02-21 06:03
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	6	$39	27	27	+0	Yes	-$1	02-18 02:58
Fredrikstad FK vs. IK Start: O/U 5.5	2	$39	21	21	+0	Under	-$1	05-29 17:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	7	$38	33	33	+0	Yes	$0	02-15 22:09
bitcoin up or down march 9 9pm et	2	$34	17	17	+0	Up	+$0	03-10 02:04
GTA VI released before June 2026?	6	$34	17	17	+0	No	$0	03-04 00:54
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$32	16	16	+0	No	$0	03-19 04:33
bitcoin up or down march 6 6pm et	2	$30	15	15	+0	Down	+$0	03-07 00:03
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	3	$30	20	10	+10	No	+$0	02-19 09:57
bitcoin up or down march 5 4am et	2	$28	14	14	+0	Up	+$0	03-05 10:05
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	4	$28	15	15	+0	No	$0	03-03 03:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET	2	$27	17	17	+0	Down	-$5	05-14 18:57
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	4	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	02-01 02:10
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	3	$26	17	10	+6	No	+$0	02-21 08:34
bitcoin up or down march 5 10am et	2	$24	12	12	+0	Down	+$0	03-05 16:02
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$24	12	12	+0	No	$0	02-22 14:08
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	4	$24	14	14	+0	No	$0	02-22 08:18
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	4	$23	13	13	+0	Yes	-$1	02-10 02:02
bitcoin up or down march 5 12pm et	2	$22	11	11	+0	Down	+$0	03-05 18:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 00:40:28	mlb mil stl 2026 05 05 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0x0e9bdc…
07-06 22:25:35	atp sinner struff 2026 07 07	Jannik Sinner	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xde5b73…
07-05 21:58:49	Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	No	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x387470…
07-04 23:36:04	mlb bos laa 2026 07 04 spread away 1pt5	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x47be72…
06-25 00:29:29	mlb phi wsh 2026 06 24	Washington Nationals	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xb29468…
06-24 20:27:50	mlb bal laa 2026 06 24	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc063e4…
06-17 07:14:47	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0xf85887…
06-13 20:38:49	mlb stl min 2026 06 13 spread away 4pt5	Minnesota Twins	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x779cf6…
06-13 19:54:30	Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x272ca5…
06-13 17:23:01	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x9af79a…
06-13 16:55:27	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	SELL	16	47¢	$8	0xebefd4…
06-13 11:54:13	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0x2f844e…
06-13 11:12:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	37¢	$3	0xf3597c…
06-12 00:07:15	wnba nyl atl 2026 06 11 spread home 3pt5	Atlanta Dream	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x9af99d…
06-11 18:01:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	SELL	11	67¢	$8	0x4f07bd…
06-11 17:31:39	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	No	SELL	9	50¢	$5	0xc76931…
06-11 17:30:06	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	BUY	11	57¢	$7	0x26a5c8…
06-11 03:16:54	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 spread away 9pt5	Knicks	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x783011…
06-11 01:37:15	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x20ad69…
06-11 01:00:42	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x6446ef…
06-11 00:55:45	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x7c7fdc…
06-11 00:49:55	mlb min det 2026 06 10	Detroit Tigers	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xd154f8…
06-10 05:11:34	mlb cin sd 2026 06 09 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x2b9b47…
06-10 01:22:34	mlb chc col 2026 06 09	Colorado Rockies	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0xb54c49…
06-10 01:21:51	mlb chc col 2026 06 09	Colorado Rockies	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x88d8c7…
06-10 00:51:12	mlb ari mia 2026 06 09	Miami Marlins	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x21b9de…
06-09 23:03:48	mlb lad pit 2026 06 09	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0x6f7cda…
06-09 02:23:57	mlb mil oak 2026 06 08 spread away 1pt5	Athletics	BUY	17	67¢	$11	0x9e85ab…
06-07 20:59:10	mlb laa lad 2026 06 07 spread home 1pt5	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	18	32¢	$6	0xaf8796…
06-06 17:22:46	wnba sea min 2026 06 06 total 160pt5	Over	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x676cab…
06-06 17:22:36	wnba sea min 2026 06 06 total 160pt5	Over	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x743716…
06-06 02:50:57	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 spread home 3pt5	Knicks	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x00be27…
06-06 00:14:21	wnba conn chi 2026 06 05 total 162pt5	Over	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x617df6…
06-05 19:53:49	mlb sf chc 2026 06 05	San Francisco Giants	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x38b66c…
06-05 19:53:42	mlb sf chc 2026 06 05	San Francisco Giants	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xf26e84…
06-05 02:13:31	mlb lad ari 2026 06 04	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x594157…
06-05 00:08:06	mlb kc min 2026 06 04 total 12pt5	Under	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x40a549…
06-04 00:47:57	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 total 217pt5	Under	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x848b28…
06-03 01:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	14	38¢	$5	0x3866d2…
06-03 01:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x4b4a63…
06-02 19:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x34e11d…
06-02 01:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec6772…
05-31 20:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2633b7…
05-31 19:05:57	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x481530…
05-31 19:05:57	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2c5bae…
05-30 05:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xaa986b…
05-29 21:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xfab54c…
05-29 17:00:23	Fredrikstad FK vs. IK Start: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	21	90¢	$19	0xf3ac2b…
05-29 11:19:40	Fredrikstad FK vs. IK Start: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x8dcb69…
05-29 03:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xe8d980…
05-29 01:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4e70d5…
05-28 21:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x23cb2d…
05-28 19:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xfabd8a…
05-27 16:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	17	91¢	$16	0xcd3bd9…
05-27 01:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$11	0x55034b…
05-26 08:47:31	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x5c220d…
05-25 22:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xe93061…
05-22 22:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf08d53…
05-21 10:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xeed83d…
05-20 11:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x92e356…
05-20 05:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe2dce6…
05-19 19:15:20	Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-05-19?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x843739…
05-19 16:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb0a33b…
05-19 11:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x7626cc…
05-19 03:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xd5b64d…
05-18 19:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf22444…
05-18 03:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$14	0xbfb172…
05-18 01:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x4271f3…
05-17 21:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x303f43…
05-17 10:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1acc86…
05-17 03:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x146e32…
05-15 22:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0x0e7bec…
05-15 18:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xc3eac9…
05-15 17:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4b0d20…
05-15 10:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1e0723…
05-15 08:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0d54f7…
05-15 06:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd17134…
05-15 03:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb95f40…
05-15 01:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xed0fcd…
05-15 00:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5f21bc…
05-14 18:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	17	66¢	$11	0xda991e…
05-14 18:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$16	0x7bd357…
05-14 11:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb6a783…
05-14 04:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4bee4a…
05-13 23:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x72f40c…
04-29 11:03:52	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0x8ca1e9…
04-29 10:45:00	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0x24380a…
04-26 12:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xe6b652…
04-26 04:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x62428b…
04-26 00:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc5831d…
04-25 20:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xf08080…
04-25 12:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5f4752…
04-25 01:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xa8789a…
04-24 22:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xdaf994…
04-24 16:50:30	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x0e886f…
04-24 11:50:46	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x02d33b…
04-24 09:51:08	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xbdad9e…
04-23 10:50:24	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x554b1c…
04-23 07:55:58	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xea1b08…
04-23 02:51:48	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xecc981…