Spicy-Slope — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.25K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.0%

Resolved

1,175

Trades

2,791

lifetime

Volume

$89.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-22 16:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 86 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 66% -$4,777

Other

8% 15% -$402

Politics

1% 0% -$38

Sports

0% 0% -$32

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	7	$6.1K	12,825	12,825	+0	No	-$2,239	02-05 17:56
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	11	$5.3K	10,276	10,276	+0	No	-$622	02-11 00:06
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	10	$2.4K	3,334	3,334	+0	No	-$58	02-13 00:40
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 400 419	12	$2.2K	7,098	7,098	+0	No	-$163	02-13 05:42
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 140 164	4	$1.7K	1,201	1,201	+0	Yes	-$45	02-11 03:57
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	7	$1.6K	1,747	1,747	+0	No	$0	03-02 16:06
will bitcoin reach 72k february 9 15	6	$1.4K	2,963	2,963	+0	No	+$5	02-13 18:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 00:30 UTC	4	$1.3K	2,032	2,008	+24	Up	+$6	03-12 00:41
will xrp dip to 1pt3 february 9 15	8	$1.2K	2,338	2,338	+0	No	-$115	02-14 11:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 00:45 UTC	4	$1.1K	1,749	1,729	+20	Down	+$24	03-12 00:54
will xrp reach 1pt6 in march 2026	3	$1.0K	1,315	1,315	+0	Yes	-$13	03-11 18:30
bitcoin up or down on january 14	2	$979	4,817	4,817	+0	Up	-$369	01-14 09:01
will bitcoin dip to 66k february 9 15	2	$969	1,013	1,013	+0	Yes	+$145	02-10 21:43
bitcoin up or down march 11 5pm et	4	$916	995	980	+15	Up	+$50	03-11 21:40
will ethereum dip to 1900 february 16 22	6	$857	703	703	+0	Yes	+$37	02-20 01:38
will ethereum reach 2200 in march 2026	2	$791	719	719	+0	Yes	-$29	03-01 18:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 00:35 UTC	2	$727	602	594	+9	Up	+$5	03-12 00:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 21:55 UTC	3	$715	1,184	1,171	+13	Down	+$23	03-11 21:58
will ethereum reach 3200 in february 2026	3	$700	3,835	3,835	+0	No	-$79	02-02 15:44
will bitcoin reach 70k in march 2026	2	$664	503	503	+0	Yes	-$10	03-02 00:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	2	$649	1,015	1,015	+0	Yes	+$1	05-15 01:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 22:00 UTC	2	$647	724	712	+11	Down	-$72	03-11 22:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 21:45 UTC	2	$640	448	442	+6	Up	+$63	03-11 21:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	2	$596	2,453	2,453	+0	No	+$23	05-15 15:15
bitcoin up or down march 6 3am et	4	$567	461	455	+6	Down	+$12	03-06 08:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 00:20 UTC	2	$545	435	429	+6	Up	+$45	03-12 00:22
will bitcoin dip to 64k march 2 8	2	$544	415	415	+0	No	-$29	03-02 12:06
will bitcoin reach 72k february 16 22	5	$535	1,820	1,820	+0	No	+$1	02-19 06:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 21:00 UTC	4	$530	822	814	+9	Down	+$70	03-11 21:06
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 420 439	2	$498	1,074	1,074	+0	No	+$52	02-12 09:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 16:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	44	15¢	$7	0x7424ed…
10-22 16:40:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x24110b…
10-22 16:37:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x8f9c46…
10-22 16:36:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	30	14¢	$4	0xe6603b…
10-22 16:08:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x9f2f0f…
10-22 16:08:12	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in October?	Yes	SELL	136	12¢	$16	0x3ef144…
10-22 11:38:17	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in October?	Yes	BUY	136	14¢	$19	0x009896…
06-08 17:59:15	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	111	38¢	$42	0xb23e1f…
06-08 12:21:06	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	111	43¢	$48	0x3ae4ae…
05-15 15:15:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	2,453	13¢	$310	0x969539…
05-15 01:30:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	2,453	12¢	$286	0x7d5607…
05-15 01:22:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	1,015	32¢	$325	0x530d5e…
05-14 18:36:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,015	32¢	$324	0xeed0b2…
05-09 21:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x33c86b…
05-09 21:33:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 9?	Yes	SELL	133	7¢	$10	0xf2c063…
05-09 20:18:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	80	12¢	$10	0xdc1a2d…
05-09 19:27:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	53	17¢	$9	0x77ebcf…
05-09 19:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x99effe…
05-09 19:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xe81f5c…
05-09 18:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0xdd3bf2…
05-09 18:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x92c7cd…
05-09 18:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	41	15¢	$6	0xf67f91…
05-09 18:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0xfb12dc…
05-09 17:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x5da4f2…
05-09 17:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x68afb5…
05-09 17:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x48e11f…
05-09 17:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x6eb81b…
05-08 14:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	21¢	$7	0x251e8b…
05-08 14:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xcf6685…
05-08 14:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x9781fc…
05-08 14:52:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?	Yes	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0x41326f…
05-08 13:15:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	40	36¢	$14	0xeb8b32…
05-08 13:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x4a3028…
05-08 13:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x1f6c4f…
05-08 12:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0x5394a4…
05-08 12:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xea887c…
05-08 12:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xc6d707…
05-08 12:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xeabf98…
05-08 12:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	92¢	$3	0x6b4e6f…
05-02 01:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	43	51¢	$22	0x332d49…
05-02 01:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	43	51¢	$22	0x3feaca…
05-02 01:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	23	98¢	$22	0xc9d000…
05-02 01:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	23	92¢	$21	0xfe6988…
05-02 00:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x2fdf11…
05-02 00:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	25	95¢	$23	0x8329ea…
05-02 00:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	25	69¢	$17	0x9d9380…
05-02 00:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x60128a…
05-02 00:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xcfec12…
05-02 00:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb7f927…
04-29 07:55:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xbd736d…
04-29 07:50:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on April 29?	Yes	SELL	24	2¢	$0	0x454b8f…
04-29 07:47:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on April 29?	Yes	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x70bb11…
04-29 07:47:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 29?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xaf6bde…
04-29 07:47:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 29?	Yes	SELL	985	0¢	$1	0x63a821…
04-29 07:44:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C or higher on April 29?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x76b0b7…
04-29 07:44:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C or higher on April 29?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xce085c…
04-29 07:43:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C or higher on April 29?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xbe1559…
04-29 07:43:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on April 29?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xd35f6b…
04-29 07:43:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C or higher on April 29?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x65a4d1…
04-29 07:43:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x97000e…
04-29 07:43:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C or higher on April 29?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xdaf068…
04-29 07:42:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C or higher on April 29?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x8e4b68…
04-29 07:42:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	985	1¢	$5	0xa7118e…
04-29 07:42:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x6d5a22…
04-29 07:04:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C or higher on April 29?	Yes	SELL	60	0¢	$0	0xffbcfe…
04-29 06:15:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 29?	Yes	SELL	114	0¢	$0	0x87b897…
04-29 06:15:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 29?	Yes	SELL	136	1¢	$2	0x19bf0c…
04-29 06:07:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	88	2¢	$2	0x5d8d79…
04-29 06:07:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 29?	Yes	SELL	18	12¢	$2	0x50be1f…
04-29 06:03:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0xec63e9…
04-29 06:02:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xac72ee…
04-29 06:02:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C or higher on April 29?	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$1	0x5b57a0…
04-29 06:01:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	114	1¢	$1	0xfff72c…
04-27 19:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x290bb2…
04-27 18:54:04	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	18	3¢	$1	0x8a4c0d…
04-27 18:53:50	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	80	1¢	$1	0xdc7302…
04-27 18:53:36	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	114	0¢	$0	0xbc178b…
04-27 02:26:58	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	18	7¢	$1	0x558263…
04-27 02:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0xa5a969…
04-27 02:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x1ba189…
04-27 02:25:48	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	84	1¢	$1	0x5c5f06…
04-27 02:25:38	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	120	1¢	$1	0x450674…
04-27 02:19:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	51	7¢	$3	0xa3cf48…
04-27 02:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x07d396…
04-27 02:03:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x79c59a…
04-27 02:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0xf95c80…
04-27 02:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xc32cbd…
04-27 02:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 27?	Yes	BUY	120	1¢	$1	0xd220b6…
04-27 01:59:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	366	0¢	$1	0xa55ea5…
04-27 01:54:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	54	7¢	$4	0xdbb440…
04-27 01:52:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	102	2¢	$2	0x99323d…
04-27 01:50:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0x860f63…
04-27 01:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	14	57¢	$8	0xdcb67a…
04-27 01:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0xf9d340…
04-27 01:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	22	30¢	$7	0x94abed…
04-27 01:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	23	25¢	$6	0x42f51a…
04-27 01:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x80cbb4…
04-27 01:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0x9d40dc…
04-27 01:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0x70f144…
04-27 01:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x3d3b33…