Negligible-Burrito — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$36

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

12.7%

Resolved

Trades

206

lifetime

Volume

$4.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$698

5 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 06-10 18:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

75% 20% $-36

Politics

25% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	+8,276	$607	6¢	$455	$-151	06-10 18:47
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	-652	$-98	12¢	$-81	+$16	05-29 21:43
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	-1,310	$-78	6¢	$-81	$-3	06-10 14:14
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	-750	$-98	10¢	$-71	+$26	06-10 18:47
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	+1,000	$-104	1¢	$10	+$113	06-04 19:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	89	$1.3K	36,743	35,037	+1,706	open	—	04-15 02:15
trump out as president by march 31	13	$896	41,993	4,000	+37,993	open	—	03-23 21:25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	5	$607	8,276	0	+8,276	open	—	06-10 18:47
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	11	$352	8,000	7,000	+1,000	open	—	06-04 19:34
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	13	$219	6,033	3,533	+2,500	open	—	05-27 20:57
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	1	$98	0	652	-652	open	—	05-29 21:43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$98	0	750	-750	open	—	06-10 18:47
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	6	$85	6,246	1,789	+4,457	open	—	03-27 03:50
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	2	$78	0	1,310	-1,310	open	—	06-10 14:14
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	10	$70	3,160	0	+3,160	open	—	03-28 19:34
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	5	$28	600	0	+600	No	$-28	04-24 15:44
trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	5	$25	147	47	+100	open	—	04-18 07:17
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	7	$24	1,000	1,000	-0	open	—	03-23 09:05
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% in April?	4	$20	236	0	+236	No	$-20	04-13 20:22
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	2	$11	1,250	1,250	+0	open	—	03-23 07:31
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.9% in April?	5	$10	125	0	+125	No	$-10	04-13 22:46
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in April?	1	$10	71	0	+71	No	$-10	04-14 10:29
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April?	6	$10	41	0	+41	Yes	+$31	04-14 02:17
will trumps remarks not air 135 938 873 176 561 352 635	2	$7	300	200	+100	open	—	04-01 22:10
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	1	$5	50	0	+50	open	—	03-24 16:15
crude oil all time high by march 31	1	$5	200	0	+200	open	—	03-23 14:03
pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by march 31	6	$5	454	0	+454	open	—	03-25 07:20
btc updown 15m 1770760800	2	$5	15	0	+15	open	—	02-10 22:14
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	2	$5	263	0	+263	open	—	03-22 21:57
will trump say april fool or april fools during address to the nation	1	$4	100	0	+100	open	—	04-01 20:54
btc updown 15m 1770841800	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	02-11 20:32
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$2	600	0	+600	open	—	03-30 03:52
Netanyahu out by April 30?	1	$1	500	0	+500	open	—	04-25 15:14
btc updown 15m 1770854400	1	$0	5	0	+5	open	—	02-12 00:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 18:47:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,513	6¢	$91	0xb7df2a…
06-10 18:47:16	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	750	13¢	$98	0xc085eb…
06-10 14:15:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,763	6¢	$106	0xa1ce28…
06-10 14:14:07	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,071	6¢	$63	0xdc525c…
06-10 14:13:21	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	239	6¢	$14	0x0155cf…
06-04 19:34:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,000	1¢	$20	0x81f9ae…
06-03 07:01:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	2,000	8¢	$160	0x05659a…
06-03 06:54:39	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	2,000	8¢	$160	0x0bf948…
06-03 05:47:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,000	6¢	$64	0xa74350…
06-03 05:47:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2,000	3¢	$64	0x8187dd…
06-03 05:47:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2,000	2¢	$42	0x6accc8…
06-01 11:20:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,000	2¢	$32	0xfe3fbd…
06-01 09:41:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,000	2¢	$32	0x0dde84…
05-30 03:40:57	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	133	3¢	$4	0xe7278f…
05-30 03:19:44	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	268	3¢	$8	0x0c3037…
05-30 03:18:33	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	86	3¢	$2	0x3adff4…
05-30 02:31:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,513	3¢	$44	0xff151f…
05-29 21:45:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	9¢	$90	0xdb6147…
05-29 21:43:57	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	SELL	652	15¢	$98	0x42595c…
05-28 22:57:29	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,000	2¢	$40	0x917030…
05-27 20:57:39	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0xd92922…
05-05 14:28:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	500	3¢	$15	0x5758fe…
05-05 12:01:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	3¢	$28	0x77dd63…
05-04 19:42:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	2¢	$20	0x500b69…
05-04 19:41:18	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$21	0x3b91cf…
05-01 10:27:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xab67c0…
05-01 01:24:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$29	0x865901…
04-30 13:52:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	700	6¢	$41	0x3a31e0…
04-30 06:52:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	354	3¢	$10	0x7f7a16…
04-30 06:50:50	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	346	3¢	$10	0x1ebdd7…
04-29 22:51:50	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	333	6¢	$20	0x58aff8…
04-25 15:14:36	Netanyahu out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x607c4a…
04-24 15:44:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	263	4¢	$12	0x830b3b…
04-24 15:03:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	35	4¢	$2	0x1e2084…
04-23 12:05:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xfd4752…
04-23 12:02:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xee4831…
04-23 10:43:48	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	312	3¢	$9	0x65b557…
04-23 10:43:08	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0x8dc475…
04-18 07:17:40	trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	Yes	SELL	47	27¢	$13	0xfdde80…
04-15 02:15:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0x4974de…
04-14 10:29:37	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in April?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x0217f2…
04-14 02:17:51	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April?	Yes	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x067429…
04-13 22:46:15	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.9% in April?	Yes	BUY	97	8¢	$8	0x0956b8…
04-13 22:06:15	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x796fdf…
04-13 22:04:09	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.9% in April?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0xeec7c2…
04-13 22:04:09	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.9% in April?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xd9bd88…
04-13 22:04:09	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x87b214…
04-13 22:04:09	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x0f1a8f…
04-13 20:22:23	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% in April?	Yes	BUY	39	8¢	$3	0x4942ff…
04-13 20:18:11	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xc0b0c4…
04-13 20:18:11	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% in April?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x611df9…
04-13 20:18:11	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.9% in April?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x435bee…
04-13 20:18:11	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April?	Yes	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x1d8dbd…
04-13 20:18:09	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.9% in April?	Yes	BUY	9	8¢	$1	0x0eb869…
04-13 20:17:23	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% in April?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x887e83…
04-13 20:17:23	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% in April?	Yes	BUY	84	8¢	$7	0x1a9999…
04-08 16:24:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	250	5¢	$12	0x3ecd41…
04-07 16:10:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	456	2¢	$11	0xe998cf…
04-06 10:26:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	911	2¢	$20	0x5e1ef3…
04-03 18:36:47	trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	Yes	BUY	29	5¢	$1	0x4fad0e…
04-03 17:52:35	trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	Yes	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x0e4c3c…
04-03 17:25:47	trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x980fd9…
04-02 16:55:07	trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x697eb8…
04-02 11:12:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	7,000	1¢	$98	0x708b55…
04-01 22:10:45	will trumps remarks not air 135 938 873 176 561 352 635	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$5	0x3831c9…
04-01 20:54:57	will trump say april fool or april fools during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x690cef…
04-01 19:14:53	will trumps remarks not air 135 938 873 176 561 352 635	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$2	0x0b7bf5…
04-01 17:41:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6,994	1¢	$49	0xa4938d…
03-30 03:52:46	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x56718b…
03-28 19:34:06	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$0	0xcde045…
03-28 19:30:34	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xf1b4f0…
03-28 19:22:54	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xf7c545…
03-28 19:18:30	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	BUY	252	1¢	$2	0x500da4…
03-28 19:12:16	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xe45734…
03-28 18:18:23	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	BUY	287	1¢	$2	0xf1af53…
03-28 03:16:13	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	BUY	625	1¢	$5	0x46cd3e…
03-27 15:47:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$24	0xa4c69e…
03-27 03:50:11	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	Yes	SELL	1,789	1¢	$23	0xae0ffb…
03-26 07:12:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	178	3¢	$5	0x51cee7…
03-26 00:17:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	79	3¢	$2	0x8eb81b…
03-26 00:09:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	19	3¢	$1	0xaf83c8…
03-25 23:57:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	42	3¢	$1	0xc5d7b1…
03-25 23:44:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x9bd67e…
03-25 18:37:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	161	3¢	$5	0x12032e…
03-25 15:16:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	166	3¢	$5	0x8025db…
03-25 07:20:03	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by march 31	Yes	BUY	407	1¢	$4	0x9a7023…
03-25 03:15:59	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by march 31	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xcea0fa…
03-24 20:57:23	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by march 31	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5eccaa…
03-24 20:29:25	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by march 31	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xbf9609…
03-24 19:59:53	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by march 31	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x2b8685…
03-24 19:33:25	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by march 31	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x414855…
03-24 16:15:03	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x092038…
03-24 14:09:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x97c040…
03-24 14:08:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	65	3¢	$2	0xd14d5a…
03-24 14:07:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0x9de0e5…
03-24 14:05:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x8aafeb…
03-24 14:05:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	56	3¢	$2	0x4f7d75…
03-23 21:25:01	trump out as president by march 31	Yes	SELL	4,000	5¢	$192	0xd79543…
03-23 14:03:55	crude oil all time high by march 31	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0x82985a…
03-23 09:05:21	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	Yes	SELL	333	1¢	$5	0x9fc2e4…