Negligible-Burrito — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.70K

Unrealized P&L

-$334

Hit rate

56.1%

Resolved

Trades

308

lifetime

Volume

$7.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$415

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 07-18 20:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

86% 33% -$1,176

Politics

14% 50% -$514

Crypto

0% 0% -$8

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-18).

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	+9,104	$821	4¢	$360	-$461	07-01 16:56
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	-1,310	-$78	2¢	$-32	+$45	06-10 14:14
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	-651	-$106	3¢	$-21	+$84	05-29 21:43
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	+50	$5	4¢	$2	-$3	05-15 00:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	63	$1.8K	64,152	53,165	+10,987	No	+$2	06-25 11:43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	39	$1.6K	20,294	1,500	+18,794	No	-$1,215	07-18 20:23
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	92	$1.3K	36,743	36,743	+0	No	+$155	04-29 17:52
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	5	$1.0K	9,854	750	+9,104	open	—	07-01 16:56
trump out as president by march 31	13	$896	41,993	4,000	+37,993	No	-$512	03-23 21:25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	14	$229	6,033	6,033	+0	No	+$38	05-28 22:05
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	4	$218	400	1,051	-651	open	—	05-29 21:43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	6	$85	6,246	1,789	+4,457	No	-$39	03-27 03:50
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	2	$78	0	1,310	-1,310	open	—	06-10 14:14
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	10	$70	3,160	0	+3,160	No	-$70	03-28 19:34
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	5	$28	600	0	+600	No	-$28	04-24 15:44
trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	5	$25	147	47	+100	No	+$1	04-18 07:17
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	7	$24	1,000	1,000	-0	No	+$2	03-23 09:05
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% in April?	4	$20	236	0	+236	No	-$20	04-13 20:22
Bill Gates charged by June 30?	3	$13	64	264	-200	No	+$12	05-19 21:25
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	2	$11	1,250	1,250	+0	No	+$1	03-23 07:31
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.9% in April?	5	$10	125	0	+125	No	-$10	04-13 22:46
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in April?	1	$10	71	0	+71	No	-$10	04-14 10:29
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April?	6	$10	41	0	+41	Yes	+$31	04-14 02:17
will trumps remarks not air 135 938 873 176 561 352 635	2	$7	300	200	+100	No	+$3	04-01 22:10
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	1	$6	200	0	+200	No	-$6	05-08 19:00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	1	$5	50	0	+50	No	-$5	03-24 16:15
Trump out as President before 2027?	1	$5	50	0	+50	open	—	05-15 00:50
crude oil all time high by march 31	1	$5	200	0	+200	No	-$5	03-23 14:03
pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by march 31	6	$5	454	0	+454	No	-$5	03-25 07:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 22:00 UTC	2	$5	15	0	+15	Down	-$5	02-10 22:14
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	2	$5	263	0	+263	No	-$5	03-22 21:57
will trump say april fool or april fools during address to the nation	1	$4	100	0	+100	No	-$4	04-01 20:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 20:30 UTC	1	$2	6	0	+6	Up	-$2	02-11 20:32
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$2	600	0	+600	No	-$2	03-30 03:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 20:23:42	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$2	0x9fa00a…
07-10 18:46:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	2,600	3¢	$88	0x2eeb1f…
07-02 14:53:53	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,500	4¢	$54	0xe01b97…
07-02 12:36:17	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x614862…
07-02 12:30:35	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	34	4¢	$1	0xd51b5a…
07-02 11:59:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	13	4¢	$0	0xc36cd8…
07-02 11:19:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xbb0643…
07-02 10:44:11	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x52d2ea…
07-02 10:36:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	178	4¢	$6	0x89bf5e…
07-02 10:31:50	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	675	4¢	$24	0x8eefd1…
07-01 16:56:29	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5,688	7¢	$398	0x801404…
07-01 14:56:11	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,500	8¢	$120	0xfa6e57…
06-30 15:32:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,314	4¢	$50	0x02a3be…
06-25 11:43:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3,312	1¢	$20	0x67dc4b…
06-25 10:41:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3,312	0¢	$7	0x2a193b…
06-25 10:17:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	8,888	1¢	$53	0x2affbd…
06-25 08:00:23	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	35,553	0¢	$71	0xe52730…
06-10 18:47:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,513	6¢	$91	0xb7df2a…
06-10 18:47:16	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	750	13¢	$98	0xc085eb…
06-10 14:15:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,763	6¢	$106	0xa1ce28…
06-10 14:14:07	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,071	6¢	$63	0xdc525c…
06-10 14:13:21	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	239	6¢	$14	0x0155cf…
06-04 19:34:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,000	1¢	$20	0x81f9ae…
06-03 07:01:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	2,000	8¢	$160	0x05659a…
06-03 06:54:39	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	2,000	8¢	$160	0x0bf948…
06-03 05:47:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,000	6¢	$64	0xa74350…
06-03 05:47:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2,000	3¢	$64	0x8187dd…
06-03 05:47:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2,000	2¢	$42	0x6accc8…
06-01 11:20:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,000	2¢	$32	0xfe3fbd…
06-01 09:41:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,000	2¢	$32	0x0dde84…
05-30 03:40:57	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	133	3¢	$4	0xe7278f…
05-30 03:19:44	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	268	3¢	$8	0x0c3037…
05-30 03:18:33	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	86	3¢	$2	0x3adff4…
05-30 02:31:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,513	3¢	$44	0xff151f…
05-29 21:45:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	9¢	$90	0xdb6147…
05-29 21:43:57	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	SELL	652	15¢	$98	0x42595c…
05-29 09:44:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$20	0x5e051d…
05-28 22:57:29	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,000	2¢	$40	0x917030…
05-28 22:05:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2,500	0¢	$10	0x24d7de…
05-27 20:57:39	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0xd92922…
05-26 21:22:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	9¢	$90	0x805ede…
05-25 16:54:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,810	2¢	$38	0x8de26c…
05-24 19:19:42	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	97	2¢	$2	0x61b445…
05-24 18:24:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	147	2¢	$4	0x217acc…
05-24 18:24:21	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	140	2¢	$3	0xf845f8…
05-24 01:35:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	367	3¢	$13	0xa19ffb…
05-23 22:11:57	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	143	3¢	$5	0x48913d…
05-23 22:09:35	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	143	3¢	$5	0x518440…
05-23 21:54:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	848	3¢	$30	0xf52e34…
05-19 21:25:46	Bill Gates charged by June 30?	Yes	SELL	132	5¢	$6	0x201a64…
05-19 17:37:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,500	2¢	$38	0x5b21c2…
05-18 13:28:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	SELL	1,000	10¢	$100	0xfa54bf…
05-15 06:40:26	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	8¢	$80	0x85d24a…
05-15 00:50:40	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xefda24…
05-14 16:28:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	9¢	$90	0xd5a11d…
05-13 16:48:26	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	400	3¢	$14	0xd4641a…
05-13 16:30:09	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	400	3¢	$13	0xc784d0…
05-13 16:29:18	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	700	3¢	$23	0xcf4f9a…
05-13 15:09:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	440	4¢	$15	0x7c8155…
05-13 15:06:44	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	410	3¢	$14	0xa0b1be…
05-13 15:06:11	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	610	4¢	$21	0x57b043…
05-12 22:31:18	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,333	15¢	$200	0x47256f…
05-12 22:12:35	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,333	15¢	$200	0x296cee…
05-12 07:39:02	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	SELL	399	16¢	$64	0x3bc258…
05-11 16:50:41	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	399	5¢	$20	0xca41fe…
05-11 16:23:25	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xc6bf53…
05-11 15:42:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xc4fcbd…
05-11 15:41:23	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xc8ef4c…
05-11 15:04:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0x59bef1…
05-11 14:58:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x5cbf6e…
05-11 14:55:23	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	471	5¢	$24	0x409ed4…
05-11 08:56:05	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	33	11¢	$4	0x2bf48e…
05-11 08:26:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	385	11¢	$42	0xa8cc69…
05-11 08:19:25	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x78406c…
05-11 08:18:33	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	35	11¢	$4	0x79bdfb…
05-11 07:15:48	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,000	7¢	$70	0x3f428d…
05-10 22:19:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0x049a31…
05-10 05:13:17	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,000	7¢	$70	0xc2231c…
05-09 21:24:03	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0xade571…
05-09 21:13:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	800	10¢	$80	0xd885b7…
05-09 20:48:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	500	7¢	$35	0x363864…
05-09 19:14:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0x3aa078…
05-08 19:00:43	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0xad5061…
05-08 12:21:16	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	SELL	500	14¢	$70	0x4098f6…
05-08 11:24:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	299	9¢	$27	0x068ebe…
05-08 10:35:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	90	9¢	$8	0x43c284…
05-08 09:39:21	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x05fa55…
05-08 01:57:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	400	8¢	$32	0xeba7a9…
05-08 00:58:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	500	7¢	$35	0xd48b1b…
05-07 15:38:21	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	BUY	383	14¢	$54	0x021801…
05-07 15:36:22	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	14¢	$2	0x6b6455…
05-07 11:28:11	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	500	6¢	$30	0x3d413d…
05-07 00:27:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	200	6¢	$12	0x5a7250…
05-06 10:52:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	800	5¢	$40	0xd84f57…
05-05 14:28:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	500	3¢	$15	0x5758fe…
05-05 12:01:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	3¢	$28	0x77dd63…
05-05 10:07:42	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0x104fd3…
05-04 19:42:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	2¢	$20	0x500b69…
05-04 19:41:18	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$21	0x3b91cf…
05-04 04:24:08	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	398	11¢	$44	0x32a9ab…