Unnatural-Error — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

120

lifetime

Volume

$1.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-10 00:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 100% +$1

Sports

14% — —

Other

12% — —

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	5	$86	99	99	+0	open	—	06-09 03:04
will bitcoin dip to 62k february 2 8	2	$85	45	45	+0	open	—	02-05 05:48
will ethereum dip to 1000 in february 2026	1	$55	55	0	+55	open	—	02-24 00:31
will bitcoin dip to 65k in january 2026	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	01-26 00:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	05-22 11:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	1	$45	46	0	+46	Yes	+$1	05-06 06:31
Will Solana dip to $20 April 27-May 3?	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	04-29 04:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	1	$45	45	0	+45	No	+$0	05-13 08:16
bitcoin above 74k on april 23	1	$44	45	0	+45	open	—	04-23 03:40
bitcoin up or down on january 15	2	$43	36	36	+0	open	—	01-15 01:05
ethereum above 1600 on june 9 2026	2	$41	364	364	+0	open	—	06-09 02:02
will solana reach 160 february 2 8	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	02-05 05:49
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$39	65	0	+65	open	—	05-27 01:06
us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	02-16 12:00
bitcoin above 78k on march 14	1	$35	36	0	+36	open	—	03-10 00:31
mlb sd pit 2026 04 06	1	$34	35	0	+35	open	—	04-07 01:11
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 140 159	1	$33	33	0	+33	open	—	03-31 10:47
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 160 179	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	03-16 08:14
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-25 00:06
bitcoin up or down on january 8	1	$20	43	0	+43	open	—	01-07 22:00
bitcoin above 80k on february 13	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	02-09 07:46
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 total 228pt5	2	$18	19	19	+0	open	—	06-09 02:55
solana above 130 on january 21	3	$17	67	67	+0	open	—	01-20 00:57
bitcoin up or down on january 20	2	$16	20	20	+0	open	—	01-20 00:57
will bitcoin dip to 58k june 1 7 2026	1	$16	0	21	-21	open	—	06-04 00:54
bitcoin above 70k on february 24	1	$15	7,500	0	+7,500	open	—	02-24 01:36
bitcoin above 58k on february 24	12	$15	2,949	0	+2,949	open	—	02-24 13:37
will solana dip to 20 february 16 22	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	02-16 12:01
cs2 ast10 pain 2026 06 08 game2	2	$14	34	34	+0	open	—	06-08 13:22
bitcoin above 92k on january 19	2	$14	43	43	+0	open	—	01-19 00:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 00:03:54	ethereum above 1600 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	45	21¢	$9	0xa219a1…
06-09 23:31:33	ethereum above 1600 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1f9346…
06-09 23:26:07	ethereum above 1500 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xd251f2…
06-09 23:25:28	ethereum above 1500 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x2ea60c…
06-09 23:25:28	ethereum above 1500 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x00cc3a…
06-09 23:03:39	bitcoin above 60k on june 10 2026	No	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xa65450…
06-09 23:03:36	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 8 14 2026	Yes	BUY	42	27¢	$11	0x774eb8…
06-09 23:01:12	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 8 14 2026	Yes	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x932c0b…
06-09 22:28:07	will solana dip to 60 june 8 14 2026	Yes	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x9e20e8…
06-09 12:31:09	cs2 mnte pain 2026 06 09 game1	paiN	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xc88c9e…
06-09 12:30:24	cs2 mnte pain 2026 06 09	paiN	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x468900…
06-09 06:22:12	cs2 big5 b8 2026 06 09	B8	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xb16eed…
06-09 06:21:28	cs2 mnte pain 2026 06 09 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x0756b3…
06-09 03:04:51	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0xf2e7a8…
06-09 02:55:31	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 total 228pt5	Over	SELL	19	43¢	$8	0x87c4b7…
06-09 02:55:00	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x7e957b…
06-09 02:48:09	bitcoin above 58k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	845	0¢	$2	0xa91a2a…
06-09 02:36:21	bitcoin above 58k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	1,432	0¢	$3	0x52e966…
06-09 02:33:54	bitcoin above 58k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xc0f1bb…
06-09 02:33:03	bitcoin above 58k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	47	0¢	$0	0xd2a0c0…
06-09 02:32:49	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0x7929ab…
06-09 02:31:34	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 total 228pt5	Over	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xf4fac8…
06-09 02:31:25	bitcoin above 58k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	675	0¢	$1	0x2764c3…
06-09 02:28:10	ethereum above 1500 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	72	3¢	$2	0x30d93d…
06-09 02:03:01	bitcoin above 60k on june 9 2026	No	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0x4522ef…
06-09 02:02:37	ethereum above 1600 on june 9 2026	No	SELL	364	6¢	$21	0x532dbf…
06-09 01:46:22	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	SELL	49	60¢	$29	0x727f3b…
06-09 01:02:49	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x3636a8…
06-09 00:26:25	bitcoin above 60k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	200	3¢	$5	0xe00841…
06-09 00:24:18	ethereum above 1600 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	364	5¢	$20	0x1d1270…
06-08 13:22:43	cs2 ast10 pain 2026 06 08 game2	Astralis	SELL	34	13¢	$4	0x350ac9…
06-08 13:20:46	cs2 ast10 pain 2026 06 08 game2	Astralis	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xcc4bd3…
06-08 12:44:22	bitcoin above 58k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x69bde7…
06-08 12:44:06	cs2 ast10 pain 2026 06 08 game1	Astralis	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0xf9b3f4…
06-08 12:22:00	cs2 ast10 pain 2026 06 08 game1	Astralis	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x16b3c1…
06-08 12:21:55	cs2 ast10 pain 2026 06 08 game1	Astralis	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x4cb212…
06-08 12:12:07	ethereum above 1500 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x8a0a33…
06-08 11:07:36	ethereum above 1500 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0x39c844…
06-08 11:03:19	bitcoin above 58k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	226	2¢	$5	0x3d55b1…
06-08 11:02:40	bitcoin above 58k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xe85c0b…
06-08 09:21:34	cs2 mnte bb3 2026 06 08 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x6b6888…
06-08 08:09:58	cs2 tyloo 9z 2026 06 08 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xeeb3af…
06-04 00:54:51	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	21	78¢	$16	0x8ac76f…
05-27 01:06:08	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	65	60¢	$39	0x2a1fe5…
05-22 11:29:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xf116fc…
05-13 08:16:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0xa131ed…
05-06 06:31:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	46	99¢	$45	0x969a55…
04-29 04:49:02	Will Solana dip to $20 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x41c07f…
04-23 03:40:30	bitcoin above 74k on april 23	Yes	BUY	45	99¢	$44	0x8e7ac9…
04-07 01:11:53	mlb sd pit 2026 04 06	San Diego Padres	BUY	35	99¢	$34	0x61594f…
03-31 10:47:03	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 140 159	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x1ff35d…
03-16 08:14:27	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 160 179	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xe09b28…
03-16 08:12:21	will the ecb announce a 25 bps decrease at the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0xa57de9…
03-10 00:31:17	bitcoin above 78k on march 14	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x11ffcc…
03-03 15:46:23	bitcoin above 60k on march 6	No	BUY	180	3¢	$6	0x891476…
03-03 08:27:35	bitcoin above 60k on march 6	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x5acc47…
03-02 07:27:41	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 2	Yes	SELL	333	0¢	$1	0x9d0f67…
03-02 07:27:25	will the price of bitcoin be less than 56000 on march 2	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe3f9c3…
03-02 02:24:47	will the price of bitcoin be less than 56000 on march 2	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xb969a1…
03-02 02:24:39	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 2	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xd44c34…
02-25 01:15:54	bitcoin above 70k on february 27	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0xea92ed…
02-25 00:06:38	bitcoin above 60k on february 25	No	BUY	87	2¢	$2	0x4abaa4…
02-25 00:06:20	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xe42557…
02-24 13:37:30	bitcoin above 58k on february 24	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x84089f…
02-24 12:37:48	bitcoin above 58k on february 24	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x72f737…
02-24 07:56:54	bitcoin above 58k on february 24	No	BUY	131	0¢	$1	0x9ff396…
02-24 07:56:36	bitcoin above 58k on february 24	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x7a72e0…
02-24 07:56:30	bitcoin above 58k on february 24	No	BUY	66	0¢	$0	0x36fb65…
02-24 07:55:14	bitcoin above 58k on february 24	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x7df466…
02-24 04:57:50	bitcoin above 58k on february 24	No	BUY	377	1¢	$3	0xbfdcb2…
02-24 04:49:24	bitcoin above 58k on february 24	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xcb8647…
02-24 04:49:02	bitcoin above 58k on february 24	No	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x6e7812…
02-24 04:38:28	bitcoin above 58k on february 24	No	BUY	500	1¢	$4	0x3709bb…
02-24 04:32:52	bitcoin above 58k on february 24	No	BUY	116	1¢	$1	0x93f57c…
02-24 04:32:24	bitcoin above 58k on february 24	No	BUY	249	1¢	$3	0x8c35df…
02-24 02:56:38	bitcoin above 58k on february 26	No	BUY	237	4¢	$10	0x3097ca…
02-24 01:36:52	bitcoin above 70k on february 24	Yes	BUY	7,500	0¢	$15	0xce34bc…
02-24 00:31:46	will ethereum dip to 1000 in february 2026	No	BUY	55	99¢	$55	0x88491d…
02-24 00:31:22	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x6639f0…
02-23 02:30:04	bitcoin above 72k on february 23	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$6	0xe974c9…
02-23 02:29:08	will bitcoin dip to 62k february 16 22	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xa06609…
02-19 11:44:26	will bitcoin dip to 58k february 16 22	Yes	BUY	161	3¢	$5	0x836c7a…
02-19 02:19:20	bitcoin above 72k on february 19	Yes	BUY	1,996	0¢	$4	0x7f02b0…
02-19 01:21:42	bitcoin above 72k on february 19	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$6	0x464e15…
02-18 00:46:07	bitcoin above 74k on february 18	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$4	0x492f9b…
02-18 00:32:09	bitcoin above 74k on february 18	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$6	0x97400d…
02-18 00:31:55	bitcoin above 58k on february 18	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0233aa…
02-16 12:01:21	will solana dip to 20 february 16 22	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd84314…
02-16 12:00:45	us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x4ab3d3…
02-09 07:52:41	nflx above 60 on february 13 2026	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2646f6…
02-09 07:48:39	will ethereum dip to 1400 february 9 15	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc538d3…
02-09 07:46:49	bitcoin above 80k on february 13	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xbb2774…
02-05 05:49:49	will solana reach 160 february 2 8	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x05f5d7…
02-05 05:48:51	will bitcoin dip to 62k february 2 8	No	SELL	45	88¢	$40	0x1bc63c…
02-03 02:05:58	will bitcoin dip to 62k february 2 8	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xe4b5a5…
01-26 00:13:56	will bitcoin dip to 65k in january 2026	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x56b03f…
01-20 00:57:14	solana above 130 on january 21	No	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0x950e6f…
01-20 00:57:02	bitcoin up or down on january 20	Up	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0xb7d01e…
01-19 20:17:32	bitcoin up or down on january 20	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa9867a…
01-19 20:17:02	solana above 130 on january 21	No	SELL	63	18¢	$11	0xfb8df5…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	49	$5.98K	1,510	06-09 18:47
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	37	$3.71K	1,369	06-10 04:03
Crooked-Noir 0x4ee2…46e1	36	$51.2K	2,475	06-09 16:09
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	33	$3.99K	1,885	04-01 00:22
Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965	32	$198.4K	1,750	06-10 04:47
Conscious-Alley 0x83ce…835c	32	$29.0K	1,023	06-09 19:33
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	29	$112.1K	590	06-09 19:31
(anonymous) 0x90bb…531f	29	$972	1,235	06-09 19:35