Understated-Logic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12.5K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.5%

Resolved

911

Trades

8,091

lifetime

Volume

$179.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 10-27 06:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 78 days

Categories

Other

100% 71% +$12,546

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will nvda dip to 152 in march	44	$5.0K	3,521	2,485	+1,036	No	+$299	03-24 15:01
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	20	$2.5K	1,333	1,552	-220	No	+$38	05-23 19:50
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in September?	88	$2.4K	4,157	3,940	+216	No	+$228	09-28 00:44
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June?	19	$2.0K	1,231	1,231	+0	No	-$46	06-01 15:09
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	13	$2.0K	1,621	980	+642	No	-$82	05-29 19:51
meta above 700 on february 27 2026	14	$2.0K	974	1,234	-260	No	+$88	02-25 14:59
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 end of April?	47	$1.9K	2,016	2,365	-349	No	+$473	04-20 13:34
will meta dip to 600 in february	29	$1.9K	990	1,323	-333	No	-$3	02-21 05:02
will googl dip to 285 in february	16	$1.8K	989	1,106	-117	No	+$73	02-21 08:42
Will Tesla dip to $285 in April?	42	$1.8K	1,291	1,093	+198	No	+$175	04-23 12:10
Will Tesla dip to $375 in April?	11	$1.7K	1,050	861	+189	Yes	+$83	03-30 14:25
Will Amazon reach $260 in April?	29	$1.6K	2,778	2,520	+258	Yes	+$441	04-18 00:18
aapl above 230 on march 31 2026	34	$1.6K	1,030	909	+120	Yes	+$135	03-27 23:26
will nvda dip to 156 in february	30	$1.5K	1,076	1,051	+25	No	+$66	02-15 05:58
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in September?	28	$1.5K	881	880	+0	No	+$2	09-25 04:43
will tsla dip to 300 in march	24	$1.5K	698	990	-292	No	+$24	03-15 08:06
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 end of April?	29	$1.4K	1,839	1,752	+88	Yes	+$312	04-18 09:44
msft above 390 on february 27 2026	35	$1.4K	1,543	1,093	+450	Yes	-$42	02-27 20:58
will aapl dip to 248 in february	31	$1.4K	877	1,027	-150	No	-$45	02-20 16:39
aapl above 250 on february 27 2026	23	$1.3K	821	948	-127	Yes	+$51	02-23 14:32
will amzn dip to 180 in march	15	$1.3K	695	805	-110	No	+$25	03-28 02:03
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	20	$1.3K	1,285	1,285	+0	No	-$16	05-29 13:33
tsla above 360 on february 27 2026	20	$1.3K	738	737	+0	Yes	+$37	02-09 18:38
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of April?	25	$1.2K	628	873	-245	Yes	+$48	04-24 14:12
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	20	$1.2K	800	618	+182	No	+$78	05-21 14:06
will ewy dip to 174 in june 2026	32	$1.2K	1,977	1,447	+530	No	+$143	06-27 03:04
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $3.00 end of April?	8	$1.2K	875	440	+435	Yes	+$80	04-13 08:00
tsla above 410 on march 31 2026	37	$1.2K	970	824	+146	No	+$70	03-28 09:47
aapl above 240 on march 31 2026	30	$1.2K	1,051	829	+223	Yes	+$133	03-22 23:29
Will Microsoft dip to $353 in April?	39	$1.1K	1,249	957	+292	No	+$76	04-25 19:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 07:18:06	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $405 in October?	Yes	SELL	150	0¢	$0	0x858896…
10-27 06:25:41	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in October?	Yes	BUY	32	1¢	$0	0x09b597…
10-27 05:26:20	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $405 in October?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xa738f5…
10-27 01:14:50	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in October?	Yes	SELL	115	10¢	$12	0xb58a9d…
10-26 21:01:03	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $60 in October?	Yes	SELL	14	18¢	$3	0x56dd1b…
10-26 14:58:32	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $90 in October?	Yes	SELL	140	0¢	$1	0x1b37f8…
10-26 13:40:00	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in October?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x72d208…
10-26 03:23:12	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $55 in October?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0xd149ed…
10-26 03:16:47	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $136 in October?	Yes	SELL	102	0¢	$0	0xf69318…
10-26 03:14:18	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $136 in October?	Yes	SELL	224	0¢	$0	0x769cfa…
10-26 00:49:41	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $132 in October?	Yes	SELL	57	0¢	$0	0x09455c…
10-26 00:49:36	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $132 in October?	Yes	SELL	219	0¢	$0	0x1b3d90…
10-25 19:46:14	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $55 in October?	Yes	SELL	53	1¢	$1	0xc9b0db…
10-25 19:36:12	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $90 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x74982c…
10-25 19:28:44	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $136 in October?	Yes	SELL	150	0¢	$0	0x7e92d3…
10-25 15:42:05	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in October?	Yes	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0x418f05…
10-24 18:08:45	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in October?	Yes	BUY	42	4¢	$2	0xc91619…
10-24 08:25:38	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in October?	Yes	SELL	104	10¢	$10	0x2bb95b…
10-23 21:03:56	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $194 in October?	Yes	SELL	43	2¢	$1	0x53ddf3…
10-23 21:02:09	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $194 in October?	Yes	SELL	43	2¢	$1	0x702689…
10-23 19:47:36	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in October?	Yes	SELL	9	28¢	$3	0x6c1fbd…
10-23 19:23:45	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $70 end of October?	Yes	BUY	800	9¢	$72	0xcea10e…
10-23 19:23:33	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in October?	Yes	SELL	298	6¢	$19	0xa3bc75…
10-23 19:23:29	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in October?	Yes	SELL	298	6¢	$19	0x0dfb17…
10-23 17:34:44	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $70 end of October?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xa156f6…
10-23 17:34:44	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $70 end of October?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x0d381a…
10-23 12:19:23	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in October?	Yes	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x4212b8…
10-23 11:01:03	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $194 in October?	Yes	SELL	98	1¢	$1	0x42e9f7…
10-23 10:57:50	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $194 in October?	Yes	SELL	244	2¢	$6	0xba579f…
10-23 08:05:23	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 in October?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x8f903d…
10-23 04:13:08	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $132 in October?	Yes	SELL	150	0¢	$0	0x9ab624…
10-22 20:03:02	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $280 in October?	Yes	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0xfb4f2d…
10-22 18:29:08	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $200 in October?	Yes	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x2e06ea…
10-22 18:27:39	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in October?	Yes	SELL	398	6¢	$23	0x91f45a…
10-22 16:54:05	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 in October?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xb70098…
10-22 16:43:56	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $315 in October?	Yes	SELL	21	12¢	$3	0x1048ee…
10-22 14:37:15	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of October?	No	SELL	45	12¢	$6	0x70e3cb…
10-22 13:40:20	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 in October?	Yes	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0xa86c06…
10-22 07:07:15	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in October?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x0dc976…
10-22 06:29:01	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $90 in October?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x4e36a3…
10-22 03:51:38	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x947539…
10-22 00:18:32	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $315 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x4528d2…
10-21 19:04:02	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $200 in October?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x76ae29…
10-21 16:04:29	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $194 in October?	Yes	BUY	600	3¢	$18	0x830545…
10-21 15:48:41	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $60 in October?	Yes	BUY	374	16¢	$60	0x71cc98…
10-21 15:47:50	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $60 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x6cae5c…
10-21 15:47:47	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $60 in October?	Yes	BUY	394	17¢	$67	0xef0010…
10-21 15:45:32	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $60 in October?	Yes	BUY	394	18¢	$71	0x6b9077…
10-21 15:45:21	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $60 in October?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xe77d09…
10-21 15:14:51	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $60 end of October?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x7b5c45…
10-21 15:14:51	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $60 end of October?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x3f2716…
10-21 14:42:15	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $60 in October?	Yes	BUY	800	19¢	$152	0xb9eb06…
10-21 14:41:23	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $60 in October?	Yes	BUY	800	19¢	$152	0x9e08cd…
10-21 14:40:54	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $60 end of October?	No	BUY	800	12¢	$96	0x58908f…
10-21 14:40:51	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $60 end of October?	No	BUY	800	12¢	$96	0xc20083…
10-21 14:40:47	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $60 end of October?	No	BUY	800	12¢	$96	0xd62358…
10-21 14:40:02	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $60 in October?	Yes	BUY	400	21¢	$84	0x14d8bc…
10-21 14:39:53	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $60 in October?	Yes	BUY	68	20¢	$14	0xf954df…
10-21 14:39:44	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $60 in October?	Yes	BUY	400	20¢	$80	0x069563…
10-21 13:41:44	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $132 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x870bd1…
10-20 20:53:03	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $50 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x3e5877…
10-20 20:52:48	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $50 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xef48bf…
10-20 20:52:41	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $50 in October?	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0x1f1eef…
10-20 19:55:09	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $224 in October?	Yes	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0xdcc0be…
10-20 13:49:26	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x4e6c0f…
10-20 13:40:30	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $132 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x05a1d1…
10-20 13:39:50	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $136 in October?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x4b0e0e…
10-20 13:35:48	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $465 in October?	Yes	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x9ffa11…
10-20 12:04:51	Will Micron (MU) close above $980 end of October?	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x03e1c6…
10-19 23:52:53	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x46f15b…
10-19 18:39:51	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $465 in October?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x634263…
10-19 18:34:59	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $465 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x762df0…
10-19 14:17:18	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?	No	SELL	23	78¢	$18	0x459153…
10-19 14:16:38	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x307dc9…
10-19 14:16:36	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?	No	SELL	24	77¢	$19	0x011d8e…
10-19 13:36:23	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $208 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xb331fa…
10-19 13:33:21	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?	No	SELL	50	78¢	$39	0x6f2af0…
10-19 13:33:14	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x616565…
10-19 13:33:12	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa0c238…
10-19 13:30:33	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $380 in October?	No	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0x4fc198…
10-19 11:30:33	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $216 in October?	Yes	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0xbc7389…
10-19 08:46:30	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x412537…
10-19 08:46:27	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xd76300…
10-19 08:46:27	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xa16c9b…
10-19 08:46:27	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in October?	Yes	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0x9e1038…
10-19 07:27:03	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in October?	Yes	BUY	87	1¢	$1	0x301272…
10-19 05:17:21	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $216 in October?	Yes	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0x3f6765…
10-19 03:51:05	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xe3ff56…
10-19 02:48:03	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xead503…
10-19 02:48:02	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in October?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0xc594f3…
10-18 23:14:38	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x8acaa2…
10-18 22:02:39	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $132 in October?	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xceb225…
10-18 22:02:39	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $136 in October?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0xb83770…
10-18 22:02:39	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 in October?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x75c97e…
10-18 19:10:08	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in October?	Yes	BUY	229	6¢	$14	0x018423…
10-18 19:10:03	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xc75daf…
10-18 19:09:59	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in October?	Yes	BUY	400	6¢	$25	0x024594…
10-18 17:12:39	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in October?	Yes	BUY	103	6¢	$6	0x67ea5b…
10-18 17:11:57	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x482e15…
10-18 17:11:48	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in October?	Yes	BUY	400	8¢	$32	0x4ca18b…