Understated-Logic — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$519

Unrealized P&L

+$267

Hit rate

57.5%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

270

8,419 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$4.56K

$183.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

$818

17 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 11-06 09:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 82 days

Categories

Other

100% 70% +$12,030

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 102 trades/day

Open positions (17) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Micron (MU) close above $800 end of November?	No	—	+500	$388	73¢	$363	-$25	11-06 08:52
Will Micron (MU) close above $780 end of November?	No	—	+320	$233	67¢	$215	-$19	11-06 08:22
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of November?	No		+797	$155	18¢	$147	-$7	11-06 10:46
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $216 in November?	Yes		+436	$66	12¢	$52	-$13	11-05 14:30
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $65 in November?	Yes		+25	-$34	36¢	$9	+$43	11-05 18:08
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $40 in November?	Yes		+12	-$3	50¢	$6	+$9	11-05 15:14
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in November?	Yes		+8	-$28	65¢	$5	+$34	11-05 16:13
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $60 in November?	Yes		+23	-$3	18¢	$4	+$7	11-06 06:42
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $500 in November?	Yes		+37	$1	11¢	$4	+$3	11-06 06:16
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $315 in November?	Yes		+8	-$4	46¢	$3	+$7	11-05 14:43
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $350 end of November?	No		+7	-$22	48¢	$3	+$25	11-05 15:01
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $360 end of November?	No		+5	-$26	57¢	$3	+$29	11-05 14:54
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 in November?	Yes		+20	-$1	11¢	$2	+$3	11-05 09:26
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $80 in November?	Yes		+20	$2	5¢	$1	-$1	11-05 12:52
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in November?	Yes		+1	-$57	30¢	$0	+$57	11-05 14:55
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in November?	Yes		+0	-$84	45¢	$0	+$84	11-05 18:01
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $150 end of November?	No		+0	-$30	10¢	$0	+$30	11-05 15:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will nvda dip to 152 in march	44	$5.0K	3,521	2,485	+1,036	No	+$299	03-24 15:01
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	20	$2.5K	1,333	1,552	-220	No	+$38	05-23 19:50
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in September?	88	$2.4K	4,157	3,940	+216	No	+$228	09-28 00:44
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June?	19	$2.0K	1,231	1,231	+0	No	-$46	06-01 15:09
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	13	$2.0K	1,621	980	+642	No	-$82	05-29 19:51
meta above 700 on february 27 2026	14	$2.0K	974	1,234	-260	No	+$88	02-25 14:59
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 end of April?	47	$1.9K	2,016	2,365	-349	No	+$473	04-20 13:34
will meta dip to 600 in february	29	$1.9K	990	1,323	-333	No	-$3	02-21 05:02
will googl dip to 285 in february	16	$1.8K	989	1,106	-117	No	+$73	02-21 08:42
Will Tesla dip to $285 in April?	42	$1.8K	1,291	1,093	+198	No	+$175	04-23 12:10
Will Tesla dip to $375 in April?	11	$1.7K	1,050	861	+189	Yes	+$83	03-30 14:25
Will Amazon reach $260 in April?	29	$1.6K	2,778	2,520	+258	Yes	+$441	04-18 00:18
aapl above 230 on march 31 2026	34	$1.6K	1,030	909	+120	Yes	+$135	03-27 23:26
will nvda dip to 156 in february	30	$1.5K	1,076	1,051	+25	No	+$66	02-15 05:58
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in September?	28	$1.5K	881	880	+0	No	+$2	09-25 04:43
will tsla dip to 300 in march	24	$1.5K	698	990	-292	No	+$24	03-15 08:06
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 end of April?	29	$1.4K	1,839	1,752	+88	Yes	+$312	04-18 09:44
msft above 390 on february 27 2026	35	$1.4K	1,543	1,093	+450	Yes	-$42	02-27 20:58
will aapl dip to 248 in february	31	$1.4K	877	1,027	-150	No	-$45	02-20 16:39
aapl above 250 on february 27 2026	23	$1.3K	821	948	-127	Yes	+$51	02-23 14:32
will amzn dip to 180 in march	15	$1.3K	695	805	-110	No	+$25	03-28 02:03
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	20	$1.3K	1,285	1,285	+0	No	-$16	05-29 13:33
tsla above 360 on february 27 2026	20	$1.3K	738	737	+0	Yes	+$37	02-09 18:38
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of April?	25	$1.2K	628	873	-245	Yes	+$48	04-24 14:12
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	20	$1.2K	800	618	+182	No	+$78	05-21 14:06
will ewy dip to 174 in june 2026	32	$1.2K	1,977	1,447	+530	No	+$143	06-27 03:04
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $3.00 end of April?	8	$1.2K	875	440	+435	Yes	+$80	04-13 08:00
tsla above 410 on march 31 2026	37	$1.2K	970	824	+146	No	+$70	03-28 09:47
aapl above 240 on march 31 2026	30	$1.2K	1,051	829	+223	Yes	+$133	03-22 23:29
Will Microsoft dip to $353 in April?	39	$1.1K	1,249	957	+292	No	+$76	04-25 19:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 10:46:21	Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of November?	No	BUY	110	18¢	$20	0x019a40…
11-06 10:17:07	Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of November?	No	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0xa05727…
11-06 10:05:30	Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of November?	No	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0xa7aa9e…
11-06 09:37:51	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $600 in November?	Yes	SELL	29	10¢	$3	0xa26a98…
11-06 09:36:24	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $600 in November?	Yes	SELL	125	9¢	$12	0x224c5f…
11-06 09:31:30	Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $178 end of November?	No	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0x997748…
11-06 09:06:51	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $60 in November?	Yes	SELL	21	41¢	$9	0x211fc3…
11-06 08:52:16	Will Micron (MU) close above $800 end of November?	No	BUY	250	77¢	$192	0x840f2e…
11-06 08:25:45	Will Micron (MU) close above $800 end of November?	No	BUY	250	78¢	$195	0xd69afb…
11-06 08:22:15	Will Micron (MU) close above $780 end of November?	No	BUY	70	72¢	$51	0x602443…
11-06 08:22:04	Will Micron (MU) close above $780 end of November?	No	BUY	135	73¢	$99	0x160a9e…
11-06 08:06:13	Will Micron (MU) close above $780 end of November?	No	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0xc8c12f…
11-06 08:06:13	Will Micron (MU) close above $780 end of November?	No	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0xa37bdb…
11-06 06:42:54	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $60 in November?	Yes	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0xff6e54…
11-06 06:16:03	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $500 in November?	Yes	SELL	37	11¢	$4	0x8f7021…
11-06 05:39:16	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $60 in November?	Yes	SELL	125	36¢	$45	0x2608d2…
11-06 05:13:22	Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of November?	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xc048fb…
11-06 05:11:46	Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of November?	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x0a090b…
11-06 05:11:42	Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of November?	No	BUY	25	19¢	$5	0x1a8be2…
11-06 05:01:34	Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of November?	No	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0x43a0dc…
11-06 05:01:28	Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of November?	No	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0xba9e0f…
11-06 02:32:10	Will Meta (META) close above $500 end of November?	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xfd33ab…
11-06 02:11:25	Will Micron (MU) close above $860 end of November?	No	BUY	27	85¢	$23	0xc9bc11…
11-06 02:11:25	Will Micron (MU) close above $860 end of November?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xb708d9…
11-06 00:58:10	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $500 in November?	Yes	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0x1f1ede…
11-06 00:38:15	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $435 in November?	Yes	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0xf3afbe…
11-05 19:13:07	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in November?	Yes	SELL	9	84¢	$7	0xf6fa0f…
11-05 18:08:21	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $65 in November?	Yes	SELL	62	38¢	$24	0xda54a4…
11-05 18:08:16	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $65 in November?	Yes	SELL	62	37¢	$23	0xebe08f…
11-05 18:01:19	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in November?	Yes	SELL	7	48¢	$3	0xb1d000…
11-05 18:01:15	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in November?	Yes	SELL	7	48¢	$3	0x1e3885…
11-05 17:13:18	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in November?	Yes	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0x90aed8…
11-05 16:15:28	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in November?	Yes	SELL	52	35¢	$18	0xb896e2…
11-05 16:15:25	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in November?	Yes	SELL	25	37¢	$9	0xeb1b38…
11-05 16:14:46	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in November?	Yes	SELL	62	38¢	$24	0xfc4300…
11-05 16:14:43	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in November?	Yes	SELL	62	38¢	$24	0x2fbf77…
11-05 16:13:24	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in November?	Yes	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0x065823…
11-05 15:53:09	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in November?	Yes	SELL	16	61¢	$10	0xc3a142…
11-05 15:51:27	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $150 end of November?	No	SELL	14	12¢	$2	0x41467e…
11-05 15:51:25	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $60 in November?	Yes	SELL	8	19¢	$2	0xd48f38…
11-05 15:51:24	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $150 end of November?	No	SELL	14	12¢	$2	0xd1ad71…
11-05 15:50:57	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $60 in November?	Yes	SELL	21	19¢	$4	0x60a8e5…
11-05 15:50:57	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $60 in November?	Yes	SELL	37	18¢	$7	0x49bb32…
11-05 15:46:40	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $150 end of November?	No	SELL	27	11¢	$3	0x384b0b…
11-05 15:46:16	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in November?	Yes	SELL	115	35¢	$40	0xb9ba4f…
11-05 15:46:13	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in November?	Yes	SELL	115	35¢	$40	0x7e488d…
11-05 15:27:57	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $70 in November?	Yes	SELL	19	40¢	$7	0x8b220a…
11-05 15:27:55	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $70 in November?	Yes	SELL	19	40¢	$7	0x2743a4…
11-05 15:27:21	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in November?	Yes	SELL	58	24¢	$14	0x3a9c9e…
11-05 15:27:18	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in November?	Yes	SELL	58	24¢	$14	0x2a032c…
11-05 15:26:49	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $70 in November?	Yes	SELL	37	42¢	$16	0x66ffd4…
11-05 15:25:55	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $70 in November?	Yes	SELL	62	42¢	$26	0x05a5cd…
11-05 15:25:45	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in November?	Yes	SELL	62	22¢	$14	0x3975c9…
11-05 15:25:40	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in November?	Yes	SELL	62	22¢	$14	0xe0b03c…
11-05 15:25:39	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $150 end of November?	No	SELL	54	11¢	$6	0x6f5fd7…
11-05 15:23:36	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $150 end of November?	No	SELL	62	10¢	$6	0xab5cd8…
11-05 15:23:34	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $150 end of November?	No	SELL	62	10¢	$6	0x7d52c6…
11-05 15:21:22	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in November?	Yes	SELL	80	20¢	$16	0x3e19d7…
11-05 15:18:40	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in November?	Yes	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xf24d62…
11-05 15:18:30	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in November?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x3b06f9…
11-05 15:14:48	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $40 in November?	Yes	SELL	12	54¢	$7	0xeba4c8…
11-05 15:13:37	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $150 end of November?	No	SELL	78	9¢	$7	0xcd82ba…
11-05 15:12:27	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in November?	Yes	SELL	5	88¢	$5	0x868c99…
11-05 15:07:19	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $600 in November?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x1b1664…
11-05 15:07:18	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $600 in November?	Yes	SELL	62	16¢	$10	0x1dc6ea…
11-05 15:06:24	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in November?	Yes	SELL	30	31¢	$9	0xacc637…
11-05 15:06:19	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $150 end of November?	No	SELL	104	8¢	$8	0x3c08ff…
11-05 15:05:57	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in November?	Yes	SELL	62	45¢	$28	0x3de7c1…
11-05 15:05:54	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in November?	Yes	SELL	62	45¢	$28	0xb5c24d…
11-05 15:05:34	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in November?	Yes	SELL	160	15¢	$24	0xd23498…
11-05 15:05:31	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in November?	Yes	SELL	160	15¢	$24	0x6cf58f…
11-05 15:04:09	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in November?	Yes	SELL	134	43¢	$57	0xf450de…
11-05 15:04:07	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in November?	Yes	SELL	134	43¢	$58	0x6423d1…
11-05 15:04:03	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in November?	Yes	SELL	134	43¢	$57	0xbaed4e…
11-05 15:01:33	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $350 end of November?	No	SELL	7	50¢	$3	0x7b3628…
11-05 14:57:39	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $350 end of November?	No	SELL	14	50¢	$7	0xdfbf9b…
11-05 14:55:49	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $350 end of November?	No	SELL	28	51¢	$14	0x6983c3…
11-05 14:55:10	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in November?	Yes	SELL	62	20¢	$12	0x5f1ea5…
11-05 14:55:04	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in November?	Yes	SELL	62	20¢	$12	0xbc742c…
11-05 14:55:00	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in November?	Yes	SELL	62	20¢	$12	0x9bf47a…
11-05 14:54:57	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of November?	No	SELL	62	12¢	$8	0xdd488f…
11-05 14:54:54	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of November?	No	SELL	62	12¢	$8	0x378523…
11-05 14:54:22	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $360 end of November?	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x4df66a…
11-05 14:52:27	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $360 end of November?	No	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x284622…
11-05 14:51:52	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $65 in November?	Yes	SELL	75	20¢	$15	0x392950…
11-05 14:51:48	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $65 in November?	Yes	SELL	75	19¢	$14	0x1f3ecd…
11-05 14:51:43	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $70 in November?	Yes	SELL	62	41¢	$26	0x069a8e…
11-05 14:51:18	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $70 in November?	Yes	SELL	67	42¢	$28	0x683f25…
11-05 14:48:58	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $70 in November?	Yes	SELL	89	43¢	$38	0x5f1c0f…
11-05 14:48:33	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of November?	No	SELL	62	11¢	$7	0xe52498…
11-05 14:48:27	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of November?	No	SELL	62	11¢	$7	0x20620e…
11-05 14:43:27	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $315 in November?	Yes	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0xb340ff…
11-05 14:42:18	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $315 in November?	Yes	SELL	15	28¢	$4	0xb3dcba…
11-05 14:41:37	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $360 end of November?	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x38bc29…
11-05 14:40:04	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $360 end of November?	No	SELL	40	46¢	$18	0x428daa…
11-05 14:39:04	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in November?	Yes	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0x456211…
11-05 14:39:01	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in November?	Yes	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0x32b7e5…
11-05 14:38:58	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in November?	Yes	SELL	94	15¢	$14	0x14705b…
11-05 14:38:57	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in November?	Yes	SELL	94	15¢	$14	0xaa1c2d…
11-05 14:37:37	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $435 in November?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x7adda2…