Prudent-Monument — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$200

Unrealized P&L

+$35

Hit rate

80.7%

Resolved

160

Trades

287

lifetime

Volume

$3.80K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$31

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 06-26 19:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 70% -$75

Politics

11% 18% +$5

Other

9% 25% -$138

Sports

3% 100% +$8

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-26).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No		-200	-$62	14¢	$-29	+$33	05-20 18:01
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	Yes		-86	-$5	3¢	$-2	+$2	05-20 16:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 21:10 UTC	2	$211	112	112	+0	Up	+$11	03-12 21:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 07:10 UTC	2	$211	112	112	+0	Down	+$11	03-13 07:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 21:15 UTC	2	$204	105	105	+0	Down	+$4	03-12 21:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 08:40 UTC	2	$204	104	104	+0	Down	+$4	03-13 08:45
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$132	82	82	+0	Yes	+$32	04-05 17:01
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$128	4,000	4,000	+0	No	+$8	06-13 05:05
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	2	$120	123	123	+0	Yes	+$40	05-17 13:27
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$118	193	0	+193	Yes	+$75	01-31 14:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 20:50 UTC	2	$107	58	58	+0	Down	+$8	03-10 20:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 08:50 UTC	2	$107	58	58	+0	Down	+$8	03-13 08:55
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	1	$88	1,559	0	+1,559	No	-$88	05-20 16:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 21:35 UTC	5	$77	52	38	+14	Up	-$3	03-16 21:41
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	2	$73	1,235	1,235	+0	No	-$47	06-26 19:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 18:30 UTC	2	$68	40	40	+0	Up	+$11	03-13 18:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 10:10 UTC	2	$63	33	33	+0	Up	+$3	03-13 10:15
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	1	$62	0	200	-200	open	—	05-20 18:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 18:25 UTC	2	$61	43	42	+1	Down	+$22	03-17 18:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 10:35 UTC	2	$60	30	30	+0	Up	+$0	03-13 10:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 21:40 UTC	1	$50	51	0	+51	Down	+$1	03-16 21:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 22:20 UTC	2	$42	22	22	+0	Down	+$2	03-16 22:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 20:05 UTC	2	$41	22	21	+0	Up	+$1	03-13 20:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 18:55 UTC	2	$41	22	21	+0	Down	+$1	03-13 19:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 20:10 UTC	2	$41	21	21	+0	Up	+$1	03-13 20:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 15:20 UTC	2	$40	20	20	+0	Down	+$0	03-13 15:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 21:10 UTC	3	$31	17	17	+0	Up	+$1	03-16 21:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 20:50 UTC	1	$30	76	0	+76	Down	-$30	03-13 20:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 18:50 UTC	1	$30	33	0	+33	Up	+$3	03-17 18:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 18:40 UTC	1	$29	32	0	+32	Down	-$29	03-13 18:44
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	1	$27	43	0	+43	No	-$27	05-16 20:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 16:15 UTC	3	$25	94	11	+83	Down	-$5	03-13 16:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 19:19:13	Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	283	5¢	$13	0xfdf888…
06-26 19:18:08	Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	123	5¢	$6	0x95b76a…
06-26 19:17:34	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,235	1¢	$13	0xc149d3…
06-19 20:09:40	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,235	5¢	$60	0xeeccfc…
06-13 05:05:33	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	4,000	2¢	$68	0xc709e1…
05-20 18:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa6fc7f…
05-20 18:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x11f131…
05-20 18:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0x18156e…
05-20 18:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x509ef0…
05-20 18:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$2	0x0fb6c0…
05-20 18:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xfa7196…
05-20 18:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x376593…
05-20 18:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x204f54…
05-20 18:02:51	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4,000	2¢	$60	0x1df092…
05-20 18:01:49	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	200	31¢	$62	0xc9627b…
05-20 17:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x9e0787…
05-20 17:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x3a6eae…
05-20 17:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0x9ae047…
05-20 17:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x928831…
05-20 16:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0xf079a0…
05-20 16:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb79c22…
05-20 16:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x45500a…
05-20 16:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe750d2…
05-20 16:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	4	39¢	$1	0x30fc02…
05-20 16:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x4aafd0…
05-20 16:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9f6c13…
05-20 16:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3b6da0…
05-20 16:39:12	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,559	6¢	$88	0xdd0239…
05-20 16:38:44	Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	Yes	SELL	86	5¢	$5	0x586cef…
05-17 13:27:28	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	123	65¢	$80	0xb756fe…
05-17 13:27:03	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	10¢	$11	0x56506c…
05-16 20:40:18	Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	62¢	$27	0xf9dbd2…
05-16 19:41:36	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	8¢	$5	0x5b9459…
05-16 19:40:24	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0x0dc34d…
05-16 19:39:24	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0xf2911e…
05-16 19:35:11	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	123	33¢	$40	0x079067…
04-05 17:01:31	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0xb071a0…
03-20 20:36:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xbfa23e…
03-20 20:35:57	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x359572…
03-17 21:54:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xce47f8…
03-17 21:43:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x4e9b7a…
03-17 21:36:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xf9b8a1…
03-17 21:33:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0xc1bd1f…
03-17 21:32:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x0f6af4…
03-17 21:28:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 21:25 UTC	Down	SELL	8	81¢	$7	0x68bb94…
03-17 21:25:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x78faa1…
03-17 21:25:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 21:20 UTC	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x68095e…
03-17 21:25:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x78112d…
03-17 21:05:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x0a9edb…
03-17 20:57:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x615cd2…
03-17 20:49:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x0874a7…
03-17 20:44:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xd7c077…
03-17 20:40:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 20:35 UTC	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x530cbe…
03-17 20:39:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x78d290…
03-17 18:54:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 18:50 UTC	Up	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x1df897…
03-17 18:43:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xf9e654…
03-17 18:42:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xa4f34c…
03-17 18:33:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x267850…
03-17 18:31:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 18:25 UTC	Down	SELL	42	99¢	$41	0xa27893…
03-17 18:29:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 18:25 UTC	Down	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x31b3d6…
03-17 18:19:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x1d1cb6…
03-16 22:33:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x72bb51…
03-16 22:32:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xbda320…
03-16 22:30:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 22:25 UTC	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x81858c…
03-16 22:26:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x91896b…
03-16 22:24:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 22:20 UTC	Down	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x371f91…
03-16 22:22:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xa70baa…
03-16 21:55:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 21:50 UTC	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x9549d3…
03-16 21:54:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x09ff6d…
03-16 21:52:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x4e0d61…
03-16 21:50:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 21:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3f01f3…
03-16 21:48:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x507cb7…
03-16 21:44:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x84db78…
03-16 21:41:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 21:35 UTC	Up	SELL	38	99¢	$37	0x69b944…
03-16 21:39:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xbf1c49…
03-16 21:39:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x5cfdd0…
03-16 21:37:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x133d41…
03-16 21:37:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x1f7f78…
03-16 21:35:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x391175…
03-16 21:33:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3ba55b…
03-16 21:31:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x7da975…
03-16 21:24:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x694068…
03-16 21:23:05	will iran strike israel on march 10	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa1f3cc…
03-16 21:20:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 21:15 UTC	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf83fc6…
03-16 21:18:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x2e1b44…
03-16 21:15:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 21:10 UTC	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0x7f2c95…
03-16 21:14:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x46c925…
03-16 21:12:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x84e07b…
03-16 21:10:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 21:05 UTC	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xb440d7…
03-16 21:07:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x8b3ceb…
03-16 21:06:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x30a4b3…
03-15 21:28:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 21:25 UTC	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x08204c…
03-15 21:26:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x1378eb…
03-15 21:25:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 21:20 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x961dd5…
03-15 21:24:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf1c05e…
03-15 19:50:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 19:45 UTC	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x27f280…
03-15 19:49:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x35666b…
03-14 20:35:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 20:30 UTC	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x46a0a5…
03-14 20:33:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xc0b14f…
03-14 20:30:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 20:25 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x026d5d…