Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$124

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

57.8%

Resolved

397

Trades

808

lifetime

Volume

$10.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$373

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-28 23:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 74 days

Categories

Other

34% 38% -$187

Sports

26% 46% -$81

Politics

18% 38% +$366

Crypto

18% 49% -$187

Pop-Culture

3% 22% -$35

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	-200	-$187	97¢	$-194	-$7	09-14 02:35
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	-178	-$178	100¢	$-178	$0	10-28 23:52
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	-40	-$2	2¢	$-1	+$1	09-14 02:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025 845	1	$498	0	500	-500	Yes	-$1	01-04 05:20
will trump say n word in march	7	$244	266	0	+266	No	+$22	03-13 21:20
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$207	140	150	-10	Yes	+$82	02-01 14:00
Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?	3	$188	200	100	+100	No	-$26	01-10 03:17
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	1	$187	0	200	-200	open	—	09-14 02:35
nfl la sea 2026 01 25	2	$179	300	0	+300	Seahawks	+$121	01-26 02:21
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	1	$178	0	178	-178	open	—	10-28 23:52
nfl buf jax 2026 01 11	12	$177	180	90	+90	Bills	+$3	01-11 21:40
will one battle after another win exactly 5 awards at the oscars	5	$168	100	100	+0	No	+$26	03-16 02:28
us government funding lapse on january 31	3	$162	120	120	+0	Yes	-$11	01-09 05:14
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?	2	$136	100	100	+0	No	-$10	01-10 02:08
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?	3	$134	200	0	+200	Yes	+$66	02-21 02:19
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$125	100	100	+0	No	+$49	03-24 11:24
will new england face los angeles r in super bowl lx	9	$121	398	0	+398	No	-$121	01-26 02:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 21:05 UTC	6	$116	150	0	+150	Up	+$4	02-15 21:09
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	2	$113	200	0	+200	No	+$87	01-04 05:23
nfl buf den 2026 01 17	10	$113	290	0	+290	Broncos	+$7	01-18 01:11
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?	4	$107	220	220	+0	No	+$12	03-14 01:35
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08 spread away 5pt5	2	$106	200	0	+200	Seahawks	-$106	02-08 19:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 21:10 UTC	4	$105	150	0	+150	Up	+$15	02-15 21:13
nfl lac ne 2026 01 11	3	$104	150	50	+100	Patriots	+$10	01-12 03:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 04:50 UTC	2	$101	200	0	+200	Up	-$1	02-16 04:53
nfl car tb 2026 01 04 spread home 3pt5	2	$100	70	70	+0	Panthers	+$20	01-04 00:14
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	1	$100	200	0	+200	No	-$100	02-01 14:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 04:45 UTC	4	$98	110	0	+110	Up	+$2	02-16 04:49
nfl buf jax 2026 01 11 total 47pt5	3	$98	164	0	+164	Over	+$66	01-11 18:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 04:30 UTC	6	$96	200	0	+200	Down	+$4	02-16 04:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 05:10 UTC	4	$96	180	0	+180	Down	+$4	02-16 05:14
will one battle after another win exactly 6 awards at the oscars	3	$95	100	30	+70	Yes	-$39	03-16 01:47
another us strike on venezuela on january 4	2	$92	100	0	+100	No	+$8	01-03 17:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 23:52:26	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	178	100¢	$178	0xcb871f…
09-14 02:37:58	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0x4eef5e…
09-14 02:35:15	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	93¢	$187	0x9c9882…
04-15 03:30:44	tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 0pt39	No	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0xdb265d…
03-27 17:04:01	will trump say womens sports during national agriculture day events	No	BUY	52	57¢	$30	0xbfeafb…
03-27 16:59:37	will trump say mit or massachusetts institute of technology during national agriculture day events	No	BUY	52	51¢	$27	0x3343ac…
03-27 13:57:35	will there be at least 1700 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 495 233 864 361	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7d0592…
03-25 21:19:57	will there be at least 1650 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 696 531 583 497	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x80e1ab…
03-25 18:28:15	will there be at least 1650 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 696 531 583 497	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xa1f450…
03-25 16:12:53	will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 795 942	Yes	BUY	51	46¢	$23	0x69001c…
03-24 23:25:37	will there be at least 1625 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 966 695	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x08a37f…
03-24 17:48:37	Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x35775c…
03-24 17:48:21	Trump cabinet member out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4deae7…
03-24 11:24:49	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0xdac7e7…
03-24 03:04:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x38c6fa…
03-24 03:02:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x5463b9…
03-24 03:02:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x05ab0d…
03-24 02:50:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x910874…
03-24 02:46:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x0a9354…
03-24 02:35:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0xe55f09…
03-24 02:35:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0x567b97…
03-24 02:32:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x60c68c…
03-24 02:26:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xa4b020…
03-24 02:26:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x214964…
03-24 02:09:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xa0d551…
03-24 01:31:31	Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xce6d8e…
03-23 04:33:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0x61db0a…
03-23 04:33:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x2b52bc…
03-23 04:15:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x551728…
03-23 04:10:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 04:00 UTC	Down	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x65b9db…
03-23 04:10:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x027c5b…
03-23 03:49:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x05ed9b…
03-23 03:44:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0x9cb70a…
03-23 03:44:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x278789…
03-23 03:30:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xe7db34…
03-23 03:22:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x9b61d3…
03-23 03:21:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x392ce3…
03-23 03:13:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x1858d3…
03-23 03:12:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xf3f838…
03-23 03:02:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xb07c7b…
03-23 03:00:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xac653d…
03-23 02:46:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x6572b0…
03-23 02:46:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x41bfef…
03-23 02:45:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xa7d76f…
03-23 02:45:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x594b0f…
03-23 02:45:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x392842…
03-23 02:33:23	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	Yes	BUY	22	35¢	$8	0xc69e79…
03-23 02:33:23	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	Yes	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x4cd9fb…
03-23 02:13:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0xfab64f…
03-23 02:13:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x81fbe4…
03-23 02:07:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x48f126…
03-23 02:07:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x2cf76f…
03-20 18:49:11	cbb tenst iowast 2026 03 20 total 147pt5	Over	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x431e36…
03-20 00:52:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	35	33¢	$12	0xfe102e…
03-20 00:52:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x748e31…
03-20 00:31:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc6b84e…
03-20 00:31:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x7cc2ea…
03-20 00:31:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x762802…
03-20 00:31:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	19	43¢	$8	0x6a0c58…
03-20 00:31:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x179282…
03-20 00:31:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x746d06…
03-20 00:29:33	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	102	0¢	$0	0xe6013e…
03-20 00:29:29	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xd7f1c8…
03-20 00:29:27	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xa0a1ca…
03-20 00:29:27	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x4a3bd9…
03-20 00:29:25	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xa187d5…
03-20 00:29:25	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x9acdfd…
03-20 00:29:25	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x1d0a90…
03-20 00:29:19	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0x7d3260…
03-20 00:29:17	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x03d98d…
03-20 00:29:15	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x343197…
03-20 00:29:11	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x8d7d57…
03-20 00:29:11	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x74110a…
03-20 00:29:09	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x31f5e0…
03-20 00:28:51	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	65	0¢	$0	0xcda78c…
03-20 00:23:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0xf406e1…
03-20 00:23:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xfd6dbe…
03-20 00:23:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0xcd93df…
03-20 00:23:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xbc13cd…
03-20 00:23:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x35359a…
03-20 00:23:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0f44e5…
03-20 00:10:07	bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x67d2fd…
03-20 00:09:29	bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	90	33¢	$30	0x41e89f…
03-20 00:08:29	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 280 299	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$5	0x10e301…
03-20 00:06:57	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 280 299	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xfdf743…
03-20 00:02:57	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x9d23dc…
03-20 00:01:29	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 300 319	Yes	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x4769d4…
03-19 20:08:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x565587…
03-19 20:03:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xac5273…
03-19 20:00:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa8860e…
03-19 20:00:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0x7b9cdc…
03-19 20:00:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x32c583…
03-19 20:00:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x1a51c5…
03-19 19:55:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0xb68640…
03-19 19:55:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x46b746…
03-19 19:55:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x05ecdc…
03-19 19:49:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa9f387…
03-19 19:49:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x77720e…
03-19 19:49:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe36011…
03-19 19:47:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xfc62af…