Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$22

Unrealized P&L

-$75

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

25 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$1.09K

$12.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$485

Open exposure

$1.02K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-19

last 11-03 16:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

66% 86% +$146

Politics

17% 100% +$31

Crypto

17% 100% +$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No		+1,118	$1,091	91¢	$1.0K	-$75	11-03 16:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	2	$1.9K	1,060	1,060	+0	Yes	+$74	02-07 17:03
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	1	$1.1K	1,118	0	+1,118	open	—	11-03 16:38
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$1.1K	1,096	0	+1,096	No	+$22	08-15 15:33
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	2	$1.0K	1,075	0	+1,075	No	+$30	05-01 14:03
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	7	$1.0K	1,046	0	+1,046	Yes	+$12	04-16 04:58
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$1.0K	1,034	0	+1,034	Yes	+$1	04-08 19:17
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	3	$1.0K	1,033	0	+1,033	No	+$3	03-27 05:20
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$1.0K	1,030	0	+1,030	Yes	+$15	03-07 17:07
will bitcoin reach 105k in february 2026	1	$1.0K	1,015	0	+1,015	No	+$11	02-08 13:31
Over $40M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	1	$998	1,001	0	+1,001	No	+$3	02-07 17:09
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$874	900	0	+900	Yes	+$26	01-20 20:45
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	4	$48	800	800	+0	No	-$6	01-20 20:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 16:38:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,118	98¢	$1,091	0xf91a10…
08-15 15:33:39	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1,096	98¢	$1,074	0x17c040…
05-01 14:03:00	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	450	97¢	$438	0xb9ae94…
05-01 08:22:56	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	624	97¢	$607	0x366715…
04-16 04:58:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	97	99¢	$96	0x610989…
04-16 04:58:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	182	99¢	$180	0x21424b…
04-16 04:56:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x47f048…
04-16 04:56:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0xcedd83…
04-16 04:49:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	426	99¢	$422	0x8f8e6f…
04-16 04:46:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5a99ca…
04-16 04:46:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	138	99¢	$137	0x11bf6c…
04-08 19:17:51	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,034	100¢	$1,033	0xa5b3bc…
03-27 05:20:13	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	No	BUY	634	100¢	$632	0x0c3abb…
03-27 04:39:07	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb1164e…
03-27 01:45:09	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	No	BUY	397	100¢	$395	0xb9c24f…
03-07 17:07:59	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,030	98¢	$1,015	0xaabdaf…
02-08 13:31:13	will bitcoin reach 105k in february 2026	No	BUY	1,015	99¢	$1,004	0x0c918f…
02-07 17:09:05	Over $40M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	BUY	1,001	100¢	$998	0x71b859…
02-07 17:03:13	Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	SELL	1,060	92¢	$975	0x3cd04f…
02-06 20:29:53	Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	BUY	1,060	85¢	$901	0xaa8965…
01-20 20:45:04	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	900	97¢	$874	0xe62131…
01-20 20:06:36	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	746	3¢	$19	0x5f31a9…
01-20 20:03:50	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	38	3¢	$1	0xe0a5de…
01-20 20:03:46	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	16	3¢	$0	0x86e252…
01-19 21:36:10	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	800	3¢	$27	0x68698b…