Opulent-Donut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$51

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 05-22 08:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 100% +$0

Politics

27% — —

Other

22% 100% +$2

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	2	$220	110	110	+0	open	—	02-28 03:49
bitcoin above 94k on january 21	2	$200	100	100	+0	open	—	01-21 09:18
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$138	140	0	+140	open	—	04-04 15:31
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$138	140	0	+140	open	—	03-30 12:44
Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?	2	$128	128	0	+128	open	—	03-24 12:20
bitcoin above 104k on january 12	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	01-12 05:23
ethereum above 2400 on march 9	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	03-09 04:12
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$119	120	0	+120	open	—	03-16 15:18
us strikes iran by february 11 2026 664	1	$118	118	0	+118	open	—	02-12 02:55
will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$116	122	0	+122	open	—	03-12 08:53
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	1	$115	115	0	+115	open	—	02-02 04:07
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$115	115	0	+115	open	—	01-28 12:46
Espresso FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$115	115	0	+115	No	+$0	02-13 08:54
Immunefi FDV above $1.4B one day after launch?	1	$115	115	0	+115	open	—	01-23 06:26
bitcoin above 96k on january 21	1	$110	110	0	+110	open	—	01-21 09:19
tsm quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 15 2026 2pt92	1	$110	110	0	+110	open	—	01-15 07:59
ethereum above 3600 on january 19	1	$110	110	0	+110	open	—	01-19 04:54
Tria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	1	$110	110	0	+110	open	—	02-04 02:54
will the us next strike iran on february 20 2026 et	1	$110	110	0	+110	open	—	02-21 05:08
Fabric FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$108	108	0	+108	open	—	02-28 05:25
us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	1	$108	108	0	+108	open	—	01-31 04:19
ethereum above 3400 on january 9	1	$105	105	0	+105	open	—	01-09 15:41
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	1	$102	105	0	+105	open	—	03-04 05:21
lol gen ly 2026 03 19 game1	1	$100	106	0	+106	open	—	03-19 07:52
sun quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 17 2026 1pt62	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-17 12:07
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$9	11	0	+11	open	—	04-20 14:16
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	05-02 07:12
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	05-03 04:20
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-26 07:59
Infinex FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	01-31 04:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 08:29:47	LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2	JD Gaming	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xfd91ee…
05-18 07:33:57	LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	KT Rolster	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x311d92…
05-14 06:39:57	LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	KT Rolster	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x8586f5…
05-10 03:38:23	LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x6c691c…
05-03 04:20:36	LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x54e33a…
05-02 07:12:54	LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner	JD Gaming	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x1b703f…
04-26 07:59:10	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x9ec9cf…
04-20 14:16:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x869059…
04-04 15:31:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	140	98¢	$138	0x390a89…
03-30 12:44:50	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	140	98¢	$138	0xeeca4d…
03-24 12:20:21	Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x160ea2…
03-24 11:10:09	Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x613fc5…
03-19 07:52:13	lol gen ly 2026 03 19 game1	Gen.G	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xd09078…
03-16 15:18:27	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$119	0x8b193f…
03-16 13:50:19	lol blg fox1 2026 03 16	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x375740…
03-12 08:53:49	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	122	95¢	$116	0xd7b7bb…
03-09 04:12:13	ethereum above 2400 on march 9	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xc78d41…
03-04 05:21:31	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	105	97¢	$102	0x447858…
02-28 05:25:19	Fabric FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xa59247…
02-28 03:51:37	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3abaeb…
02-28 03:49:03	will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x4a3c9e…
02-25 09:14:08	will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x055d27…
02-21 05:08:22	will the us next strike iran on february 20 2026 et	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xed1a9c…
02-21 04:12:20	will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xefe3f2…
02-21 04:11:42	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6a0a5b…
02-17 12:08:27	will the united states win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8d431f…
02-17 12:08:03	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	46¢	$1	0x3de5ee…
02-17 12:07:25	sun quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 17 2026 1pt62	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x06c1a6…
02-13 08:55:13	Espresso FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd7a5fd…
02-13 08:54:45	Espresso FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x689b43…
02-12 02:56:01	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x56ab26…
02-12 02:55:37	us strikes iran by february 11 2026 664	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x14b0a5…
02-04 02:55:08	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x5aae49…
02-04 02:54:42	Tria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x625e43…
02-04 02:54:28	will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc510b1…
02-02 04:08:10	will ethereum reach 4000 in february 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xed136e…
02-02 04:07:56	will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x429a70…
02-02 04:07:38	us strikes iran by february 1 2026	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xe09379…
01-31 04:19:54	Infinex FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x47ca5e…
01-31 04:19:40	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x322c62…
01-31 04:19:22	us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x7920a3…
01-28 12:46:55	Over $3M committed to the Fabric public sale?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7e9b93…
01-28 12:46:35	Moonbirds FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x13a102…
01-28 12:46:07	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x743a5f…
01-28 07:43:05	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x7faa8d…
01-23 06:27:04	Sentient FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8c617c…
01-23 06:26:54	Immunefi FDV above $1.2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9e17a1…
01-23 06:26:28	Immunefi FDV above $1.4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x8e7158…
01-21 09:22:02	Seeker FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xae2dfb…
01-21 09:19:12	bitcoin above 96k on january 21	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xfa81d2…
01-21 09:18:44	bitcoin above 94k on january 21	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x57df29…
01-21 09:17:56	bitcoin above 94k on january 21	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xbb63e8…
01-19 04:55:56	will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe0385b…
01-19 04:55:40	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xc93656…
01-19 04:55:26	Will Trove launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1cbb7c…
01-19 04:54:52	ethereum above 3600 on january 19	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x178ce0…
01-15 08:00:22	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5a3e4f…
01-15 08:00:06	Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe3a647…
01-15 07:59:32	tsm quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 15 2026 2pt92	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x5807c2…
01-12 05:23:06	bitcoin above 104k on january 12	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x103901…
01-09 15:41:10	ethereum above 3400 on january 9	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x02ea0b…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	45	$30.2K	11,550	04-16 04:23
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	40	$5.63K	1,681	04-21 19:33
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	38	$313.2K	4,752	05-14 10:13
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	34	$1.32K	904	05-22 12:03
Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81	33	$1.24K	418	03-27 09:14
Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389	31	$53.4K	9,082	04-18 09:07
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	31	$4.73K	3,306	03-11 10:41
Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44	31	$1.78K	1,056	04-12 22:19