False-Connotation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$92

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.7%

Resolved

Trades

123

lifetime

Volume

$6.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-07 08:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 90% -$91

Other

46% 5% -$1

Politics

4% 0% $0

Sports

1% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-07).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	6	$598	300	300	+0	No	$0	01-22 09:37
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	4	$398	200	200	+0	No	$0	01-21 10:44
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	6	$308	156	156	+0	No	$0	03-07 14:07
bitcoin above 98k on january 23	3	$300	200	100	+100	No	+$0	01-22 09:40
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 140 159	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	01-30 07:00
microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-02 12:46
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 160 179	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	02-04 13:34
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 360 379	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-07 09:06
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 260 279	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-18 09:38
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 480 499	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	02-02 10:00
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 100 119	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-27 06:47
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	4	$113	57	57	+0	No	$0	06-03 13:31
bitcoin above 98k on january 5	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	01-05 12:16
will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 19	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	01-18 09:39
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 4	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	02-04 13:36
bitcoin above 86k on february 2	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	02-02 10:00
bitcoin above 92k on january 30	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	01-30 07:01
will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on january 2	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	01-02 12:46
elon musk of tweets january 2026 840 879	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	01-09 13:26
bitcoin above 94k on january 21	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	01-21 10:44
bitcoin above 100k on january 14	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	01-14 11:24
bitcoin above 84k on january 27	1	$100	100	0	+100	Yes	+$0	01-27 06:47
bitcoin above 88k on january 7	1	$100	100	0	+100	Yes	+$0	01-07 09:17
bitcoin above 96k on january 6	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	01-06 15:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 09:00 UTC	1	$98	100	0	+100	Down	+$2	01-07 09:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 10:00 UTC	1	$98	100	0	+100	Up	-$98	02-06 10:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 08:45 UTC	2	$82	83	0	+83	Down	+$2	01-07 08:59
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-07 08:38
Will LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-02 04:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	$0	04-17 06:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 08:42:20	bitcoin above 68k on july 7 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x4ae4aa…
07-07 08:38:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x0df88a…
07-07 08:38:26	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x70c3f0…
07-02 04:59:49	bitcoin above 56k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xbf255a…
07-02 04:58:44	Will LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x43867a…
07-02 04:58:23	Will LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x3501da…
06-23 09:13:50	bitcoin above 58k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x6e4380…
06-23 09:12:20	Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x3cc538…
06-23 09:12:07	Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x5dc05f…
06-03 13:31:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x4ddbf7…
06-03 13:31:03	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x032272…
06-03 13:30:56	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x5251a7…
05-28 04:58:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xd0aab9…
05-28 04:57:09	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x92ed2f…
05-28 04:57:02	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xd2802f…
05-21 07:41:49	will bitcoin reach 84k on may 21	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xc4a2cf…
05-21 07:41:16	Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x3027c7…
05-21 07:41:05	Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xb09565…
05-14 07:49:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xe9019e…
05-14 07:45:54	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x9fcc36…
05-14 07:42:12	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xf401f4…
04-29 07:51:02	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x52b6d1…
04-29 07:50:24	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x14d403…
04-29 07:50:18	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xad5cf3…
04-27 04:14:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xaaad5a…
04-24 05:20:00	will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on april 24	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xb6a565…
04-24 05:19:42	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xc8793e…
04-24 05:19:34	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x58009e…
04-21 06:23:20	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 21	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xfce700…
04-17 06:25:28	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x2e0ea8…
04-17 06:25:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x60aae3…
04-17 05:31:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x23f6d2…
04-07 11:15:51	bitcoin above 64k on april 7	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa4fb5b…
04-02 09:37:55	bitcoin above 62k on april 2	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x5be216…
03-30 09:35:18	bitcoin above 62k on march 30	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x589b9a…
03-30 09:33:56	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0xfaec28…
03-30 09:33:42	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xa2fa97…
03-27 13:11:27	bitcoin above 62k on march 27	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xcaf706…
03-27 13:11:01	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 100 119	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x752db6…
03-27 13:10:49	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 100 119	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xe67f3f…
03-26 08:49:09	will bitcoin reach 78k on march 26	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xadf68e…
03-26 08:48:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xea84f5…
03-26 08:48:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x51d39e…
03-23 14:45:39	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 23	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xf4436d…
03-23 14:44:55	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 480 499	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x9c2fdc…
03-23 14:44:39	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 480 499	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x2394bc…
03-21 13:24:37	will bitcoin dip to 63k on march 21	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xf2ed91…
03-21 13:23:17	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xa77441…
03-21 13:23:05	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x4e42b4…
03-17 16:16:17	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 18	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x78c152…
03-17 16:15:51	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 160 179	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xe1e611…
03-17 16:15:39	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 160 179	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x447460…
03-16 06:01:53	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 16	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xb613bd…
03-16 06:01:49	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 16	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x358f82…
03-16 06:00:53	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 420 439	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xefcc40…
03-16 06:00:39	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 420 439	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xf326b6…
03-13 12:46:53	bitcoin above 66k on march 13	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xd48a92…
03-13 12:46:17	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 140 159	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xb7c737…
03-13 12:46:01	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 140 159	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x4a1545…
03-10 16:45:35	bitcoin above 84k on march 11	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xf4c660…
03-10 16:39:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xc3845d…
03-10 16:39:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x1b63b8…
03-10 16:39:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$8	0x194f95…
03-07 14:09:47	bitcoin above 64k on march 7	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x3dbbf4…
03-07 14:07:43	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xb93250…
03-07 14:07:31	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x554867…
03-04 09:50:39	bitcoin above 62k on march 4	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x1942af…
03-04 09:50:13	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x36ebf0…
03-04 09:49:59	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x07df9e…
03-01 10:33:57	bitcoin above 72k on march 1	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x6f966e…
03-01 10:33:31	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x48c3a0…
03-01 10:33:17	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x51e952…
02-09 12:22:13	bitcoin above 74k on february 9	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xc79292…
02-09 12:21:31	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 80 99	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x005d43…
02-09 12:21:15	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 80 99	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x400012…
02-06 10:35:55	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 6	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x7f26bf…
02-06 10:29:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd024fa…
02-06 10:29:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x7dce90…
02-06 10:13:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x3a4995…
02-04 13:36:54	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 4	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7d182a…
02-04 13:34:36	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 160 179	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x75dcee…
02-04 13:34:16	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 160 179	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x678ee9…
02-02 10:00:50	bitcoin above 86k on february 2	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xdaf89b…
02-02 10:00:32	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 480 499	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xcda8ea…
02-02 10:00:18	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 480 499	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3fc831…
01-30 07:01:46	bitcoin above 92k on january 30	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x49d253…
01-30 07:01:22	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xab8957…
01-30 07:00:44	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x2553e7…
01-30 07:00:08	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 140 159	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xf5761b…
01-29 15:25:34	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 140 159	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x48f7e2…
01-27 06:47:35	bitcoin above 84k on january 27	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x711f5d…
01-27 06:47:13	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 100 119	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x87c963…
01-27 06:46:17	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 100 119	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2a3180…
01-22 09:40:16	bitcoin above 98k on january 23	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x910488…
01-22 09:38:48	bitcoin above 98k on january 23	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xf2e1e9…
01-22 09:38:12	bitcoin above 98k on january 23	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x52a61d…
01-22 09:37:22	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x14a9af…
01-22 09:37:08	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5733ce…
01-21 10:44:58	bitcoin above 94k on january 21	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0e491f…
01-21 10:44:40	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x2d8307…