Mountainous-Tie — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$98

Unrealized P&L

-$26

Hit rate

97.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$237

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$62

1 position

First seen

2026-01-25

last 07-17 16:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Politics

46% 100% +$0

Sports

46% 100% +$100

Other

7% 93% -$3

Crypto

1% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-17).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		-4,760	-$36	1¢	$-62	-$26	06-09 04:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba lac nop 2026 03 19	1	$109	209	0	+209	Pelicans	+$100	03-19 03:52
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	47	$71	2,543	7,303	-4,760	open	—	06-09 04:24
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	30	$36	2,600	2,600	+0	open	—	07-17 16:11
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 1pt5	1	$3	6	0	+6	Spain	-$3	06-30 02:07
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 22?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	06-22 02:53
Will "Maternal Instinct" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	06-22 02:51
Will "Outlast: The Jungle" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	06-22 02:50
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	06-22 02:51
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-22 02:52
Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	06-22 02:51
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	06-18 13:24
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	06-22 02:52
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 20	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	03-20 13:57
will claude by anthropic be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 10	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	03-10 05:40
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-06 01:04
highest temperature in london on february 28 2026 12c	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	02-28 09:59
will googl close below 280 week march 13 2026	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	03-12 01:47
ethereum above 2600 on january 28	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	01-25 07:38
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 400 419	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	03-13 13:50
meta above 700 on march 6 2026	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	03-06 07:28
will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	03-18 03:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 16:11:25	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	2,009	1¢	$14	0x9a3ec4…
07-17 15:54:39	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xd6e134…
07-17 15:34:15	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x2a9480…
07-17 15:20:46	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x24fbc9…
07-17 15:14:49	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0x79f6b2…
07-17 15:14:30	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xd49b6d…
07-17 14:21:21	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xbb6c41…
07-17 14:06:28	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0x105d61…
07-17 13:53:54	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	58	1¢	$0	0x9db323…
07-17 13:29:31	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x1f21c4…
07-17 13:18:52	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x657a7d…
07-17 12:41:09	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x3958c6…
07-17 12:06:51	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0x7edd8e…
07-17 11:45:06	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x6f593c…
07-17 11:42:57	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x55414f…
07-17 11:41:06	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xa03a6f…
07-17 11:41:00	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x56ff82…
07-17 11:33:03	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0x7002b5…
07-17 11:30:48	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0xe6b43d…
07-17 11:28:00	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0xda13a0…
07-17 11:26:19	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	34	1¢	$0	0x8e99b1…
07-17 11:19:54	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x2b56ae…
07-17 11:19:45	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x004cd3…
07-17 11:15:58	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	43	1¢	$0	0xe9635b…
07-17 11:10:28	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x05b442…
07-17 11:05:22	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x67929b…
07-17 10:59:03	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	253	1¢	$2	0x6ed4ac…
07-17 10:53:19	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	34	1¢	$0	0xabdaaf…
07-17 05:26:22	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	32	1¢	$0	0x1ca26a…
07-13 17:54:40	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	2,600	1¢	$18	0xfca8a1…
06-30 02:07:37	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 1pt5	Austria	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xa5e7a6…
06-22 02:53:01	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3be0bd…
06-22 02:52:31	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x1ccffa…
06-22 02:52:17	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x438461…
06-22 02:51:59	Will "Maternal Instinct" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7c865c…
06-22 02:51:34	Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0dd822…
06-22 02:51:11	Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb21c94…
06-22 02:50:40	Will "Outlast: The Jungle" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb8c3a9…
06-18 13:24:41	Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8b1749…
06-09 04:24:24	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	287	1¢	$2	0xc71c84…
06-09 04:15:18	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1,182	1¢	$9	0x1c830b…
06-09 03:41:00	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x14b8c3…
06-09 03:11:58	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xe0f634…
06-09 02:44:48	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xb1c42d…
06-09 02:10:42	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	44	1¢	$0	0x9abb8b…
06-09 02:01:42	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xab8fae…
06-09 01:57:52	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0x55eb45…
06-09 01:44:45	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xc1c6d2…
06-08 22:24:55	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x269384…
06-08 22:12:54	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x19e700…
06-08 21:27:24	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xfaef17…
06-08 21:13:45	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0xbd8717…
06-08 20:48:28	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x8a8852…
06-08 20:28:52	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xfb348a…
06-08 20:11:40	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x007eee…
06-08 19:39:30	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	27	1¢	$0	0xbb5975…
06-08 19:26:01	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xc41804…
06-08 19:20:55	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x9ee499…
06-08 19:02:27	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x03f883…
06-08 18:09:09	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xf26444…
06-08 17:59:07	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	31	1¢	$0	0xacfd6c…
06-08 17:32:48	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xc961e7…
06-08 17:32:34	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x9ecd4b…
06-08 16:36:28	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xb2433a…
06-08 16:31:00	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x334705…
06-08 15:30:09	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x243a50…
06-08 15:03:54	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xa8c9e5…
06-08 14:57:01	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0xb206a1…
06-08 14:44:09	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0xe010da…
06-08 14:33:34	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	272	1¢	$2	0x9fda41…
06-08 14:09:55	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0xe7d3aa…
06-08 13:57:49	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x320399…
06-08 12:09:49	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0x42686c…
06-08 11:57:31	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x6e3f0d…
06-08 11:47:03	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xa428d6…
06-08 11:45:51	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x9ba5d6…
06-08 11:34:52	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x74b741…
06-08 11:34:18	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x6cb867…
06-08 11:16:16	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0x54f01d…
06-08 11:12:00	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x6bd57f…
06-08 11:04:07	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0xe44503…
06-08 11:00:42	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x5ecbfa…
06-08 10:58:51	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x73c4ec…
06-08 10:57:40	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	435	1¢	$3	0xb46363…
05-07 02:50:20	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2,543	1¢	$18	0x7d1377…
05-06 01:04:00	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf6cddd…
05-06 00:31:18	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	4,760	1¢	$33	0x7a2ff0…
03-20 13:57:37	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 20	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x93fecf…
03-19 03:52:05	nba lac nop 2026 03 19	Pelicans	BUY	209	52¢	$109	0xcc2746…
03-18 03:31:25	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd3612d…
03-13 13:50:59	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 400 419	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x25df00…
03-12 01:47:51	will googl close below 280 week march 13 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x163634…
03-10 05:40:37	will claude by anthropic be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 10	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xffa811…
03-06 07:28:25	meta above 700 on march 6 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xadd76f…
02-28 09:59:41	highest temperature in london on february 28 2026 12c	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xefee0c…
01-25 07:38:44	ethereum above 2600 on january 28	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf64e0c…