Repentant-Bout — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$16

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

49.5%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

6,128 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$80

$38.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$12

1 position

First seen

2026-03-23

last 10-03 00:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 44% -$1,785

Other

2% 22% -$56

Politics

1% 58% +$32

Sports

0% 20% -$19

Tech

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No		-15	-$11	81¢	$-12	-$1	10-02 23:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 22:10 UTC	9	$338	517	314	+204	Up	-$52	03-23 22:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 08:25 UTC	17	$292	350	150	+200	Down	+$5	03-27 08:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 08:15 UTC	10	$284	350	150	+200	Down	+$13	03-27 08:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 08:45 UTC	16	$284	350	150	+200	Up	+$13	03-27 08:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 08:05 UTC	17	$284	350	150	+200	Down	+$13	03-27 08:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 08:55 UTC	28	$284	350	150	+200	Down	+$12	03-27 08:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 08:30 UTC	7	$257	300	298	+2	Down	+$43	03-27 08:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 09:15 UTC	13	$241	475	200	+275	Up	-$29	03-27 09:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 22:25 UTC	11	$234	453	186	+267	Down	-$56	03-23 22:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 09:35 UTC	15	$205	150	150	+0	Up	+$15	03-27 09:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 07:15 UTC	9	$200	250	100	+150	Up	-$2	03-27 07:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 09:10 UTC	20	$190	250	100	+150	Up	+$8	03-27 09:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 09:00 UTC	11	$189	225	100	+125	Down	+$9	03-27 09:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 07:05 UTC	14	$180	250	100	+150	Down	+$18	03-27 07:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 07:30 UTC	14	$179	250	100	+150	Down	+$17	03-27 07:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 07:20 UTC	14	$170	250	100	+150	Down	+$28	03-27 07:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 00:40 UTC	7	$143	138	136	+2	Up	+$4	03-24 00:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 08:10 UTC	7	$143	200	75	+125	Down	+$6	03-27 08:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 16:10 UTC	12	$141	354	133	+221	Up	+$33	03-24 16:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 16:20 UTC	6	$140	200	100	+100	Down	-$40	03-27 16:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 23:30 UTC	4	$139	105	104	+1	Down	$0	03-23 23:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 21:05 UTC	14	$128	170	120	+50	Down	+$11	03-27 21:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 21:40 UTC	6	$126	86	85	+1	Down	+$17	03-23 21:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 21:55 UTC	2	$125	97	96	+1	Down	+$66	03-23 22:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 17:30 UTC	14	$118	97	96	+1	Up	-$2	03-23 17:33
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	9	$115	1,910	70	+1,840	Yes	-$5	04-08 21:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 22:20 UTC	5	$115	117	80	+37	Down	-$4	03-23 22:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 18:20 UTC	18	$114	180	130	+50	Up	+$8	04-23 18:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 22:40 UTC	4	$113	81	80	+1	Up	+$34	03-23 22:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 05:45 UTC	6	$112	417	35	+382	Down	-$57	03-24 05:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-03 00:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe15894…
10-03 00:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe9bbbf…
10-03 00:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x1d0cd6…
10-02 23:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0caa0b…
10-02 23:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xc84ac0…
10-02 23:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x2df90b…
10-02 23:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xfa8061…
10-02 23:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x2bc54e…
10-02 23:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xdd0fca…
10-02 23:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x1dac47…
10-02 23:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x9ea44d…
10-02 23:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x8a2a92…
10-02 23:02:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x9ec1c6…
10-02 23:02:14	Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	15	74¢	$11	0x1b237b…
06-05 22:16:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xefb3e0…
06-05 22:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x7c4b3f…
06-05 22:10:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xbefec7…
06-05 22:10:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb15c40…
06-05 22:10:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x4cfef4…
06-05 22:08:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 22:05 UTC	Up	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x70a7f4…
06-05 22:08:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 22:05 UTC	Up	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0x2d1273…
06-05 22:06:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xaeb517…
06-05 22:03:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x5e31a0…
06-05 22:00:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x3ef519…
06-05 22:00:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xf634da…
06-05 22:00:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x724159…
06-05 22:00:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x6db896…
06-05 22:00:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x474c07…
06-05 21:58:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x9baee2…
06-05 21:58:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x73280e…
06-05 21:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xe102a5…
06-05 21:52:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xd1f495…
06-05 21:45:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0xe8878b…
06-05 21:45:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xea4b74…
06-05 21:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xe99be4…
06-05 21:41:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xd0b236…
06-05 21:37:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x6ea19c…
06-05 21:36:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xb8aa62…
06-05 21:36:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xc3608d…
06-05 21:35:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x67ed3c…
05-08 20:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x07487a…
05-08 20:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xaeae3e…
05-08 19:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x26dda6…
05-08 19:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x9f9f3b…
05-08 19:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x585d62…
05-08 19:54:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x90cdd9…
05-08 19:53:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x358511…
05-08 19:51:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xa9f23c…
05-08 19:51:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	44¢	$1	0x182e43…
05-08 19:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8e27ac…
05-08 19:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0xaef756…
05-08 19:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x31de85…
05-08 19:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x3f8051…
05-08 19:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x5fd04a…
05-08 19:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0xff2475…
05-08 19:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xbde78b…
05-08 19:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xcd32d3…
05-08 19:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x7aed38…
05-08 19:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0x5192f8…
05-08 19:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xa935a4…
05-08 19:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x845c91…
05-08 19:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	47¢	$7	0x690359…
05-08 19:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x34a495…
05-08 19:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0xee8fa8…
05-08 19:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xedcb94…
05-08 02:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xa109aa…
05-08 01:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x75540a…
05-08 01:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x3bba1f…
05-08 01:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	24¢	$0	0xcb23d7…
05-08 01:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0xfb199d…
05-08 01:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0x95258e…
05-08 01:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x043daa…
05-08 01:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x0560e4…
05-08 01:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x750a35…
05-08 01:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x1c3235…
05-08 01:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xcc8c44…
05-08 01:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x48e886…
05-08 01:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xf938cc…
05-08 01:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xadcb12…
05-08 01:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x40d54c…
05-08 01:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x0be689…
05-08 01:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x0bd476…
05-08 01:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$3	0x03e961…
05-08 01:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	29¢	$0	0xf50505…
05-08 01:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xc35ae9…
05-08 01:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0x96c2eb…
05-08 01:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x80f662…
05-08 01:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x633002…
05-08 01:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0xecde47…
05-08 01:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0xdeca1a…
05-08 01:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	17¢	$1	0xa47924…
05-08 01:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x7722d0…
05-08 01:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x9e89d2…
05-08 01:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xead538…
05-08 01:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x48ef4c…
05-07 23:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x7f854f…
05-07 23:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xe545cc…
05-07 23:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x568b05…
05-07 23:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xa06bb7…
05-07 23:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x0904df…