Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$54.7K

Unrealized P&L

+$16

Hit rate

57.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$165.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.18K

Open exposure

$816

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-15 09:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Politics

95% 71% -$56,379

Crypto

5% 80% +$1,718

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes		+884	$800	92¢	$816	+$16	07-26 09:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	5	$40.3K	45,321	0	+45,321	No	+$5,060	02-10 02:44
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	3	$32.9K	34,158	0	+34,158	No	+$1,268	01-23 01:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	7	$27.5K	32,265	0	+32,265	Yes	-$27,513	05-08 18:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	29	$24.6K	38,342	0	+38,342	Yes	-$24,583	05-08 18:59
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$17.0K	16,305	4,076	+12,229	Yes	-$13,696	04-07 21:02
us forces enter iran by march 7	2	$7.2K	3,651	3,651	+0	No	+$33	03-08 01:48
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	1	$6.1K	6,701	0	+6,701	No	+$603	02-17 09:01
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$1.7K	1,996	0	+1,996	No	+$279	04-20 10:50
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	1	$1.6K	1,963	0	+1,963	No	+$314	08-15 09:55
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	1	$1.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	Yes	+$1,000	03-08 01:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	2	$1000	1,092	0	+1,092	No	+$92	03-01 01:45
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	7	$925	1,727	0	+1,727	No	+$802	01-14 16:10
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	1	$800	884	0	+884	open	—	07-26 09:07
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	2	$746	1,193	1,193	+0	open	—	07-27 06:41
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$500	1,316	0	+1,316	Yes	+$816	02-17 14:55
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	1	$500	1,287	0	+1,287	Yes	+$787	01-03 19:39
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$350	1,562	1,000	+562	Yes	+$412	02-25 14:05
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$350	648	0	+648	No	-$350	01-13 04:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 04:25 UTC	3	$110	141	0	+141	Down	-$9	03-07 04:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 23:15 UTC	1	$100	108	0	+108	Up	+$8	03-06 23:19
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$25	39	0	+39	Yes	+$15	03-30 13:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-15 09:55:24	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	1,963	84¢	$1,649	0x6a32a9…
07-27 06:41:06	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,193	29¢	$346	0x44666b…
07-26 09:12:55	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,193	34¢	$400	0x7d2ac2…
07-26 09:07:09	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	884	90¢	$800	0xa120ee…
05-08 18:59:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xbf2288…
05-08 18:56:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	645	62¢	$400	0x3ab41a…
05-08 18:54:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	460	44¢	$200	0x4bbe38…
05-08 18:52:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	231	39¢	$90	0xf45975…
05-08 18:51:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	610	41¢	$250	0x150150…
05-08 18:50:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1,113	45¢	$500	0x68fc2c…
05-08 18:50:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	595	42¢	$250	0xb5da55…
05-08 18:49:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	575	43¢	$250	0x2d7b74…
04-20 10:50:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1,996	86¢	$1,717	0x39a6c2…
04-10 13:44:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	3,581	70¢	$2,500	0x4e53e2…
04-07 21:02:49	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	4,076	40¢	$1,630	0xb3474e…
04-03 22:05:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	16,305	94¢	$15,326	0x801c52…
04-02 20:02:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16,304	92¢	$15,000	0x375178…
04-02 20:00:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	13,333	75¢	$10,000	0x048055…
03-30 13:07:12	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	18	69¢	$12	0xd27509…
03-21 06:23:21	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	22	57¢	$12	0x1b59c0…
03-12 14:14:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	856	59¢	$506	0x05f908…
03-11 03:01:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	847	59¢	$500	0xd860b7…
03-10 23:04:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1,695	59¢	$1,000	0x1ce853…
03-08 03:54:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	122	62¢	$76	0x711184…
03-08 02:46:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	80	62¢	$50	0x6d2809…
03-08 01:49:09	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,500	60¢	$1,500	0x3ab17d…
03-08 01:48:11	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	SELL	3,651	99¢	$3,626	0x30af20…
03-07 07:58:11	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	3,651	98¢	$3,592	0xacb3ac…
03-07 04:29:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 04:25 UTC	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x8a84e0…
03-07 04:29:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0x44282c…
03-07 04:29:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xa3b704…
03-06 23:31:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1,632	62¢	$1,012	0x6b3a11…
03-06 23:19:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x4df9a0…
03-03 15:12:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	833	60¢	$500	0x4b543d…
03-03 11:42:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	807	62¢	$500	0xf65af3…
03-03 11:17:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	814	61¢	$500	0x0a7a9c…
03-03 11:12:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2,468	61¢	$1,500	0x7b52b8…
03-03 00:00:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	635	63¢	$400	0x6b736f…
03-01 01:56:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	490	79¢	$387	0x438274…
03-01 01:46:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	651	61¢	$400	0xf25867…
03-01 01:45:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	560	89¢	$500	0x8f4550…
02-28 12:24:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4,436	84¢	$3,726	0x15da6c…
02-27 11:22:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	532	94¢	$500	0xba5be4…
02-25 14:05:58	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	1,000	10¢	$100	0x2c8c2f…
02-17 15:02:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	424	59¢	$250	0x2029b8…
02-17 14:55:51	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	1,562	16¢	$250	0xebc475…
02-17 14:55:39	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,316	38¢	$500	0x7e593f…
02-17 09:08:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,597	77¢	$2,000	0xd48a7c…
02-17 09:01:45	will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	No	BUY	6,701	91¢	$6,098	0x470082…
02-16 01:04:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3,896	77¢	$3,000	0x370ddc…
02-14 14:14:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3,896	77¢	$3,000	0xeec1b9…
02-12 06:08:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1,753	57¢	$999	0xc5e013…
02-10 02:44:11	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	16,257	92¢	$15,000	0x27eae9…
02-03 03:27:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1,818	55¢	$1,000	0x6241f6…
01-23 01:29:08	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	2,047	98¢	$2,002	0xeba0a8…
01-19 15:45:02	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	300	87¢	$261	0x7f2dbf…
01-14 16:10:14	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	No	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0xd89c53…
01-14 16:03:12	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	No	BUY	159	32¢	$50	0xfcf3ef…
01-14 15:42:14	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	No	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0x68d2ce…
01-14 15:39:42	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	No	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0xddd2f4…
01-13 04:03:07	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x765c5e…
01-13 02:49:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	446	56¢	$250	0x085f84…
01-13 02:48:07	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	463	54¢	$250	0x2c20db…
01-09 22:27:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x381f37…
01-06 18:01:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x00b124…
01-05 18:19:15	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	No	BUY	97	52¢	$50	0x4cf337…
01-05 16:53:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	536	56¢	$300	0x265aec…
01-04 10:34:23	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	No	BUY	333	60¢	$200	0x76c414…
01-04 01:09:01	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	932	95¢	$888	0x44a6f1…
01-04 00:58:25	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	No	BUY	781	64¢	$500	0x50a334…
01-03 19:39:27	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,287	39¢	$500	0x4f7629…
01-02 21:47:51	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	22,989	87¢	$20,000	0xa5bdbd…
01-02 21:43:53	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	2,069	87¢	$1,800	0xd7a176…
01-02 21:43:11	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	3,707	86¢	$3,200	0x0e0037…
01-02 21:42:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	877	57¢	$500	0xb88dfd…
01-02 21:41:37	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	31,179	96¢	$30,000	0x540351…