Valid-Shampoo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$323

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

52.8%

Resolved

311

Trades

472

lifetime

Volume

$14.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

$201

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 10-27 09:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Politics

61% 38% +$203

Other

30% 57% -$397

Crypto

8% 85% -$116

Sports

0% 0% -$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+52	$50	98¢	$51	+$1	10-18 12:57
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?	No	+51	$50	100¢	$50	+$0	10-19 22:44
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+51	$50	99¢	$50	+$0	10-23 14:29
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+51	$50	97¢	$50	+$0	10-23 14:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	6	$2.1K	2,947	2,947	+0	Yes	-$458	02-28 21:07
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	5	$1.1K	910	910	+0	Yes	+$510	03-08 21:16
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	8	$972	4,585	1,035	+3,551	No	-$413	03-08 22:20
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$665	406	406	+0	Yes	+$65	03-13 20:32
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	4	$555	527	527	+0	No	-$45	03-12 08:22
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	5	$520	1,353	1,353	+0	Yes	+$150	03-01 13:00
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$452	370	370	+0	Yes	+$252	02-28 07:11
will israel or the us target an iranian oil or gas facility 716	2	$381	260	260	+0	Yes	+$131	03-07 19:46
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$360	282	282	+0	No	+$120	03-08 22:11
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	4	$359	327	327	+0	Yes	-$91	03-03 20:04
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	2	$358	424	424	+0	No	+$158	03-01 17:32
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	2	$314	326	326	+0	Yes	+$294	02-28 07:15
will luis fernando camacho win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 723	1	$301	430	0	+430	No	-$301	03-11 13:05
will gas hit high 4pt50 by march 31	3	$265	330	330	+0	No	-$35	03-12 05:40
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	2	$257	470	470	+0	No	+$57	04-21 11:46
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	2	$229	467	467	+0	No	+$29	03-04 18:04
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	2	$211	175	175	+0	No	+$11	05-18 17:59
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	2	$176	180	180	+0	No	+$76	03-09 02:40
rusixnat wal sco 2026 02 21 sco	2	$171	91	91	+0	Yes	+$10	02-21 20:22
will trump say epic fury during miami address	2	$149	99	99	+0	Yes	+$49	03-09 21:43
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	2	$139	100	100	+0	No	+$39	04-21 11:47
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	4	$139	394	394	+0	No	-$11	05-18 18:13
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	2	$127	89	89	+0	Yes	+$47	03-06 18:55
will trump say million or billion or trillion 27 times during kentucky visit	3	$127	157	118	+39	Yes	-$13	03-11 21:47
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	1	$100	312	0	+312	No	-$100	03-17 11:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 22:50 UTC	1	$100	118	0	+118	Up	-$100	03-02 22:54
will iran strike dimona by march 31	4	$95	385	385	+0	No	-$5	03-10 19:47
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	2	$95	502	0	+502	Yes	-$95	03-08 21:43
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	4	$88	98	98	+0	open	—	10-10 07:32
will trump say biden or obama 7 times during kentucky visit	2	$88	53	53	+0	Yes	+$18	03-11 21:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 09:33:11	Will the Republican Party win the FL-06 House seat?	Yes	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xd00a58…
10-26 12:11:57	Will the Democrats win the Illinois governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x36f2fb…
10-25 09:12:14	Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xb069ff…
10-23 14:30:17	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xb883cc…
10-23 14:30:15	Will the Democratic Party win the NH-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x52d585…
10-23 14:30:15	Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x246dc8…
10-23 14:30:09	Will US win less than 35% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x52a1dd…
10-23 14:29:57	Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x66c553…
10-23 14:28:20	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Maranhão?	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x7ec5f3…
10-23 14:28:20	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x324b21…
10-23 14:28:20	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Ceará?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x087753…
10-23 14:28:18	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Sergipe?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc50f23…
10-23 14:28:18	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x593535…
10-19 22:44:03	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x0cbc77…
10-19 19:40:03	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xb74182…
10-19 12:57:17	Will "You Can See Everything" score at least 99 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xdbad3c…
10-18 12:57:14	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x5827fc…
10-17 18:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x487f71…
10-17 17:43:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x75288e…
10-17 15:44:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x9f9e7f…
10-17 15:13:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xf15394…
10-17 14:59:11	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x303a0d…
10-17 14:43:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xd2b292…
10-17 09:58:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x143fac…
10-17 08:43:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xaf8da9…
10-17 08:29:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x134edb…
10-17 07:29:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x12f4f1…
10-17 06:44:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xcce6f1…
10-17 05:59:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x5976b5…
10-17 05:28:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xc448fd…
10-17 04:28:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x6d7b0d…
10-17 04:13:54	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x23c466…
10-17 03:58:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x3443da…
10-17 03:13:20	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x74bf44…
10-17 01:14:29	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xea9874…
10-17 00:43:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x98b3a7…
10-17 00:13:56	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x316bd9…
10-16 23:58:08	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xa7d547…
10-16 23:28:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x73ea3b…
10-16 22:29:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x8b3402…
10-16 22:13:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x1437e4…
10-16 21:59:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x87fd91…
10-16 21:28:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x6465cd…
10-16 21:13:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xa094cb…
10-16 20:28:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x8a9ac5…
10-16 19:52:54	Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xb0fc08…
10-16 15:43:12	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xa4702b…
10-16 13:59:25	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xb9dcc8…
10-16 13:44:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x6a5f0f…
10-16 12:28:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x92defe…
10-16 10:32:43	Will Craig Hodge win the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x4a1d8d…
10-16 10:28:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x3323dc…
10-16 09:28:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xb0911b…
10-16 07:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x5bb5f8…
10-16 07:28:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xe3eb39…
10-16 06:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xdf348f…
10-16 04:24:06	Will Linda Annis win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x5bb18e…
10-16 03:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xb1634c…
10-16 01:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x4edc1f…
10-16 01:43:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x828ef9…
10-16 00:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x9a0264…
10-16 00:28:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xf3ef47…
10-15 22:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xf784b1…
10-15 22:13:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xf4500f…
10-15 20:44:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x922f49…
10-15 20:14:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x1085e4…
10-15 19:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xef159e…
10-15 19:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x89832c…
10-15 18:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x17f9dc…
10-15 17:28:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xb72a7a…
10-15 17:06:41	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xa3ba4a…
10-15 16:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xda160d…
10-15 11:43:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x9066f6…
10-15 10:43:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x08967d…
10-15 08:28:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x1d00f3…
10-15 06:58:08	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xbb5729…
10-15 05:44:10	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x585e30…
10-15 04:13:20	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x9d9b88…
10-15 03:39:07	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Maranhão?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x804463…
10-15 01:13:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x2dd04e…
10-14 23:28:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xb2c545…
10-14 23:10:19	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Ceará?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x2512ca…
10-14 22:29:31	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xe178b0…
10-14 20:13:58	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x101987…
10-14 19:58:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x1fb139…
10-14 19:28:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xc758fe…
10-14 18:29:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x309d2f…
10-14 18:14:33	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xc6e8ba…
10-14 17:43:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x1be314…
10-14 13:28:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x4db91f…
10-14 12:29:02	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xcea1b2…
10-14 11:44:05	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xaa7066…
10-14 11:13:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x4d0b20…
10-14 10:58:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xd73e3f…
10-14 10:47:10	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x102d13…
10-14 10:47:08	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in September?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xce5404…
10-14 10:43:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x68e9ff…
10-14 10:28:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x29635f…
10-14 10:14:05	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xe81c01…
10-14 09:13:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xe82845…