Dangerous-Making — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$22.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$325

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 09-08 02:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 59% -$25

Politics

0% 67% +$0

Other

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 3100 on january 31	1	$1.1K	1,083	0	+1,083	No	+$1	01-31 01:03
will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 30	1	$1.1K	1,082	0	+1,082	No	+$1	01-30 01:24
will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on january 29	1	$1.1K	1,081	0	+1,081	No	+$1	01-29 01:24
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 28	1	$1.1K	1,080	0	+1,080	No	+$1	01-28 03:50
ethereum above 2500 on january 27	1	$1.1K	1,079	0	+1,079	Yes	+$1	01-27 00:37
ethereum above 3300 on january 26	1	$1.1K	1,078	0	+1,078	No	+$1	01-26 01:49
will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 24	1	$1.1K	1,075	0	+1,075	No	+$3	01-24 02:41
will the price of ethereum be between 3600 3700 on january 23	1	$1.1K	1,073	0	+1,073	No	+$1	01-23 01:34
will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 22	1	$1.1K	1,072	0	+1,072	No	+$2	01-22 01:57
bitcoin above 94k on january 25	1	$1.1K	1,072	0	+1,072	No	+$2	01-25 03:03
will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 21	1	$1.1K	1,069	0	+1,069	No	+$2	01-21 00:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 31?	1	$1.1K	1,058	0	+1,058	No	+$2	05-30 23:35
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 30?	1	$1.1K	1,056	0	+1,056	Yes	+$2	05-30 12:52
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on May 29?	1	$1.1K	1,052	0	+1,052	Yes	+$2	05-29 01:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 28?	1	$1.0K	1,052	0	+1,052	No	+$2	05-28 01:09
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 27?	1	$1.0K	1,050	0	+1,050	No	+$2	05-27 00:35
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 26?	1	$1.0K	1,049	0	+1,049	No	+$2	05-26 00:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 25?	1	$1.0K	1,046	0	+1,046	No	+$2	05-25 00:58
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 24?	1	$1.0K	1,044	0	+1,044	No	+$2	05-24 01:34
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on May 23?	1	$1.0K	1,041	0	+1,041	Yes	+$2	05-23 01:31
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 22?	1	$1.0K	1,037	0	+1,037	Yes	+$2	05-22 02:03
bitcoin above 60k on august 7 2026	1	$22	22	0	+22	Yes	+$0	08-06 03:01
bitcoin above 68k on august 19 2026	1	$21	21	0	+21	Yes	-$21	08-18 02:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 30?	1	$16	16	0	+16	Yes	+$0	07-29 02:18
bitcoin above 70k on july 22 2026	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	07-21 03:19
will israel nuke iran by january 31	2	$11	6	5	+1	No	$0	01-19 10:47
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 6	1	$7	1,101	0	+1,101	No	-$7	02-06 01:20
will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on march 11	1	$4	1,101	0	+1,101	No	-$4	03-11 02:22
ethereum above 2200 on february 13	1	$3	1,121	0	+1,121	No	-$3	02-13 01:14
will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	07-09 04:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-08 02:35:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 9?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x04e727…
09-08 02:35:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 9?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x0a10fa…
09-08 02:35:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 9?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xcff188…
09-08 02:35:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 9?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xde1333…
09-08 02:35:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 9?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x0e1cd8…
09-08 02:33:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 9?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xb4c3ea…
09-08 02:33:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 9?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xa92a6f…
09-08 02:33:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 9?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xcd5f37…
09-08 02:33:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 9?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x698cab…
09-08 02:33:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 9?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x0df0ae…
09-08 02:33:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 9?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xeca512…
08-18 02:08:07	bitcoin above 68k on august 19 2026	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xa5a7c0…
08-06 03:01:50	bitcoin above 60k on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xe2d124…
07-29 02:18:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 30?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x16c1ad…
07-21 03:19:16	bitcoin above 70k on july 22 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x9fda8a…
07-14 08:24:56	will bitcoin dip to 48k july 13 19 2026	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x05c0d3…
07-14 08:24:55	will bitcoin dip to 48k july 13 19 2026	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xe0f24f…
07-14 08:24:55	will bitcoin dip to 48k july 13 19 2026	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x611d61…
07-14 08:24:55	will bitcoin dip to 48k july 13 19 2026	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x46e3a9…
07-14 08:24:52	will bitcoin dip to 48k july 13 19 2026	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xe51e13…
07-14 08:24:52	will bitcoin dip to 48k july 13 19 2026	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5c4a3c…
07-14 08:24:50	will bitcoin dip to 48k july 13 19 2026	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xc5acb5…
07-14 08:24:50	will bitcoin dip to 48k july 13 19 2026	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x8784b7…
07-09 04:16:25	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x2c09e1…
07-03 08:53:14	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x2fa528…
06-15 01:26:09	Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on June 15?	Yes	BUY	1,056	0¢	$2	0xfa0d87…
06-06 00:38:12	Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 6?	Yes	BUY	1,053	0¢	$2	0x82120f…
06-02 06:48:32	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe2acae…
05-30 23:35:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	1,058	100¢	$1,056	0x11e3c3…
05-30 12:52:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	1,056	100¢	$1,054	0xb654e1…
05-29 01:12:56	Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	1,052	100¢	$1,050	0x8758f9…
05-28 01:09:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	1,052	100¢	$1,050	0xe2815e…
05-27 00:35:38	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 27?	No	BUY	1,050	100¢	$1,048	0xfa813e…
05-26 00:56:55	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 26?	No	BUY	1,049	100¢	$1,046	0x263ab8…
05-25 00:58:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	1,046	100¢	$1,044	0xaa54c5…
05-24 01:34:31	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 24?	No	BUY	1,044	100¢	$1,042	0x747833…
05-23 01:31:28	Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	1,041	100¢	$1,039	0x107e26…
05-22 02:03:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	1,037	100¢	$1,035	0x75313c…
05-21 09:44:43	Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa701ad…
05-18 01:02:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 18?	No	BUY	1,065	0¢	$2	0x6bc2c2…
05-09 01:09:12	Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,073	0¢	$2	0x0583fa…
05-06 06:13:52	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x015bee…
04-30 13:05:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,081	0¢	$3	0x44b0f6…
04-19 00:52:46	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 19	Yes	BUY	1,092	0¢	$2	0x2111fa…
04-14 02:35:35	Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x630c43…
04-10 03:13:55	will the price of xrp be between 0pt90 1pt00 on april 10	Yes	BUY	1,075	0¢	$2	0xbca695…
04-06 11:40:11	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4edd8d…
04-01 01:18:07	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on april 1	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xfd1952…
04-01 01:18:05	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on april 1	Yes	BUY	1,072	0¢	$3	0xe1a748…
03-31 02:02:09	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 31	Yes	BUY	1,072	0¢	$3	0xc2358c…
03-22 02:18:41	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 22	Yes	BUY	1,055	0¢	$2	0xe6cc05…
03-11 02:22:17	will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on march 11	Yes	BUY	1,101	0¢	$4	0xdfafb7…
02-27 09:24:05	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 27	Yes	BUY	1,067	0¢	$3	0xc3933b…
02-13 01:14:55	ethereum above 2200 on february 13	Yes	BUY	1,121	0¢	$3	0x5bbbaa…
02-06 01:20:07	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 6	Yes	BUY	1,101	1¢	$7	0xe0ed07…
02-02 05:12:00	will msft close above 480 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2279e1…
01-31 01:03:42	ethereum above 3100 on january 31	No	BUY	1,083	100¢	$1,082	0xf484d7…
01-30 01:24:14	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 30	No	BUY	1,082	100¢	$1,081	0x64b259…
01-29 01:24:52	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on january 29	No	BUY	1,081	100¢	$1,080	0x6a72d8…
01-28 03:50:45	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 28	No	BUY	1,080	100¢	$1,079	0xe8f005…
01-27 00:37:53	ethereum above 2500 on january 27	Yes	BUY	1,079	100¢	$1,078	0x895e47…
01-26 01:49:48	ethereum above 3300 on january 26	No	BUY	1,078	100¢	$1,077	0x8ef3bb…
01-25 03:03:08	bitcoin above 94k on january 25	No	BUY	1,072	100¢	$1,070	0x470d49…
01-24 02:41:44	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 24	No	BUY	1,075	100¢	$1,072	0xfdc221…
01-23 01:34:48	will the price of ethereum be between 3600 3700 on january 23	No	BUY	1,073	100¢	$1,072	0xf59d22…
01-22 01:57:48	will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 22	No	BUY	1,072	100¢	$1,070	0xe8b88b…
01-21 00:55:50	will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 21	No	BUY	1,069	100¢	$1,067	0xf65ecf…
01-19 10:47:16	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6c48a6…
01-18 09:40:10	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd61523…