Clumsy-Rhubarb — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$35

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

22.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$125

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$67

8 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-14 03:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

45% 0% $-10

Sports

22% 25% $-20

Politics

16% — —

Crypto

16% 50% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	+58	$30	52¢	$30	$-0	05-13 23:35
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	-16	$-15	90¢	$-15	+$0	05-14 03:55
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	+12	$6	68¢	$8	+$2	05-13 21:28
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	+11	$5	43¢	$5	$-0	05-14 00:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	+15	$5	28¢	$4	$-1	05-14 03:21
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	+6	$3	50¢	$3	+$0	05-14 01:44
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	+37	$3	7¢	$3	$-0	05-11 13:24
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	+48	$1	0¢	$0	$-1	05-13 23:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 03:55:34	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	90¢	$15	0x530cfb…
05-14 03:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xf452c1…
05-14 03:21:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x4e31d7…
05-14 01:44:47	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x10cd9e…
05-14 00:32:04	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xa0717a…
05-14 00:07:55	Will FC Cincinnati vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xc85f73…
05-13 23:45:10	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xf17514…
05-13 23:35:29	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x5064f6…
05-13 21:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0xd04ee1…
05-13 21:34:39	Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)	Avalanche	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x6c06f5…
05-13 21:34:11	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi	Rafael Jodar	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xe8b145…
05-13 21:28:28	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x18836e…
05-13 21:23:03	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x373ef5…
05-12 12:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x8f376d…
05-12 11:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xd0d9f2…
05-12 01:13:34	San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xc6a3ee…
05-12 00:18:53	Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)	New York Yankees	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x4740b2…
05-11 13:24:30	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	8¢	$3	0xdb034d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	8	$1.21K	47	05-14 03:36
Agitated-Bricklaying 0x84cf…2f63	5	$138.2K	1,053	05-14 02:10
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	4	$47.9K	106	05-14 02:45
Powerless-Savannah 0x5268…135d	4	$14.8K	20	05-14 02:15
Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7	4	$6.51K	228	05-14 02:55
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	4	$595	22	05-14 03:33
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	4	$575	21	05-14 03:33
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	4	$573	45	05-14 03:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	1	$30	58	0	+58	open	—	05-13 23:35
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	1	$15	0	16	-16	open	—	05-14 03:55
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)	1	$10	14	0	+14	Baltimore Orioles	$-10	05-12 00:18
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	1	$10	16	0	+16	San Francisco Giants	$-10	05-12 01:13
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$6	12	0	+12	open	—	05-13 21:28
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	05-14 00:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	1	$5	15	0	+15	open	—	05-14 03:21
Will FC Cincinnati vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?	1	$5	26	0	+26	No	$-5	05-14 00:07
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)	1	$5	11	0	+11	Wild	$-5	05-13 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	+$4	05-14 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	$-5	05-12 12:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	05-12 11:32
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi	1	$5	8	0	+8	Luciano Darderi	$-5	05-13 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$5	19	0	+19	Up	$-5	05-13 21:35
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	1	$3	37	0	+37	open	—	05-11 13:24
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-14 01:44
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	1	$3	8	0	+8	Cavaliers	+$5	05-13 21:23
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$1	48	0	+48	open	—	05-13 23:45