Agonizing-Imitation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$217

Unrealized P&L

-$330

Hit rate

32.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$11.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$165

Open exposure

$110

1 position

First seen

2026-02-26

last 05-17 17:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 0% -$5,566

Other

36% 67% +$6,412

Politics

13% 0% -$1,063

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-17).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes		+2,000	$440	6¢	$110	-$330	05-17 17:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will axiom be accused of insider trading	14	$3.3K	9,500	0	+9,500	Yes	+$6,232	02-26 12:06
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	7	$2.9K	6,482	0	+6,482	No	-$2,917	03-22 19:11
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	6	$1.3K	8,000	0	+8,000	No	-$1,264	03-12 01:18
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	9	$990	3,000	0	+3,000	No	-$990	03-11 20:29
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	7	$942	17,500	4,980	+12,520	Yes	-$543	02-28 07:12
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	4	$520	8,000	0	+8,000	Yes	-$520	02-28 20:28
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	1	$440	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	05-17 17:43
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	17	$395	4,935	0	+4,935	No	-$395	03-12 01:09
ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	1	$200	500	0	+500	Yes	+$300	04-14 19:16
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 atm1	1	$120	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$120	04-14 19:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 17:43:19	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	22¢	$440	0x372843…
04-14 19:17:12	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 atm1	Yes	BUY	1,000	12¢	$120	0x868d8c…
04-14 19:16:10	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	Yes	BUY	500	40¢	$200	0x882849…
03-22 19:11:11	Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	736	45¢	$331	0xf83044…
03-22 19:10:49	Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	218	45¢	$98	0xf2b74f…
03-22 19:10:27	Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4,276	45¢	$1,924	0x170150…
03-22 19:10:05	Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	80	45¢	$36	0x8ec3ac…
03-22 18:22:31	Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x30f7c0…
03-22 18:22:15	Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	289	45¢	$130	0xd12d71…
03-22 18:12:29	Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	873	45¢	$393	0x8f9854…
03-12 01:18:53	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,616	16¢	$259	0xefc827…
03-12 01:09:41	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	115	8¢	$9	0x96494c…
03-12 01:09:21	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	112	8¢	$9	0x40b304…
03-12 01:09:01	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	120	8¢	$10	0xc66121…
03-12 00:53:27	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	121	8¢	$10	0x431a97…
03-12 00:51:19	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	114	8¢	$9	0xbd51b8…
03-12 00:50:57	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	115	8¢	$9	0x7eee70…
03-12 00:50:39	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	122	8¢	$10	0xa9824f…
03-12 00:50:11	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	122	8¢	$10	0xb367e3…
03-12 00:49:49	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	134	8¢	$11	0x70ddf2…
03-12 00:49:21	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	136	8¢	$11	0x47d5c9…
03-12 00:48:45	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	139	8¢	$11	0xc8e518…
03-12 00:48:19	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	136	8¢	$11	0xe97bf0…
03-12 00:31:05	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	134	8¢	$11	0x1e296a…
03-11 23:09:11	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0x31d804…
03-11 21:59:19	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	280	16¢	$45	0x97061b…
03-11 21:44:53	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	177	16¢	$28	0x9aa1f8…
03-11 21:34:07	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	86	16¢	$14	0xa03808…
03-11 21:02:41	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xa0334c…
03-11 20:29:09	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	344	33¢	$113	0xc90eb4…
03-11 20:19:59	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	34	33¢	$11	0x60d1ee…
03-11 20:18:29	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0xc93a02…
03-11 20:06:49	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	540	8¢	$43	0x1bffe3…
03-11 20:03:43	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2,752	8¢	$220	0x58e4d4…
03-11 20:02:59	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	508	33¢	$168	0x1f243e…
03-11 20:02:45	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	73	16¢	$12	0x1019c8…
03-11 20:02:43	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5,768	16¢	$907	0x27f7aa…
03-11 20:02:33	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	47	33¢	$15	0x433059…
03-11 20:02:21	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	49	33¢	$16	0x6d61b9…
03-11 20:02:21	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	49	33¢	$16	0x4ea99d…
03-11 20:02:21	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	49	33¢	$16	0x2f4bca…
03-11 20:02:07	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,720	33¢	$567	0xe84a79…
02-28 20:28:11	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	6,480	6¢	$421	0xf4103b…
02-28 20:28:09	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	177	6¢	$12	0xa67763…
02-28 20:28:05	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	175	7¢	$11	0x5b7470…
02-28 20:26:19	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	1,168	6¢	$76	0x52b53d…
02-28 07:12:33	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	2,500	4¢	$98	0x128a0a…
02-28 07:11:51	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	10,000	4¢	$400	0x6f6e8a…
02-28 07:11:29	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	4,980	4¢	$199	0xc44e8d…
02-28 07:10:51	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb806e7…
02-28 07:10:49	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	252	5¢	$12	0xc99501…
02-28 07:10:49	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	2,937	5¢	$144	0xaaa3b6…
02-28 07:10:49	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	1,790	5¢	$88	0x3e4dff…
02-26 12:06:26	will axiom be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	618	34¢	$213	0xf8ec75…
02-26 12:06:06	will axiom be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	600	34¢	$207	0x1c5b7d…
02-26 12:06:00	will axiom be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	300	34¢	$103	0xeba9c5…
02-26 12:05:56	will axiom be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	185	34¢	$64	0xe2f7bf…
02-26 12:05:48	will axiom be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	19	34¢	$6	0x58b168…
02-26 12:05:46	will axiom be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0x2bbe33…
02-26 12:05:44	will axiom be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	4,000	34¢	$1,380	0xad0598…
02-26 12:05:36	will axiom be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0xa5201b…
02-26 12:05:34	will axiom be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0x3ec69a…
02-26 12:05:30	will axiom be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	19	34¢	$7	0xb4ed6c…
02-26 12:05:30	will axiom be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x445bd2…
02-26 12:05:24	will axiom be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0xca9cbf…
02-26 12:05:24	will axiom be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x2857c3…
02-26 12:05:22	will axiom be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	3,510	34¢	$1,202	0xb6cd88…